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The Aviation White Paper and the Highlands & Islands

The Aviation White Paper and the Highlands & Islands. Tom Matthew Highlands & Islands Enterprise. “The Highlands”. Inverness Medical Part of Johnson & Johnson Group 1,200 employees Exporting world-wide Staff travelling world-wide on a daily basis. Ensuring Access To Hub Airports.

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The Aviation White Paper and the Highlands & Islands

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  1. The Aviation White Paperand the Highlands & Islands Tom Matthew Highlands & Islands Enterprise

  2. “The Highlands”

  3. Inverness Medical Part of Johnson & Johnson Group 1,200 employees Exporting world-wide Staff travelling world-wide on a daily basis

  4. Ensuring Access To Hub Airports “We cannot have a situation where the regions are denied access to London” Alastair Darling

  5. Inverness Services:Present Provision • Other Cross-Border Services:* Manchester* Birmingham* Stockholm

  6. Research Into The Impacts Of Loss of Inverness-Gatwick Service (1) • Independent study, undertaken in December 2001 • This was before:* easyJet Gatwick service * bmi Heathrow service • Based on loss of full service operator with additional services to Luton or Stansted

  7. Research Into The Impacts Of Loss of Inverness-Gatwick Service (2) • Short-run employment loss of 1,400 Full-Time Equivalent jobs • Long term impact could be greater - not least through perceptions of the region being:“peripheral, with minimal interlining and premier routes from the South East” • Impacts generally felt in “premier” businesses • “Traditional” cost-benefit analysis cannot quantify the negative impacts in terms of trips no longer made… • Yet when Inverness-Heathrow ceased in 1997, traffic between London and Inverness fell by 20%

  8. Impact equals one in every hundred jobs in the region Loss of “premier” businesses:* regional GDP per capita is only 75% of the UK level* under 3% of the region’s businesses employ more than 50 people Low population (434,000) means that business base needs to be outward looking-exports and tourism Limited business base means that we require the “import” of external expertise Impacts would be felt widely in geographic terms The Findings In Context

  9. Caithness & Sutherland 7% Ross and Cromarty 18% Inverness & Nairn 43% Skye & Lochalsh 3% Moray, Badenoch & Strathspey 29% Origin of residents using the BA Inverness-Gatwick service

  10. Significance of Interlining • In the case of Inverness: “some firms were there on the assumption that they could easily get to London and the US” (Alastair Darling) but….. • The White Paper defines “London” as: Heathrow, Gatwick, Stansted, Luton and City

  11. “London” Airports:Service Profiles At August 2003

  12. Interlining: Gatwick and Luton Compared LTN GATWICK LHR Source: CAA Data

  13. Possible Alternatives? • Markets too thin to support extensive direct services to non-UK hubs • Interlining opportunities at regional airports are much less than at south east hubs • Surface access: only one direct daytime train between Inverness and London which takes 8 hours

  14. Conclusions • Air services to London generate very significant economic benefits • Need a mix of services to London airports-no frills and full service • This must include connections to hub airports, with adequate frequencies and timings • Interlining opportunities are essential, especially where the remote airport has limited connectivity • “Defined circumstances” for a PSO should reflect surface travel alternatives • Good air services are essential to growing regional prosperity

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