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IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011). TF Database Analysis Luiz Cheim and Lan Lin ABB Inc. Building the Database . + HQ = 521,700 records. Transformers Age Groups. Transformers Power Ratings. Transformers Voltage Classes. Transformers Oil Preservation Type. Reason for DGA.
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IEEE C57.104 Revision (Nov 2011) TF Database Analysis Luiz Cheim and Lan LinABB Inc.
Building the Database + HQ= 521,700 records
Percentiles of H2, C2H2 and CO vs. Power Ratings(Suspicious Units) ppm %
Percentiles of H2, C2H2 and CO vs. Voltage Class(Suspicious Units) ppm %
Annual Rate of Gas Formation (ppm/year)Percentiles of All Gases ppm %
After that… • HQ Data incorporated • Discussed unknown oil preservation system • Question of Rate of Gas Formation vs Levels
Montreal Meeting (May 2o12) Revisited Percentiles with Following Condition: O2/ (N2 + O2) < 5% and N2 > 70,000 => N2 Blanket 5 – 15% Membrane/Rubber Bag > 15% Open Breather
H2 – All Data Cigre AFSi AFMo IEEE
CH4 – All Data Cigre IEEE AFSi AFMo
C2H2 – All Data Cigre AFMo IEEE AFSi
C2H4 – All Data Cigre AFMo IEEE AFSi
C2H6 – All Data Cigre IEEE AFMo AFSi
CO – All Data Cigre AFSi = 1936 AFMo IEEE
CO2 – All Data Cigre AFMo AFSi = 25,387 IEEE
TDCG – All Data Cigre AFMo AFSi = 2,160 IEEE
Further Breakdown… Given a type of oil preservation (say, N2 Blanket) What happens to Gas Levels vs Voltage Class, MVA, Age?
H2, 90thPercentile – Per Voltage Class Cigre AFMo IEEE AFSi
H2, 90th Percentile – Per MVA Rating Cigre AFSi IEEE AFMo
H2, 90th Percentile – Per Age Group Cigre AFSi IEEE AFMo
Revision C57.104 – TF on Data Analysis Gas Rate Subject 1. Should we calculate rates percentiles for all gases? 2. Should we associate rates to levels? How? 3. Cigre recent experience
Revision C57.104 – TF on Data Analysis Cigre Levels vs Sampling Intervals Cigre SCD1.32 Brochure, December 2010
Revision C57.104 – TF on Data Analysis Cigre Rates vs Sampling Intervals Cigre SCD1.32 Brochure, December 2010
Revision C57.104 – TF on Data Analysis Cigre SCD1.32 Brochure December 2010
Revision C57.104 – TF on Data Analysis Proposal Under Discussion – Level vs Rate Frequency of DGA
Revision C57.104 – TF on Data Analysis Proposal Under Discussion – Level vs Rate Severity of Fault (?)
Revision C57.104 – TF on Data Analysis Gas Rates (IEEE Database)
Revision C57.104 – TF on Data Analysis Gas Rates (IEEE Database)
Revision C57.104 – TF on Data Analysis Gas Rate Issues 115 72 133 days
Revision C57.104 – TF on Data Analysis Gas Rate Issues 115 72 133 days
Revision C57.104 – TF on Data Analysis Gas Rate Issues ± 15% Cigre Typical Lab Accuracy 133 days
Revision C57.104 – TF on Data Analysis Gas Rate Issues ? 115 72 68 343 days
Revision C57.104 – TF on Data Analysis Gas Rate Issues
Revision C57.104 – TF on Data Analysis Another Example
Revision C57.104 – TF on Data Analysis Another Example 27 ppm/year 500 ppm/year
Revision C57.104 – TF on Data Analysis InherentUncertainty in Trend Calculation • Multiple Laboratories • Lab Variations (repeatability, reproducibility, accuracy) • Seasonal variations (temperature, etc) • Sampling errors (humans, sample contamination, etc) • Type of Transformer (N2, etc…) • Sampling interval??