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MPR October 211009. Figure 1.1. Repo rate Per cent, quarterly averages. Source: The Riksbank. Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast. Figure 1.2. GDP with uncertainty bands Annual percentage change, seasonally-adjusted data. Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank.
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Figure 1.1. Repo ratePer cent, quarterly averages Source: The Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.
Figure 1.2. GDP with uncertainty bandsAnnual percentage change, seasonally-adjusted data Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank
Figure 1.3. CPI with uncertainty bandsAnnual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank
Figure 1.4. CPIF with uncertainty bandsAnnual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank
Figure 1.5. GDP-growth abroadAnnual percentage change Sources: IMF and the Riksbank Note. Striped bars represent the Riksbank’s forecast.
Figure 1.6. Difference between interbank rates and government bond rates (TED spread)Basis points Sources: Reuters EcoWin and the Riksbank
Figure 1.7. Difference between intebank rates and expected monetary policy (Basis spread)Basis points Sources: Reuters EcoWin and the Riksbank
Figure 1.8. Stock market movementsIndex, 04.01.99 = 100 Source: Reuters EcoWin
Figure 1.9. Stock market implied volatilityPer cent Sources: Chicago Board Option Exchange, Reuters EcoWin and STOXX Limited
Figure 1.10. Consumer confidence in Sweden, the euro area and the USANet figures and index, 1985 = 100 Sources: The Conference Board, European Commission and National Institute of Economic Research
Figure 1.11. Households’ net wealth and saving ratio in the USAPercentage of disposable income Sources: Federal Reserve and Department of Commerce Analysis, Eurostat, Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank
Figure 1.12. GDP for the USA and the euro areaQuarterly changes in per cent calculated in annualised terms, seasonally-adjusted data Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis, Eurostat and the Riksbank
Figure 1.13. TCW-weighted exchange rate Index, 18.11.92 = 100 Source: The Riksbank
Figure 1.14. Comparison of recovery in Sweden, the euro area and USAGDP-level, index 2007 quarter 4 = 100 Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis, Eurostat, Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank.
Figure 1.15. Comparison of recovery following various recessions, GDP SwedenIndex in the quarter preceding the beginning of the recession = 100 Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank
Figure 1.16. GDPQuarterly changes in per cent calculated in annualised terms, seasonally-adjusted data Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.
Figure 1.17. Households’ consumption, disposable incomes and saving ratio Annual percentage change, fixed prices and percentage of disposable income Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines and striped bars represent the Riksbank’s forecast.
Figure 1.18. Confidence indicator and saving ratio for householdsNet figures and per cent Sources: National Institute of Economic Research and Statistics Sweden
Figure 1.19. Swedish exports and world market for Swedish exportsAnnual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Dots represent the Riksbank's forecast for the whole year.
Figure 1.20. Gross fixed capital formationQuarterly changes in per cent calculated in annualised terms, seasonally-adjusted data Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank
Figure 1.21. Labour force and number of employedThousands, seasonally-adjusted data Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank
Figure 1.22. Employment rateEmployment as a percentage of the population, 16-64 year, seasonally-adjusted data Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.
Figure 1.23. UnemployedPercentage of the labour force, seasonally-adjusted data Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank
Figure 1.24. Actual and trend productivity growth in the economy as a wholeAnnual percentage change, seasonally-adjusted data Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank
Figure 1.25. Estimated gapsPercentage deviation from the HP trend Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank
Figure 1.26. Nominal wages Annual percentage change Sources: National Mediation Office, Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank
Figure 1.27. Unit labour costs for the economy as a wholeAnnual percentage change, fixed prices and per cent of disposable income Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank
Figure 1.28. CPI, CPIF and CPIF excluding energyAnnual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank
Figure 1.29. CPIF excluding energy and unit labour costsAnnual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.
Figure 1.30. Oil price, Brent crudeUSD per barrel Sources: Intercontinental Exchange and the Riksbank
Figure 1.31. HICP in Sweden and in the euro areaAnnual percentage change Sources: Eurostat, Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.
Figure 1.32. Repo ratePer cent, quarterly averages Source: The Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.
Figure 1.33. Real repo ratePer cent, quarterly averages Source: The Riksbank
Figure 1.34. CPIFAnnual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank
Figure 2.1. GDP abroadTCW-weighted, quarterly changes in per cent calculated in annualised terms Sources: National sources and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank's forecast.
Figure 2.2. Labour market gap (hours worked)Percentage deviation from the HP trend Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank's forecast.
Figure 2.3. CPIFAnnual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank's forecast.
Figure 2.4. Repo ratePer cent, quarterly averages Source: the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank's forecast.
Figure 2.5. GDPQuarterly averages in per cent calculated in annualised terms Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank's forecast.
Figure 2.6. GDPQuarterly averages in per cent calculated in annualised terms Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank's forecast.
Figure 2.7. CPIFAnnual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank's forecast.
Figure 2.8. Labour market gap (hours worked)Percentage deviation from the HP trend Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank's forecast.
Figure 2.9. Repo ratePer cent, quarterly averages Source: the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank's forecast.
Figure 2.10. Repo ratePer cent, quarterly averages Source: the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank's forecast.
Figure 2.11. GDPQuarterly averages in per cent calculated in annualised terms Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank's forecast.
Figure 2.12. Production gapPercentage deviation from the HP trend Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank's forecast.
Figure 2.13. Labour market gap (hours worked)Percentage deviation from the HP trend Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank's forecast.
Figure 2.14. CPIFAnnual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank's forecast.
Figure 3.1. Long-term interest ratesPer cent Source: Reuters EcoWin Note. Government bonds with approximately 10 years left to maturity.
