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2005 – Methodologies for Determining AS Requirements

2005 – Methodologies for Determining AS Requirements. J. Adams. Quick Review – 2004 Methods. Regulation – mean of historic usage Responsive reserve – 2300 MW Non-spin – flow chart – if expected temperature > 95 or < 30 purchase Nonspin equal to largest unit. Etc.(+ Other conditions).

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2005 – Methodologies for Determining AS Requirements

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  1. 2005 – Methodologies for Determining AS Requirements J. Adams

  2. Quick Review – 2004 Methods • Regulation – mean of historic usage • Responsive reserve – 2300 MW • Non-spin – flow chart – if expected temperature > 95 or < 30 purchase Nonspin equal to largest unit. Etc.(+ Other conditions)

  3. Quick Review – 2004 Methods • Replacement reserve – calculate sum of requirements –minus resource plan available. If insufficient procure more. • Minimum balancing down requirement - average amount of frequency deviation during periods of high frequency will be analyzed for the season.

  4. 2005 Recommended Changes • Regulation – Old: re-evaluate monthly by 20th of month. Look at current & equivalent month 1 year ago. Calculate mean and standard deviation of deployments. Select amount to cover 2.5 standard deviations. (98.8% of time will not exhaust regulation) • New: Analyze 0600 & 2200 for ramp rate required. Add this additional ramp rate requirement to need.

  5. 2005 Recommended Changes • Responsive reserve requirement – no change (2300 MW) • Non-spin reserve – no change (>92° etc) • Replacement reserve – New replacement program

  6. Review Regulation Calculation U = 60.85, Std dev = 372.32

  7. Interim Result – Hourly requirement

  8. Grouping & Rounding

  9. UREG & DREG Requirement EXAMPLE

  10. 2005 - In addition to the previous • Hour 0600 – Examine each period around 0600 of month for delta frequency over minutes. Convert this frequency error to a MW ramping requirement by multiplying times bias. Add this to the 0600 -0700 requirements. • Hour 2200: Same for 2200-2300.

  11. Effect

  12. Net Effect • Adds ~ 990 MW Regup 0600-0700 • Adds ~ 1020 MW Regdown 0600-0700 • Adds ~ 1025 MW Regup 2200-2300 • Adds ~ 1065 MW Regdown 2200-2300

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