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Announcements. Migration. Gene flow between populations Effects Receiving population: Change in allele and genotype frequencies (away from H-W) Between populations: homogenization Prevents evolutionary divergence due to selection Migration-selection balance analogous to mutation-selection.
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Announcements Migration Gene flow between populations Effects Receiving population: Change in allele and genotype frequencies (away from H-W) Between populations: homogenization Prevents evolutionary divergence due to selection Migration-selection balance analogous to mutation-selection
unbanded snakes are cryptic and selected on island, yet banded snakes persist? why are there no unbanded snakes on mainland? • unbanded banded banded unbanded
Migration migration-selection balance analogous to mutation-selection balance migration selection pressure selection pressure population 2 population 1
Genetic Drift • Sampling error: chance differences due to finite population size • Effects • Change in allele and genotype frequencies (away from H-W) • 1) Causes loss of alleles (genetic diversity) • 2) Increases homozygosity Measures of genetic diversity H: mean fraction of individuals in a population heterozygous at a locus Fraction polymorphic: the fraction of loci in a population that have 2+ alleles (in practice, allele freq > 0.01) Allelic richness: Average number of alleles/locus
Drift – loss of genetic diversity Allele frequency fluctuates inversely with population size (N). Heterozygosity is maximized when f(A1) = 0.5 What happens to Hbar?
Drift causes a loss of H -directly proportional to time -inversely proportional to N Hg+1 = Hg [1 – 1/2n]
Measures of H in four plant species Fraction polymorphic: the fraction of loci in a population that have 2+ alleles (in practice, allele freq > 0.01)
Drift causes a loss of genetic diversity • Conservation implications of reduced genetic diversity: • Genetic diversity is the raw material for adaptive evolution. • As H decreases, homozygosity increases; therefore deleterious recessive alleles drag down average fitness (inbreeding depression).
Drift and rate of molecular evolution What happens when drift is the only evolutionary force at work? Rate of evolution: rate of substitution (fixation) of one allele for another. what is the fate of a new mutation: extinction, mutation-selection balance, or, fixation generation 1
Drift and rate of molecular evolution • Molecular biology of DNA and proteins radically changed evolutionary biology • Zuckerland and Pauling ’65: rate of a.a. sequence divergence constant in vertebrates (molecular clock) not episodic (due to occasional beneficial mutations). • Rate of substitution is surprisingly high (1/2 per year) during course of vertebrate evolution (Kimura ’68). That is, every two years an amino acid substitution is occurring within a population. • Kimura proposed Neutral theory: the vast majority of molecular evolution (substitution) is due to drift of mutations of nofitness consequence. • 1) beneficial mutations are extremely rare • 2) deleterious mutations are removed by selection
Drift and rate of molecular evolution • Kimura proposed Neutral theory: the vast majority of molecular evolution (substitution) is due to drift of mutations of no fitness consequence. • 1) beneficial mutations are extremely rare • 2) deleterious mutations are removed by selection • Kimura model: • • If all 2N copies are selectively equivalent (neutral), each has a chance of becoming the • fixed allele = 1/2N • • In every generation, mutation will introduce new alleles at rate v. The number of new mutants each generation = 2Nv. • • Therefore, the rate of fixing new mutants in the population = ( 2Nv)(1/2N) = v. • This means that the rate of sequence evolution, if all alleles are neutral, equals the mutation rate. • Conclusions of Kimura's Neutral Theory • Most of molecular evolution is neutral. • •New beneficial mutations are extremely rare • •Most non-neutral mutations are deleterious, and eliminated by selection. • 2) Population size doesn't matter. • •Rate of neutral evolution is independent of population size. • •v represents the maximum rate of evolutionary change.
Drift and rate of molecular evolution Evidence for neutral molecular evolution: (replacement) Fitness effect: neutral often deleterious + rarely beneficial Prediction of neutral theory: synonymous (neutral) mutations should be far more common than nonsynonymous, b/c the latter tend to be deleterious.
Drift and rate of molecular evolution Evidence for neutral molecular evolution from influenza virus: Neutral substitutions occur 4x more frequently
Inbreeding (a form of non-random mating) Effect on H-W expectation: increases homozygosity Example: selfing: Homozygotes produce identical homozygotes Heterozygotes produce ½ heterozygotes, ½ homozygotes Can no longer predict genotypes from allele frequencies. Allele frequencies haven’t changed (this is why non-random mating is not necessarily a cause of evolution)
Inbreeding (a form of non-random mating) Inbreeding: The probability of sharing an allele by descent. F: Inbreeding coefficient Example: half sib mating F=1/16 (red allele) + 1/16 (blue allele) = 1/8
ws wo Inbreeding depression δ = 1 – delta: inbreeding depression coefficientws = selfed fitnesswo = out-crossed fitness
small N Inbreeding depression Drift Conservation genetics Prairie chicken Westemeier et al., ‘98 Habitat destruction 1) N 2) Fragments N Mutational meltdown (Lynch & Gabriel, ‘90) Extinction vortex (Soule’ and Mills, ’98) Extinction vortex Conservation effort
small N Inbreeding depression Drift Conservation genetics • Prairie chicken • Extinction vortex test (Bouzat et al., ’98) • Prediction Result • Genetic diversity should be lower • compared to past yes • compared to other pop’s yes • polymorphism 3.6 V. 5.5 • Treatment: Gene flow • 1992: Migration from Minnesota, Kansas • and Nebraska