1 / 31

Meteorology 415

Meteorology 415. Contest 2 Detroit, MI and Billings, MT October 13, 2011. Detroit, MI. Detroit, MI.

theola
Télécharger la présentation

Meteorology 415

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Meteorology 415 Contest 2 Detroit, MI and Billings, MT October 13, 2011

  2. Detroit, MI

  3. Detroit, MI FAA Identifier: DTW Lat/Long: 42-12-44.8000N / 083-21-12.2000W42-12.746667N / 083-21.203333W42.2124444 / -83.3533889(estimated) Elevation: 645 ft. / 196.6 m (surveyed) Variation: 06W (1990) From city: 15 miles S of DETROIT, MI

  4. Motown – Music City • http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T0HhHva8ZcY

  5. Detroit Observations • KDTW 131753Z 17007KT 7SM SCT030 BKN070 BKN120 19/13 A2959 RMK AO2 SLP018 • T01890133 10189 20144 58021= • KDTW 131853Z 11005KT 8SM SCT024 BKN038 BKN100 19/13 A2956 RMK AO2 SLP010 • T01890128= • KDTW 131900Z 10005KT 8SM BKN024 OVC036 19/13 A2956 RMK AO2= • KDTW 131853Z 11005KT 8SM SCT024 BKN038 BKN100 19/13 A2956= • KDTW 131900Z 10005KT 8SM BKN024 OVC036 19/13 A2956= • KDTW 131908Z 12004KT 8SM SCT024 BKN036 19/13 A2956 RMK AO2= • KDTW 131953Z 13009KT 9SM BKN037 OVC060 19/13 A2955 RMK AO2 SLP004 T01890128= • KDTW 132053Z 13007KT 10SM BKN035 BKN100 BKN200 19/12 A2953 RMK AO2 SLP997 • T01890122 56020= • KDTW 132153Z 11004KT 9SM SCT036 BKN050 BKN100 18/12 A2951 RMK AO2 SLP990 • T01830122= • KDTW 132253Z 13004KT 8SM SCT034 BKN050 OVC100 18/13 A2950 RMK AO2 SLP987 • T01830128= • KDTW 132353Z 10004KT 10SM FEW035 BKN085 OVC100 18/12 A2948 RMK AO2 SLP982 • T01780117 10194 20178 56015= • KDTW 140053Z 10005KT 10SM SCT038 BKN050 OVC075 17/12 A2948 RMK AO2 SLP980 • T01720122= • KDTW 140153Z 11003KT 7SM -RA BKN035 BKN045 OVC050 17/13 A2946 RMK AO2 RAB49 • SLP975 P0000 T01670128= • KDTW 140253Z 09004KT 8SM FEW043 OVC065 16/13 A2944 RMK AO2 RAE08 SLP966 P0000 • 60000 T01610133 58015= • KDTW 140337Z 12005KT 7SM BKN010 OVC033 16/13 A2942 RMK AO2=

  6. Detroit Observations • KDTW 140353Z 10003KT 7SM BKN010 OVC045 16/14 A2941 RMK AO2 RAB47E51 SLP958 • P0000 T01610139= • KDTW 140410Z 17005KT 1 3/4SM R04R/6000VP6000FT +RA BR BKN010 BKN027 OVC045 • 16/14 A2941 RMK AO2 TWR VIS 4 RAB05 P0000= • KDTW 140410Z 17005KT 1 3/4SM R04R/6000VP6000FT +RA BR BKN010BKN027 OVC045 16/14 • A2941= • KDTW 140417Z 17005KT 1SM R04R/P6000FT +RA BR BKN008 OVC027 16/14 A2941 RMK AO2 • TWR VIS 2 1/2 RAB05 P0002 $= • KDTW 140417Z 17005KT 1SM R04R/P6000FT +RA BR BKN008 OVC027 16/14A2941= • KDTW 140427Z 17008KT 1 3/4SM RA BR SCT008 BKN014 OVC035 16/14 A2940 RMK AO2 TWR • VIS 2 1/2 RAB05 P0008 $= • KDTW 140427Z 17008KT 1 3/4SM RA BR SCT008 BKN014 OVC035 16/14A2940= • KDTW 140444Z 16006KT 2 1/2SM -RA BR FEW008 BKN029 OVC060 16/14 A2939 RMK AO2 • TWR VIS 4 RAB05 P0009 $= • KDTW 140444Z 16006KT 2 1/2SM -RA BR FEW008 BKN029 OVC060 16/14A2939= • KDTW 140453Z 18006KT 4SM -RA BR FEW008 BKN029 OVC060 16/14 A2938 RMK AO2 RAB05 • SLP948 P0009 T01610144 401940144 $= • KDTW 140459Z 17005KT 5SM -RA BR SCT012 BKN038 OVC070 16/14 A2938 RMK AO2 P0000 • $= • KDTW 140453Z 18006KT 4SM -RA BR FEW008 BKN029 OVC060 16/14 A2938= • KDTW 140459Z 17005KT 5SM -RA BR SCT012 BKN038 OVC070 16/14 A2938= • KDTW 140531Z 13003KT 6SM -RA BR SCT009 BKN014 OVC055 16/14 A2937 RMK AO2 P0000 • $= • KDTW 140553Z 15005KT 6SM -RA BR SCT009 BKN014 OVC055 16/14 A2936 RMK AO2 SLP939 • P0000 60009 T01560144 10178 20156 58026 $= • KDTW 140614Z 14005KT 4SM BR SCT007 BKN017 OVC065 16/14 A2935 RMK AO2 RAE09 • P0000 $= • KDTW 140653Z 18005KT 2 1/2SM -RA BR SCT007 BKN017 OVC065 16/14 A2934 RMK AO2 • TWR VIS 4 RAE09B44 SLP934 P0000 T01560144 $= • KDTW 140658Z 18008KT 1 1/4SM -RA BR SCT007 BKN011 OVC034 16/14 A2934 RMK AO2 • TWR VIS 2 P0000 $= • KDTW 140653Z 18005KT 2 1/2SM -RA BR SCT007 BKN017 OVC065 16/14 A2934= • KDTW 140658Z 18008KT 1 1/4SM -RA BR SCT007 BKN011 OVC034 16/14A2934=

  7. Detroit Observations • KDTW 140720Z 22006KT 1 3/4SM -RA BR BKN007 BKN011 OVC034 16/14 A2933 RMK AO2 • TWR VIS 2 P0001 $= • KDTW 140720Z 22006KT 1 3/4SM -RA BR BKN007 BKN011 OVC034 16/14A2933= • KDTW 140750Z 26016G25KT 2 1/2SM BR BKN007 OVC011 14/12 A2933 RMK AO2 TWR VIS 4 • RAE47 P0001 $= • KDTW 140753Z 27015G25KT 2 1/2SM BR BKN007 OVC011 14/12 A2933 RMK AO2 TWR VIS 4 • RAE47 SLP930 P0001 T01390122 $= • KDTW 140759Z 27014G24KT 6SM BR SCT007 BKN021 OVC045 14/12 A2933 RMK AO2 $= • KDTW 140753Z 27015G25KT 2 1/2SM BR BKN007 OVC011 14/12 A2933= • KDTW 140759Z 27014G24KT 6SM BR SCT007 BKN021 OVC045 14/12 A2933= • KDTW 140853Z 25009KT 6SM -RA BR SCT007 BKN025 OVC045 14/12 A2935 RMK AO2 RAB03 • SLP937 P0000 60001 T01390117 55002 $= • KDTW 140900Z 25009KT 10SM -RA SCT014 OVC055 13/12 A2935 RMK AO2 P0000 $= • KDTW 140853Z 25009KT 6SM -RA BR SCT007 BKN025 OVC045 14/12 A2935= • KDTW 140900Z 25009KT 10SM -RA SCT014 OVC055 13/12 A2935= • KDTW 140925Z 25009KT 10SM FEW009 BKN022 OVC070 14/12 A2935 RMK AO2 RAE02 P0000 • $= • KDTW 140953Z 24010KT 10SM FEW009 BKN022 OVC060 14/12 A2936 RMK AO2 RAE02 SLP940 • P0000 T01390117 $= • KDTW 141014Z 24009KT 10SM FEW012 BKN032 OVC060 14/12 A2936 RMK AO2 $= • KDTW 141053Z 23012KT 10SM SCT014 BKN032 OVC060 14/11 A2937 RMK AO2 SLP944 • T01390111 $= • KDTW 141127Z 23011KT 10SM SCT018 BKN028 OVC070 14/11 A2937 RMK AO2 $= • KDTW 141145Z 23012KT 10SM SCT022 BKN038 OVC075 14/11 A2938 RMK AO2 $= • KDTW 141153Z 23011KT 10SM SCT022 BKN038 OVC075 14/11 A2938 RMK AO2 SLP946 60001 • 70010 T01390106 10156 20133 52008 $=

  8. Guidance

  9. Synoptic Pattern

  10. Surface Analysis

  11. Radar

  12. Verifications

  13. Standings for Detroit

  14. Standings for Detroit

  15. Up close and personal

  16. Detroit – Lessons Learned • Frontal passages in the early morning hours during the cold season tend to lack moisture (total amount) • Aviation Guidance (LAMP) is an excellent tool for estimating ceilings and visibility • A rapidly strengthening cyclone produces much wind, but if it passes to the north, not much liquid.

  17. Billings, MT

  18. Billings, MT FAA Identifier: BIL Lat/Long: 45-48-27.6000N / 108-32-34.4000W45-48.460000N / 108-32.573333W45.8076667 / -108.5428889(estimated) Elevation: 3652 ft. / 1113.1 m (surveyed) Variation: 14E (1990) From city: 2 miles NW of BILLINGS, MT

  19. Big Sky Country • ain't gonna work on maggie's farm no more

  20. Billings Observations • KBIL 151153Z 26004KT 10SM BKN120 04/01 A2988 RMK AO2 SLP125 T00440006 10061 • 20028 56013= • KBIL 151253Z 21009KT 10SM FEW080 BKN100 03/01 A2985 RMK AO2 SLP120 T00330006= • KBIL 151353Z 21005KT 10SM FEW070 BKN120 03/01 A2983 RMK AO2 SLP112 VIRGA SHRA • DSNT W-NE T00280006= • KBIL 151453Z 31009KT 10SM FEW024 BKN090 OVC110 05/02 A2989 RMK AO2 PK WND • 32026/1423 RAB32E53 PRESRR SLP132 VIRGA VCSH ALQDS P0000 60000 T00500017 53001= • KBIL 151553Z 33004KT 10SM FEW050 SCT100 BKN120 07/04 A2990 RMK AO2 RAB03E18 • SLP136 VIRGA W-N-SE VCSH N-SE P0001 T00670039= • KBIL 151653Z 02008KT 10SM FEW020 SCT090 BKN110 07/04 A2992 RMK AO2 RAB02E10 • SLP141 VIRGA DSNT NW-N P0000 T00720039= • KBIL 151753Z 03014KT 10SM FEW013 SCT080 BKN110 08/04 A2994 RMK AO2 RAB09E42 • SLP148 VIRGA ALQDS P0000 60001 T00830044 10083 20028 53016= • KBIL 151853Z 03011G16KT 10SM -RA SCT015 BKN070 BKN090 09/04 A2997 RMK AO2 RAB43 • SLP154 P0000 T00890044= • KBIL 151953Z 02008KT 10SM -RA FEW015 SCT041 BKN065 08/04 A2998 RMK AO2 RAE17B48 • SLP162 P0001 T00780044= • KBIL 152053Z 03006KT 10SM -RA FEW015 BKN045 BKN075 07/06 A2999 RMK AO2 SLP165 • P0003 60004 T00720056 51015= • KBIL 152133Z 00000KT 8SM RA FEW006 BKN050 07/06 A3001 RMK AO2 VIS LWR NE-E • P0004= • KBIL 152153Z 11004KT 10SM -RA SCT005 BKN050 OVC070 07/06 A3001 RMK AO2 SLP174 • P0004 T00670061= • KBIL 152253Z 00000KT 10SM -RA FEW005 BKN055 OVC070 07/06 A3003 RMK AO2 RAE17B52 • SLP182 P0001 T00670056= • KBIL 152353Z 17003KT 10SM -RA FEW005 SCT009 BKN060 07/06 A3004 RMK AO2 SLP184 • P0002 60011 T00670061 10089 20067 51015=

  21. Billings Observations • KBIL 152353Z 17003KT 10SM -RA FEW005 SCT009 BKN060 07/06 A3004 RMK AO2 SLP184 P0002 60011 T00670061 10089 • 20067 51015= • KBIL 160053Z 00000KT 10SM FEW005 SCT023 OVC065 07/05 A3005 RMK AO2 RAE09 SLP188 P0000 T00670050= • KBIL 160153Z 17003KT 10SM -RA FEW026 BKN065 OVC075 07/05 A3006 RMK AO2 RAB46 SLP193 P0000 T00720050= • KBIL 160253Z 00000KT 10SM BKN075 BKN090 07/06 A3008 RMK AO2 RAE0156 SLP199 P0000 60000 T00670056 53014= • KBIL 160353Z 00000KT 10SM SCT065 OVC085 07/05 A3011 RMK AO2 SLP205 T00670050= • KBIL 160453Z 06004KT 10SM OVC070 07/04 A3012 RMK AO2 SLP208 T00670044= • KBIL 160553Z VRB03KT 10SM OVC085 07/04 A3013 RMK AO2 SLP210 60000 T00670044 10072 20061 51014= • KBIL 160653Z 09004KT 10SM SCT080 05/03 A3014 RMK AO2 SLP214 T00500028 400890028= • KBIL 160753Z 02003KT 10SM BKN080 05/02 A3015 RMK AO2 SLP219 T00500022= • KBIL 160853Z 00000KT 10SM SCT075 05/01 A3015 RMK AO2 SLP222 T00500006 51007= • KBIL 160953Z 00000KT 10SM BKN075 04/00 A3015 RMK AO2 SLP223 T00390000= • KBIL 161053Z 00000KT 10SM SCT080 04/M01 A3014 RMK AO2 SLP219 T00391006= • KBIL 161153Z 35003KT 10SM SCT080 03/00 A3014 RMK AO2 SLP220 70012 T00330000 10067 20028 56004=

  22. Guidance

  23. Surface Analysis

  24. Radar

  25. Synoptic Pattern

  26. Upper Air Pattern

  27. Verifications

  28. Standings for Billings

  29. Up Close and Personal

  30. Billings – Lessons Learned • Predicting a ‘jet streak’ three days in advance is challenging, yet the guidance was in the ‘ballpark’. • A jet streak circulation may be more pronounced when the streak is oriented parallel to nearby high terrain (such as the Big Horn Mts). • Evaporative cooling plays a major role in temperatures on the east slopes of the Rockies.

  31. Weekly Winners (Oct 11-13)

More Related