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Internet: Act II a vision from Bell Labs. dr. Philippe Hervé Bell Labs Europe hervep@lucent.com. In the future ?. xDSL. RFID. (V)XML. Nanotech. HSDPA. WiMAX. FTTx. UDDI. GRID. IPv6. The future. Human beings are nomadic or mobile by essence. In the future.
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Internet: Act IIa vision from Bell Labs dr. Philippe Hervé Bell Labs Europe hervep@lucent.com
In the future ? xDSL RFID (V)XML Nanotech HSDPA WiMAX FTTx UDDI GRID IPv6
The future Human beings are nomadic or mobile by essence
In the future 2 major trends of evolution Ad-hoc networks (temporary and locally) Network centric view User centric view This will result in or require: Richer services Need of services frameworks Good supervision and management of the networks New and more efficient protocols Old “new technologies” might get a business case after all: e.g. FTTH And quite a degree of convergence in the “network”…
Key areas Key technology areas: Access Networks: FTTH, xDSL, Access Networks: 3G+/4G wireless interfaces Service frameworks: data management and service intelligence Nanotechnologies All of this on a common IP/MPLS core network
Network convergence • IPv6 • MPLS
Several degrees of convergence Transport layer: voice & data on the same backbone: IP/MPLS Nomadicity: seamless roaming across heterogeneous networks Fixed/wireless: services or applications are access agnostic User convergence: only relevant information is presented – the technology is hidden The NGN view of telcos
Fixed Access technologies • (re)ADSL, 2, 2+ • VDSL, 2 • FTTx
VDSL-asym. VDSL-sym. ADSL2+ ADSL2 ADSL SHDSL Access network technologies VDSL 2 Optical access Comfortable service ?
Wireless Access technologies • 3G, 3G+, 4G • HSDPA • MIMO • Wi-Fi and beyond
IS-2000 Rev C (1xEV-DV) IS-2000 Rev D (1xEV-DV) IS-2000 Rev A R’99 (EDGE) Rel 6 (SAIC) R’99 (UMTS) 1998 1999 1994 IS-95A IS-95B IS-2000 (CDMA2000 1x) 2003 2004 2000 IS-856 Rev A (1xEV-DO) IS-856 Rev 0 (1xEV-DO) Standards Completion Dates (or expected completion dates) shown in RED 4G Rel 5 (HSDPA) Rel 6 (HSUPA) 1998 1989 1997 GSM Rel’97 (GPRS) Rel’98 (AMR) 1999 2002 2004 2005+ 3G Standards Technology Evolutions 2G 3.G+ 3G
Average Aggregate Data Throughput in 10 MHz (3G vs. 3G+) Note: Capacities shown represent improvements as each feature is added to the features below it. Note: Average Aggregate Throughputs for CDMA2000 are for six 1.25 MHz carriers (a seventh carrier could be added if the 10 MHz of spectrum is contiguous) MRxD MRxD = 3G = 3G+ 1xEV-DO/DV Rev A/D HSDPA 1xEV-DO MRxD DSCH TD 1x EDGE DCH 3G+ technologies provide significant data capacity/throughput improvements over initial 3G systems
Nanotechnologies • MEMS
Nanotechnologies (the next step in food chain) MEMS Vacuum Tubes Why nanotechnologies ? • It will impact our relationship with machines and networks: • Wearable microphones • Compact batteries with low-discharge • Distributed body sensors • m navigational units (GPS, gyros) Nanotech in the networks • Integrated systems on chip with MEMS design technologies (e.g optical systems) • SOI flip-chip structures • Monolithic structures (OADM, switches) • Lens arrays • MEMS SLMs MEMS microphones
Service intelligence • Ambient networks • Ambient intelligence
In 2 years • Weather indicator: • Display weather forecast as a lamp (pulses if rain is coming) • Connects itself to the network using wireless technologies Source MIT
In 15 years Human interaction with home area network (HAN) to present personal information. HAN connects to the infrastructure network to retrieve specific information according to PAN profiles Source Philips Research