1 / 13

The PILPS-C1 experiment

The PILPS-C1 experiment. Results of the first phase of the project Complementary simulation to be done Proposition for the future. Summary of the first phase of the project. Comparison of both « biophysical » and « biogeochemical » flux from

wolfe
Télécharger la présentation

The PILPS-C1 experiment

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. The PILPS-C1 experiment • Results of the first phase of the project • Complementary simulation to be done • Proposition for the future

  2. Summary of the first phase of the project Comparison of both « biophysical » and « biogeochemical » flux from Different types of models with observations at one EUROFLUX site: Loobos • The site: • Temperate « mature(100 years)  » coniferous forest • Climate: 700 mm precipitation , 9.8 °C mean temperature • Planted on a sand  no soil carbon at the beginning of the plantation • Measured fluxes: NEE, LE,H, Rn • Meteorological parameters: incoming SW rad., precipitation, • temperature, wind speed, relative humidity, pressure • -Period covered: 1997-1998 Models: Including SVAT with and without carbon cycle • Proposed simulations: • Free equilibrium simulations: • Models are run until equilibrium of state variables using years 1997-1998 • « in loop » • Free 100 years run: • simulation of « realistic scenario »: Beginning with a soil with no • Carbon, the models are run for 1906 (plantation of the forest) to 1998 • Using observed climate. • Constrained equilibrium simulations: • Same as free equilibrium but with calibrations of parameters • (simulation delayed…)

  3. The participants of the project

  4. PILPSC1 workshop The workshop was held from May 6-7 2003 at CNRS center in Gif-sur-Yvette, France. Support for the workshop was provided by CNRS/INSU. The participants of the workshop where: Jean Christophe Calvet (CNRM, France), Yeugeniy Gusev (Institute of Water Problems, Russia), Mustapha El Mayaar (Univ. Wisconsin,USA) Eddy Moors (Alterra, Netherlands), Olga Nasanova (Institute of Water Problems, Russia), Jan Polcher (LMD, France), Vincent Rivalland (CNRM, France), Andrey Shmakin (Institute of Geography, Russia), Diana Verseghy (CCS, Canada), Nicolas Viovy (LSCE,France)

  5. Main results « free equilibrium simulation » Analysis on diurnal cycle, daily and monthly average • For each models: • Plots of mean diurnal cycles over 10 days • Plots of mean seasonal diurnal cycles • Plots of daily and monthly means • Plots of monthly model v.s data • Global statistics: • intercept v.s. Slope • RMSE sys v.s. non systematic: • The RMSE systematic indicate « bias » in the model • The RMSE non-systematic is the residue of the RMSE • Index of agreement: Global measurement of agreement between • model an observation.

  6. Slope/intercept and RMSE unsys/sys For the different models (3 hourly fluxes)

  7. Index of agreement for all models

  8. « 100 years simulation » • Same as for F-E run plus: • Comparison of sinks simulated and observed for 1997 and 1998 • Trajectories of several parameters for the 93 years of the run: • NEE • GPP • NPP • Total soil carbon • Total living biomass • biomass increment

  9. Modeled and simulated carbon net sink In 1997 and 1998

  10. Annual NEE (Kg C m-2 y-1) Annual GPP (Kg C m-2 y-1) CLASS-MCM CLASS-UA CLASS-MCM CLASS-UA ORCHIDEE-1 ORCHIDEE-1 ORCHIDEE-2 ORCHIDEE-2 IBIS SWAP IBIS AVIM MC 2 kind of behaviors: IBIS of ORCHIDEE-1 that reach rapidly the NPP (beginning with High sink) CLASS or SWAP with progressive increase of NPP (with increasing sink) MC or ORCHIDEE-2 is between the two.

  11. Total Soil carbon (Kg C/m-2) Total living biomass (Kg C/m-2) CLASS-MCM CLASS-UA CLASS-MCM CLASS-UA ORCHIDEE-1 ORCHIDEE-1 ORCHIDEE-2 ORCHIDEE-2 SWAP SWAP VISA VISA MC IBIS IBIS MC AVIM AVIM

  12. Completion of the first phase (end of 2003...) New model outputs will be added e.g: LAI, separation between below and above Biomass, height of trees..... • Calibrated simulations with: • LAI (trees, understorey(seasonal cycle) • Maximun unstressed assimilation • Root zone depth • Water table depth • Height of trees (height of « first branches ») • Litter layer • Soil carbon (to check if we can informations about partition between pools) • Soil water content • Soil temperature Some new analysis Separation between night/day cloudy/clear warm/cold Estimation of WUE Ratio NEE/total respiration.

  13. Main preliminary conclusion Taking into account that models was not calibrated The models reproduce relatively well the observations Sensible heat flux is overestimated at night High net CO2 and latent heat fluxes are underestimated The 100 years simulation was very interesting Since if all models give relatively similar NEE And are all able to reproduce the difference of Sink between 1997 and 1998, trajectories of Models carbon fluxes and pools are very different ! For more details on results go to: http://www.pilpsc1.cnrs-gif.fr

More Related