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Available products for Seasonal forecasting

RA VI Clips Workshop. Available products for Seasonal forecasting. J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie. RA VI Web sites (1). European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) http://www.ecmwf.int/ http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/

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Available products for Seasonal forecasting

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  1. RA VI Clips Workshop Available products forSeasonal forecasting J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie

  2. RA VI Web sites (1) • European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) • http://www.ecmwf.int/ • http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/ • http://www.ecmwf.int/research/demeter/data • Met Office(United Kingdom) • http://www.metoffice.com/research/seasonal/ . • http://www.metoffice.com/research/seasonal/nms/ (Password-protected section for NMSs and similar organisations) • http://www.meto.govt.uk/weather/seasonal/index.html

  3. RA VI Web sites (1) • World Meteorological Centre Moscow (WMC) • http://hmc.hydromet.ru (Password for access is to be provided on request) • Météo France • http://www-int.meteo.fr/scem/cbd/dev/ (Seasonal forecasts) • http://www.meteo.fr/special/CLIM/clim_model.html (Model anomalies) • ftp site (Password-protected section for NMSs, similar organisations and specific users)

  4. RA VI Web sites (1) • World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) • http://http://www.wmo.ch/web/www/DPS/EPS-HOME/eps-home.htm#Long-range (EPS/LRF producing centres) • http://www.wmo.ch/web/www/DPS/GDPS-Supplement5-AppI-4.html (Definitions of forecast ranges) • http://www.wmo.ch/web/www/DPS/LRF-verification-systems.html (Verification system for Long-range forecast)

  5. ECMWF Products • Ocean Analysis • Temperature anomaly along the equator (ocean cross-section), Sea level anomaly, Zonal wind stress anomaly • 7-day mean, updated weekly • Tropical belt • Seasonal forecasts: Nino’s indices • Nino 3, 3.4, 4 SST anomaly plumes

  6. ECMWF Products • Seasonal forecasts: Forecast maps • Precipitation , Temperature at 2m , Mean sea level pressure , Sea surface temperature • Ensemble mean value, Probability of below /above various thresholds • Global and sub-areas • Lead time from 1 to 3 months • 3-month averages, updated monthly

  7. Met Office Products • Seasonal forecasts • Temperature at 2m, Precipitations • Ensemble mean value, Probability of below /above various thresholds • Global • Lead time from 1 to 3 months • 3-month averages, updated monthly • Forecasts for some specific regions and seasons (e.g. Sahel rainfall); winter NAO index • SST for months 2-4, 3-5, 4-6; Nino3, Nino3.4, Nino4 SST anomaly ensemble plumes to 6 months ahead (planned for 2003).

  8. Météo-France Products • Seasonal forecasts • Temperature at 850hPa, Precipitations, Geopotential Height at 500 hPa, • Ensemble mean value and significance test, Probability of below /above various thresholds • Global • Lead time 1 month • 3-month averages, updated monthly • Model anomalies • Precipitations,Temperature and geopotential at 850 hPa and 500 hPa, Sea Level Pressure, Temperature at 2 m, Wind speed at 10 m, Humidity at 700 hPa, • Monthly, 3 and 12 overlapping monthly averages • Monthly uptdated

  9. Moscou Products • Seasonal forecasts • Precipitation, Z500, MSLP, T850, T2m • Ensemble mean value and characteristics of uncertainty, • Global • Lead time 1 month • 1 and 3-month ensemble mean, updated monthly

  10. Other usefull Web sites • http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/ • http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/forecasts/ • ftp://ftp.ncep.noaa.gov/pub/cmb/Forecasts/enso • http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/data/indices/index.html • http://iri.ldeo.columbia.edu/ • http://iri.columbia.edu/climate/forecast/net_asmt/ • http://iridl.ldeo.columbia.edu/maproom/.Global/

  11. The ECMWF Web site • http://www.ecmwf.int/ • General public documentation • public forecasts: “essential” • WMO Members forecasts : “additional” • Similar for Seasonal forecasts

  12. The ECMWF Web site

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  39. The UKMO Web site • http://www.metoffice.com/ Public and password protected area

  40. The UKMO Web site

  41. The UKMO Web site

  42. The UKMO Web site

  43. The UKMO Web site

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  47. The UKMO Web site

  48. The Météo-France Web site • http://www-int.meteo.fr/scem/cbd/dev/ Internal access at this stage

  49. The Météo-France Web site

  50. The Météo-France Web site

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