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Scenario Comparison Which are the most effective scenarios for the BE-AWARE project regions?

BE-AWARE II Final Conference, 18-19 November, Rönneby, Sweden. Scenario Comparison Which are the most effective scenarios for the BE-AWARE project regions?. Co-financed by the EU – Civil Protection Financial Instrument. Concept for analytical scenario comparison.

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Scenario Comparison Which are the most effective scenarios for the BE-AWARE project regions?

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  1. BE-AWARE II Final Conference, 18-19 November, Rönneby, Sweden Scenario ComparisonWhich are the most effective scenarios for the BE-AWARE project regions? Co-financed by the EU – Civil Protection Financial Instrument

  2. Concept for analytical scenario comparison Concept for analytical scenario comparisonCosts are given as order of magnitudes and include investment cost, lifetime, maintenance and running costs

  3. Concept for analytical scenario comparison • Introducing two key terms: • 1) Effectiveness (regarding damage for a given scenario compared to the 2020 reference scenario) • In brief: "How much is the env. and soc.-eco. damage reduced in a sub-region by introducing a given scenario?" • In brief brief: "How much does it help" • 2) Cost-efficiency • (regarding damage for a given scenario compared to the 2020 reference scenario) • In brief: "How much reduction in env. and soc.-eco. damage is achieved per invested EUR in a sub-region by introducing a given scenario?" • In brief brief :"How much do I get per EUR"

  4. Concept for analytical scenario comparison Environmental and socio-economic damage Effectiveness expressed by env. and soc.eco damage is qualitatively confirmed by effectiveness expressed by thee independent parameters

  5. BE-AWARE Sub-Regions

  6. Ireland and UK • Sub-Region 1: Irish Sea and Atlantic

  7. Effectiveness in reducing damage impact • Sub-Region 1: Irish Sea and Atlantic

  8. Sub-Region 1: Irish Sea and Atlantic Cost-efficiencyin reducing damage impact

  9. Cost-efficiency: Ranking of scenarios regarding reducing damage • Sub-Region 1: Irish Sea and Atlantic

  10. Summary Sub-region 1 (first 3 ranks are colored) • Sub-Region 1: Irish Sea and Atlantic *) Spill-over effect from neighbouring sub-regions

  11. Norway and UK • Sub-Region 2: Northern North Sea

  12. Effectiveness in reducing damage impact • Sub-Region 2: Northern North Sea

  13. Sub-Region 2: Northern North Sea Cost-efficiencyin reducing damage impact

  14. Sub-Region 2: Northern North Sea Cost-efficiency: Ranking of scenarios regarding reducing damage

  15. Sub-Region 2: Northern North Sea Summary Sub-region 2 (first 3 ranks are colored) *) Spill-over effect from neighbouring sub-regions

  16. Denmark, Germany, Norway and Sweden • Sub-Region 3: Eastern North Sea/Skagerrak

  17. Sub-Region 3: Eastern North Sea/Skagerrak • Effectiveness in reducing damage impact

  18. Sub-Region 3: Eastern North Sea/Skagerrak Cost-efficiencyin reducing damage impact

  19. Cost-efficiency: Ranking of scenarios regarding reducing damage • Sub-Region 3: Eastern North Sea/Skagerrak

  20. Sub-Region 3: Eastern North Sea/Skagerrak Summary Sub-region 3 (first 3 ranks are colored)

  21. Belgium, France, Germany, Netherlands and UK • Sub-Region 4: Southern North Sea

  22. Sub-Region 4: Southern North Sea • Effectiveness in reducing damage impact

  23. Sub-Region 4: Southern North Sea Cost-efficiencyin reducing damage impact

  24. Sub-Region 4: Southern North Sea Cost-efficiency: Ranking of scenarios regarding reducing damage

  25. Sub-Region 4: Southern North Sea Summary Sub-region 4 (first 3 ranks are colored)

  26. France and UK • Sub-Region 5: Channel

  27. Sub-Region 5: Channel • Effectiveness in reducing damage impact

  28. Sub-Region 5: Channel Cost-efficiency: Ranking of scenarios regarding reducing damage

  29. Sub-Region 5: Channel Summary Sub-region 5 (first 3 ranks are colored) *) Spill-over effect from neighbouring sub-regions

  30. Concept for analytical scenario comparison Environmental values at stake: Sub-region 1: 2.500 (tonnes oil weighted) Sub-region 2: 2.500 (tonnes oil weighted) Sub-region 3: 18.000 (tonnes oil weighted) Sub-region 4: 80.000 (tonnes oil weighted) Sub-region 5: 6.000 (tonnes oil weighted)

  31. Concept for analytical scenario comparison Concept for analytical scenario comparisonCosts are given as order of magnitudes and include investment cost, lifetime, maintenance and running costs

  32. Thank youbeaware.bonnagreement.org Questions?

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