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ERICSSON RESEARCH. Jan Färjh Vice President Head of Ericsson Research. Outline. Future key areas - Vision Major trends today Summary. Ericsson Research At the heart of telecommunication . Devices everywhere. 1000 % penetration rate Trillions of radio tags and billions of sensors .
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ERICSSON RESEARCH Jan Färjh Vice President Head of Ericsson Research
Outline • Future key areas - Vision • Major trends today • Summary
Devices everywhere 1000 % penetration rate Trillions of radio tags and billions of sensors
Everything shared Recording and sharing life 3D audio and graphics Web 3.0
High integrity Secure terminals Secure transactions Secure sharing
Simplicity Simple and easy service adoption Services easily deployed and managed Automated and self-managed networks
Infinite performance Wireless access also for larger screens Fiber networks spanning the world
Sustainability ICT contributes to a sustainable world
Research for Technology Leadership • Devices everywhere • Everything shared • Next 3 billion users • High integrity • Simplicity • Infinite performance • Sustainability
Global cellular subscriptionsBy system standard Reported subscription forecast by standard Source: Internal Ericsson
Fixed access traffic IPTV Internet Voice Network traffic growthStrong outlook Mobile access traffic TV/video Terabyte Terabyte Internet Voice Source: Ericsson and market estimate Traffic growth driven by TV, video and internet
Technology trends - highlights • Faster networks • More powerful processors • Higher memory capacity • New Services Technology trends drives user behavior
Over 300 HSPA enabled devices* • 137 mobile phones • 51 PC with HSPA embedded • 87 PC cards and USB modems • 32 wireless routers • 3 Media players and 1 camera *Commercially launched as of June 2007 (GSA) Most popular device: HSPA USB module (Sweden, June 2007)
HSPA offerings on marketSome examples Optimus, Portugal Examples: 2GB/month USD 40 6GB/month USD 53 Examples USD 12/month - 25MB/day Maxis Malaysia offering fixed ’replacement’ Example: For RM 98/month = USD 30/month 3 Sweden example: Unlimited 3.6 Mbps = USD 29/month Formerly Vodafone Mobile Connect Card 3G Examples: 1Gb = USD 53/month 4Gb = USD 79/month Cingular First in the world Examples: Unlimited USD 59,99 Examples: USD 25/month 250 MB included USD 53/month 1GB included Projection: 50% of all sold Laptops/ Notebooks to have HSPA by 2011
Traffic Volume per RNC – All markets Speech Total Packet HSPA Source: NetQB
Aggressive Operator Packet Speech Total HSPA Source: NetQB
GSM and 3G data evolution1000 x Higher Peak Rate in 10 years 3G LTE HSPA Evolved HSPA 3G GPRS 40 kbps 384 kbps 3.6 Mbps 28/42 Mbps >100 Mbps Peak rate 1998 2002 2005 2008 2009 Ericsson 1000 x Higher Peak Rate in 10 years
Multi-antenna transmission techniques Diversity for improved system peformance Beam-forming for improved coverage(less cells to cover a given area) SDMA for improved capacity(more users per cell) Multi-layer transmisson (”MIMO”) for higher data rates in a given bandwidth What multi-antenna technique to use depends on what to achieve
Digital TV evolution – three phases Content industry Digital broadcast IPTV 1.0 ”Networked TV” Networked TV - a new dimension of the TV user experience
Fixed access Symmetric Data Rate, Mbps GPON 100 VDSL2 28 ~20 km ADSL2+ 13 ADSL2 8 ADSL 6 Km 7 Km Length, Km 1 Km 2 Km 3 Km 4 Km 5 Km
Making Web 2.0 mobile Web 2.0 services Mobile Phone Camera Address book mp3 player Network Broker/ exchange Location Presence Make the phone the main source of User Generated Content
Summary • Mobile broadband is here • Data traffic has surpassed voice traffic • Excellent oppurtunity to introduce new services • IPTV will drive GPON technology • Performance will increase even further