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In the realm of flight management, effective decision-making is essential for managers to navigate challenges such as sales drops, complaints, and product quality issues. This process involves identifying problems, setting decision criteria, allocating weights to these criteria, and developing and analyzing alternatives. Managers must select the best alternative based on a scoring system, implement it, and evaluate the outcome for future reference. Understanding rationality, bounded rationality, and different decision-making styles enhances a manager’s ability to make informed decisions, ultimately leading to successful outcomes.
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Day 03 Flight Management
Managers as Decision Makers Managers have to make decisions. Meaning they have to make choices. Making a decision is not a single task. But it is a process.
Decision Making Process 1 Identification of Problem
What is the problem? • Sales drop • Complaints • Poor quality of product
Decision Making Process 2 Identification of Decision Criteria
Decision Making Process 3 Allocation of Weights to Criteria
Each decision criteria is not equally important. • So the important ones got higher weight and the less important ones got lower weight.
Decision Making Process 4 Development of Alternatives
Decision Making Process 5 Analysis of Alternatives
Find the points of each decision criteria of each alternative. • To get a clearer picture, multiply the points with its weight and get the total.
Decision Making Process 6 Selection of an alternative
Decision Making Process 7 Implementation of the Alternative
Decision Making Process 8 Evaluation of Decision Effectiveness
The outcome of the implementation has to be monitored for use in the future.
Managers Making Decisions • Rationality – logical and consistent choice to attain the highest value. • Bounded Rationality – rational but limited only to their limited experience and understanding of the problem. • Intuition
Types of Decisions • Structured Problems And Programmed Decisions • Unstructured Problems and Nonprogrammed Decisions
Conditions of Decision Making • Certainty • Risk • Uncertainty
Styles in Decision Making • Linear / Nonlinear Style • Biases and Errors • Over confidence • Immediate Gratification • Anchoring Effect • Selective Perception • Confirmation • Framing • Availability • Representation • Randomness • Sunk cost • Self-serving • Hindsight