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  1. UB Clean Air ProgramStatus of Programme Activities Report to the National Committee on Coordination, Management, and Oversight of Activities of Government Agencies with regard to the Implementation of the Government Policy on Air Pollution Reduction (NCC)NCC Meeting, June 23, 2009Gailius J. Draugelis, Senior Energy Specialist, World BankDr. SereeterLodoysamba, Professor, National University of Mongolia

  2. Outline • UB Clean Air Investment Project Preparation • Heating in Poor, Peri-Urban Ger Areas of Ulaanbaatar Technical Assistance Report • Air Monitoring and Health Impact Baseline Study & Discussion Paper • Donor Coordination 1

  3. Ulaanbaatar Clean Air Project (under preparation) • UBCAP Concept endorsed  12/2008 by NCC. • MOF confirms NCC is counterpart, accepts UBCAP concept  letter 01/2009 • $500,000 ADB TA Project Identified  9/2009 funds available • UBCAP Operations Plan preparation & demonstration • $12 million IDA credit  2nd half CY 2011 (funds diverted for budget support) • Co-financing is needed • Next Steps: • NCC to establish project implementation unit for ADB TA project • WB & ADB launch ADB TA  winter 2008-2009, 18 month project 2 2

  4. UBCAP Clean Heating Appliance Product Development Spot Check Spot Check Inform PIU • System developed under ADB TA • Free stove design assistance • Products are labeled • Micro/SME credit from commercial banks for scale up • Manufacturer pays certification 3 3

  5. UBCAP Clean Heating Appliance Subsidy Mechanism • System developed under ADB TA • Vouchers paid by project • Verification System with NGO • Subsidy & Administrative costs paid by project • Public awareness: Mass Media, Product Marketing, Community-level (schools, clinics) 4 4

  6. Heating in Poor Peri Urban Ger Areas of Ulaanbaatar • Draft Report to NCC  12/08 • Policy recommendations for clean, affordable heating in Ger areas • 1000 HH Survey • Affordability • Attitudes • Fuel consumption • Heating market • Stove replacement program design • Stove-fuel testing protocol • International experience • Next step • Disseminate glossy version with NCC  07/2009 Mongolia Heating in Poor, Peri-urban Ger Areas of Ulaanbaatar Asia Sustainable and Alternative Energy Program Sustainable Development Department East Asia and Pacific Region The World Bank 5 5

  7. Air Monitoring and Health Impact Baseline Study • Air Quality (PM) Baseline • Health Impact Baseline • Cost-benefit analysis • Discussion Paper  6/2009 • Final Paper  10/2009 • Next Step: • Comments  7/6/2009 • Disseminate  7/2009 • Final Report  10/2009 Air Pollution in Ulaanbaatar Proposed assessment of current situation and effects of abatement measures Discussion Paper Version for Comment: June 20, 2009 Sustainable Development Series: Discussion Paper Sustainable Development Department East Asia and Pacific Region The World Bank 6 6

  8. AMHIB Discussion Paper Results • DP Data  2006-2008 • Final Report Data  July ’08 – June ’09 • 8 AMHIB Stations • DP Data  UB is among most polluted PM cities 8 AMHIB Stations 7 7

  9. AMHIB Discussion Paper Results Summary of PM measurements at the NUM station, 2006-2007 (monthly averages) (Lodoysamba et.al., 2008). 8 8

  10. AMHIB Discussion Paper Results 9 9

  11. AMHIB Discussion Paper Results Modeled Annual Avg. PM10 , 2007 10 10

  12. UB Air Pollution & International Standards 11 11

  13. Discussion Paper Results • Winter pollution has high peaks  @ 50% of PM concentrations • Corresponds to ignition phase (cold start) and reloading of stoves • ADB/WB TA will look at the ignition problem 12 12

  14. How good does an abatement program need to be ? • Preliminary Estimates • 50% emission reduction from Ger heating results in: • about 33% reduction in PM10 annual average concentrations • about $19 - $38 m in avoided health damages annually 13 13

  15. Donor Coordination • Maintain dialogue bilaterally with as many donors as possible • EBRD coordination on fuel-stove testing • EBRD coordination on Operational Framework and UBCAP • ADB coordination on ADB TA Proposal ($500,000) • JICA coordination on AMHIB project & Discussion Paper • Encourage NCC to take lead in coordination • June 23 meeting • Propose: • At least semi-annual donor meetings, next one in November 2009 • NCC include donor programs in its Action Plan, if acceptable 14 14

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