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Cost Volume Profit Analysis

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  1. Cost Volume Profit Analysis A tool for decision making Source- Cost Accounting – A managerial emphasis by Horngreen, Datar & Foster [ Chapter-3]

  2. Learning objectives Understanding • CVP analysis and its strategic role • CVP analysis for BEP planning • CVP analysis for revenue & cost planning • Sensitivity analysis when sales are uncertain • Multi-product situation & CVP analysis • Multiple cost driver situation • Use in decision making • Limitations and effect on interpretation of results

  3. Marginal costing A TECHNIQUE USED IN DECISION MAKING - If the volume of output increases, the average cost per unit will decrease. Conversely, if the output is reduced, the average cost per unit will go up

  4. CVP Analysis a method for analysing how operating and marketing decisions affect net income CVP model: Profit = Revenue – Total cost = Q x SPU – Q x VCU - FC

  5. CVP analysis WHAT IF? Change in: Output level Selling price VC per unit And/or fixed cost of a product Behaviour of: Total revenue Total cost Operating income

  6. Applications of CVP Analysis Setting prices for products and services New product/service introduction Replacing a machine Make or buy What if analysis

  7. Strategic role of CVP analysis • Cost leadership firms compete by increasing volume to achieve low per unit operating cost- predict effect of volume on profit and risk of increasing FC • Early stage of cost life cycle- predict the profitability of the product • Use in target costing – profitability of alternative designs • Later phases of life cycle- mfg. stage- evaluate most profitable mfg. process • Helps in strategic positioning- - differentiation- assessing desirability of new features - cost leadership- low cost operating means

  8. Some terms • Operating income = Gross operating revenue – COGS and operating costs • Net income = operating income + net non-operating revenues – income tax • Contribution margin = contribution margin per unit X No. of units sold

  9. BEP Equation method: Revenue-variable cost – fixed cost = operating income [SP X Q] – [VCU X Q]- FC = Operating income At BEP, operating income = “Zero”

  10. BEP Contribution margin method: rearranging the equation [SP X Q]- [VCU X Q] –FC = OI Or, [SP-VCU] X Q = FC + OI At BEP, [SP-VCU] X Q = FC i.e., CMU X Q = FC Hence, Q = FC / CMU (in terms of number) Q = FC / PV ratio (in terms of revenue)

  11. PV ratio PV ratio = CMU/SP • a % figure • a rate of profitability Uses of PV ratio: • 1- P/V ratio = Variable cost ratio • Sales X P/V ratio = Gross contribution • Determining the sales mix • BEP = FC / PV Ratio • [FC+ Target Profit ] / PV ratio gives the volume of output to be sold to earn a desired level of output

  12. Improving PV ratio improvement in P/V ratio will mean more profit • reduce variable cost • increase selling price • product mix to change in favour of high P/V ratio products • Change in FC?

  13. Assumptions • Volume is the revenue and cost driver • Total cost can be segregated into fixed and variable components • Total revenue and cost are linear functions of volume within relevant range and time • Selling price, VC per unit and fixed cost are known and constant within relevant range and time • Applicable to single product or multi-product situation with constant sales mix as volume changes

  14. BEP- graphical method (CVP graph)-shows how R & TC change when Q changes Total sales Total cost Fixed cost Rs. Units Profit Angle of incidence BEP Loss

  15. PV graph- - shows how net income changes when Q changes Profit Fixed cost Output volume + Profit O Loss BEP -

  16. Stimulate your thought • What is margin of safety’s significance? • MOS v. size of fixed cost: risk • Larger angle of incidence: what does it imply? • BEP point shift – up and down: what does it mean? • Monopoly- plant efficiency v. angle of incidence • Competition- plant efficiency v. angle of incidence

  17. Target operating income Means a target contribution margin Q = [Fixed cost + Target OI] / CMU Understanding impact of IT: Target net income: = Target OI- Target OI X Tax rate So, Target OI = Target NI / [1 – tax rate] Hence, Q = [FC + Target NI / [1 – tax rate]] /CMU

  18. Improving MOS • Reduce FC • Increase sales volume • Selling more profitable products • Reduce VC • Increase in selling price in case of demand inelastic products

  19. Sensitivity analysis Revenue required at Rs.200 selling price to earn the target OI of FC VCU 0 1200 1600 2000 2000 100 4000 6400 7200 8000 120 5000 8000 9000 10000 150 8000 12800 14400 16000 2400 100 4800 7200 8000 8800 120 6000 9000 10000 11000 150 9600 14400 16000 17600 2800 100 5600 8000 8800 9600 120 7000 10000 11000 12000 150 11200 16000 17600 19200 A way to recognise uncertainty

  20. Cost planning & CVP Revenue required at Rs.200 selling price to earn the target OI of FC VCU 0 1200 1600 2000 2000 120 5000 8000 9000 10000 2800 100 5600 8000 8800 9600 - Substitution of fixed cost for VC results in more risk of loss (higher BEP) but offers a greater profit as revenue increases. Learning: CVP analysis helps in evaluating various FC/VC structures

  21. Operating leverage - Marry wants to sell 40 units @Rs.200/unit with purchase cost of Rs.120/unit Cost options: Option-I Option-II Option-III Rs.2000 FC Rs.800 FC + 15% of Revenue 25% of Revenue OI: Rs.1200 Rs.1200 Rs.1200 BEP: 25 units 16 units 0 units MOS= 15 units 24 units 40 units If no. of units sold drops to 20 units: option I will give operating loss. If no. of units sold is 60, option I will give highest OI of Rs.2800.

  22. Cont……. Learning: Moving from I to III: Marry faces less risk of loss when demand is low, but looses opportunity for higher OI when demand is high. Choice of cost structure: confidence in demand projection and ability to bear loss - Operating leverage measures this risk-return trade-off

  23. Cont…….. - Operating leverage describes the effects that fixed costs have on changes in OI as changes in sales volume happens, and, hence in contribution margin. - High FC and lower VC means, higher operating leverage: small increase in sales results in large increase in OI and small decrease means large decrease in OI leading to greater risk of operating loss. - At a given level of sales: degree of operating leverage = contribution margin / operating income

  24. Cont….. Option-I Option-II Option-III 1. CMU Rs.80 Rs.50 Rs.30 2. CM Rs.3200 Rs.2000 Rs.1200 3. OI Rs.1200 Rs.1200 Rs.1200 Degree of Operating leverage2.67 1.67 1.00 [DOL] DOL is specific to a given level of sales as starting point. If the starting point changes, DOL changes Interpretation: Change of sales by 50% would change the OI under option-I by 50% X 2.67, i.e., by 133%

  25. Concept in action Influencing cost structures to manage the risk-return trade-off at amazon.com - Amazon.com- virtual model- no warehousing and inventory cost, but cost of books is high • Barnes & Noble- brick & mortar model- purchased from publishers with lower cost- high fixed cost • Amazon went for acquisition of distribution centres (increased FC, Operating Leverage, risk, but lower VC)

  26. Effect of time Whether a cost is fixed or not, depends on: • Relevant range • Time horizon • Decision in hand

  27. Limiting Factor • Constraints • Contribution per unit of the limiting factor • Multiple limiting factors

  28. Contribution income statement Revenues 100 VC of goods sold 60 Variable operating Cost 15 Contribution margin 25 Less: FC 5 Operating income 20 Gross margin income statement Revenues 100 Cost of goods sold 60 Gross margin 40 Operating cost[15+5] 20 Operating income 20 Contribution margin v. gross margin

  29. CVP Analysis for ABC Find out cost drivers for batch level FC and on the basis of batch size relate it to product VC. So, FC reduces, MCU also changes. New BEP is arrived at.