1 / 22

Predictive Model for Analyzing Homicides in St. Louis: Insights and Challenges

This presentation by Whitney Cunningham, Jo Pang, Robert Talbott, and Alex Dunagan explores a comprehensive model for predicting homicides in St. Louis City. It encompasses qualitative and quantitative analyses from 1979-2007, discussing critical factors such as age, race, weapon used, and offender-victim relationships. The team highlights the challenges faced, including missing data and lack of neighborhood-specific reporting. Results from the model are shared with an emphasis on practical recommendations for improving future homicide predictions and interventions. Feedback and questions are encouraged.

vahe
Télécharger la présentation

Predictive Model for Analyzing Homicides in St. Louis: Insights and Challenges

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Presenters: Whitney Cunningham Jo Pang Robert Talbott Alex Dunagan Analytics: a Model for prediction St. Louis City Homicides

  2. Overview • Qualitative Analysis • Initial Quantitative Analysis • Our Model • Results • Challenges • Conclusion

  3. Qualitative Data

  4. Quantitative Data • Explored topics presented in our qualitative analysis • Uniform Crime Report: 1979-2007 • Age • Race • Weapon Used • Year • Months • Relation between Offender and Victim

  5. UCR: Homicides by Age in St. Louis

  6. UCR: Homicides by Race in St. Louis

  7. UCR: Homicides by Weapon in St. Louis

  8. UCR: Homicides by Time in St. Louis

  9. UCR: Homicides by Relationship in St. Louis

  10. Challenges • Not divided by neighborhood • Neighborhoods do not all report this data • Missing data in database • No data from 2007-2010

  11. Our model will be linked here. The model

  12. The Model

  13. March 2011 #2: Mark Twain/I-70 Industrial 4 #2: Mark Twain 2 #1: Wells/Goodfellow 2 2 #2: Kingsway West 2 #2: Dutchtown

  14. The Results

  15. April 2011 4 #3: Mark Twain 2 #1: Wells/Goodfellow 2 #2: O’Fallon 3 #3: Kingsway West 2 #3: Dutchtown

  16. The Results

  17. May 2011 4 3 #1: Wells/Goodfellow #1: O’Fallon #2: Fairground 4 #2: Jeff Vandelou 3 3 #2: Dutchtown

  18. The Results

  19. Demographics • Categorization • Time Resources • Material Validity • Data Time Frames Challenges to our model

  20. Conclusion: Our Process

  21. Conclusion: Our Recommendation

  22. Please feel free to comment or on question anything. Questions?

More Related