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International Academy of Astronautics IAA Space Debris Committee Toronto, Sep. 27 th , 2014. Agenda. IAC 1.1. IAA Space Debris Committee 1.2. Lessons learned from Beijing 2013 1.3. Status of Space Debris Symposium for Toronto 2014

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  1. International Academy of AstronauticsIAA Space Debris Committee Toronto, Sep. 27th, 2014

  2. Agenda • IAC • 1.1. IAA Space DebrisCommittee • 1.2. Lessons learned from Beijing 2013 • 1.3. Status of Space Debris Symposium for Toronto 2014 • 1.4. Preparation of Space Debris Symposium for Jerusalem 2015 • 2. Exchanges • 2.1. Pastevents: workshops, conferences, congresses, … • 2.2. Ongoing • 2.3. On the Agenda • 2.4. New achievements • 2.5. Round table – Open discussion • 3. IAA SG 5.14 Situation Report •  Meeting restricted to Study Group members •  But new active members are welcome depending on thematics

  3. 1.1. IAA Space Debris Committee • General frame: • Officially created within IAA in 2012 • Independent Committee • Permanent Committee • Attachment to Commission V questionable •  Actions of the Committee: • Position Paper on Orbital Debris in 1993, revised in 2000 • Position Paper SG 5.1 on Space Debris Mitigation in 2006 • Position Paper SG 5.5 on Space Debris Remediation in 2013 • Participation to SG 5.10 on Orbital Debris Removal: Policy, Legal, Political and Economic considerations • Situation Report Paper SG 5.14 ongoing, to be discussed today

  4. 1.1. IAA Space Debris Committee • Terms of Reference (recall): • Scope • Coordination of all activities related to Space Debris within the Academy • Organization of the IAA Symposium on Space Debris A6 for the IAC, proposals for Keynote Lectures within the A6 Symposium, or Highlight Lectures in the more general IAC frame, • Organization of any stand-alone conference on Space Debris on behalf the Academy, • Coordination of the Academy sponsoring, participation and contribution to selected conferences dedicated to Space Debris, such as for instance the ESA Darmstadt Conference, • Coordination of the Space Debris contribution in conferences not dedicated to Space Debris, but where some sessions may be devoted to the topic, sponsored by the Academy, • Dissemination of information among the members of the Committee, mainly during regular meetings taking place twice a year, before the IAC and during the IAA March meetings in Paris.

  5. 1.1. IAA Space Debris Committee • Membership: • No need to be member of IAA ! • Members of the IAA A6 Symposium Program Committee (chairs & rapporteurs) • Members of the Program Committee of other IAA sponsored conferences with Space Debris concerns • Members of Space Debris related working groups (IADC, UNCOPUOS, COSPAR, ISO …) • Academics, Labs, Universities, Industrials… working on the topic • However, it is requested to be somehow “active”: • Participation to the meetings • Debriefing of activities during the meetings • Cross information with other members • Contribution to studies and reports • Two meetings per year: • One just before each year’s IAC •  Includes the status of the sessions, workshops, round tables… of the week • One just before or during the IAC March Meeting in Paris •  Includes the pre-selection of the abstracts for the following IAC

  6. 1.1. IAA Space Debris Committee Official membership: Co-Chairs:Christophe BonnalHeiner KlinkradJer-Chyi Liou Committee Membership: Adimurthy Vipparthi Agapov Vladimir Ailor William HAkahoshi Yasuhiro Alby Fernand Anselmo Luciano Anz-Meador Phillip Berend Nicolas Brachet Gerard Christiansen Eric LCrowther RichardDolado-Perez Juan-CarlosFinkleman David Flury Walter Francesconi Alessandro Ganeshan A S Hanada Toshiya Hussey W John Hyde James Jah Moriba Johnson Nicholas L. Kelso T. SKibe Seishiro Kouprianov Vladimir Krag Holger Krisko Paula HMatney Mark McKnight Darren SMeshcheryakov Sergei AMulrooney Mark Pardini Carmen Perek Lubos Piergentili Fabrizio Prasad MYSSchaefer Frank Schildknecht Thomas Seitzer Patrick Stansbery Gene Stokes Hedley van Breukelen Eddy DWiedemann Carsten Yakovlev Michael Anyone missing? Charlotte Mathieu Christian Cazaux Tanja Masson-Zwaan Tetsuo Yasaka Frank DiPentino Anyone to be removed? None identified Attendance list for today: see Appendix 1.

  7. 1.2. Feedback from Beijing 2013 • Statistics: • Based on available information, 3rd most attended Symposia after C1 (Astrodynamics) and A3 (Space Exploration) • Good work of the Chairs and Rapporteurs, with only 5% No-Show: best score of the Congress according to available information • 16 papers proposed for publication in Acta Astronautica • Note: it should have been a “low year” due to the 6th Darmstadt conference

  8. 1.2. Feedback from Beijing 2013 Based on available, uncomplete, information Average… 90 oral in 2014 Good… Need to keepthislevel

  9. 1.2. Feedback from Beijing 2013 Highlyimprovable!

  10. 1.3. Toronto 2014 A6 Symposium Number of IAC abstracts since 2008

  11. 1.3. Toronto 2014 A6 Symposium Geographic distribution of abstracts NORTH AMERICA 779 abstracts (2 countries) – 21,8% EUROPE 756 abstracts (29 countries) – 21,4% ASIA-PACIFIC 1884 abstracts (24 countries) – 52,9% LATIN AMERICAN AND CARIBBEAN 101 abstracts (11 countries) – 2,9% AFRICA 47 abstracts (8 countries) – 1,3%

  12. 1.3. Toronto 2014 A6 Symposium Distribution of abstracts per country 2013

  13. 1.3. Toronto 2014 A6 Symposium Abstracts per symposium

  14. 1.3. Toronto 2014 A6 Symposium Abstracts per session (top 22)

  15. 1.3. Toronto 2014 A6 Symposium Number of IAC abstracts submitted to Toronto 2014 Status after the selection, IPC March 14 meeting

  16. 1.3. Toronto 2014 A6 Symposium Number of abstracts, Space Debris Symposium, since 2008 Status after the selection, IPC March 14 meeting

  17. 1.3. Toronto 2014 A6 Symposium Number of sessions, Space Debris Symposium, since 2000 + Poster session, which is gaining importance

  18. 1.3. Toronto 2014 A6 Symposium A6: Space Debris Symposium Liou – Bonnal The Symposium will address the complete spectrum of technical issues of space debris: measurements, modelling, risk assessment in space and on the ground, reentry, hypervelocity impacts and protection, mitigation and standards, and Space Surveillance. A6.1: Measurements:Schildknecht – Agapov – Carroll This session will address advanced ground and space-based measurement techniques, relating processing methods, and results of space debris characterization. A6.2: Modelling and Risk Analysis:Anselmo – Liou – Hanada This session will address the characterization of the current and future debris population and methods for in-orbit and on-ground risk assessments. The in-orbit analysis will cover collision risk estimates based on statistical population models and deterministic catalogues, and active avoidance. A6.3: Hypervelocity Impacts and Protection:Francesconi – Sen Liu – Schäfer The session will address passive protection, shielding and damage predictions. Shielding aspects will be supported by experimental and computational results of HVI tests. Use of HVI techniques for debris mitigation. A6.4: Mitigation and Standards:Cazaux – Klinkrad – Yakovlev or Molotov This session will focus on the definition and implementation of debris prevention and reduction measures and vehicle passive protection. The session will also address space debris mitigation guidelines and standards that exist already or are in preparation at the national or international level.

  19. 1.3. Toronto 2014 A6 Symposium A6.5: Space Debris Removal Issues:Piergentili – Prasad – Bérend This session will address active removal techniques “ground and space based”, review potential solutions and identify implementation difficulties. A6.6: Space Debris Removal Concepts:Kibe– DiPentino – Bonnal This session will address active removal techniques “ground and space based”, review potential solutions and identify implementation difficulties. A6.7: Operations in Space Debris Environment, Situational Awareness: Kelso – Finkleman – Dolado-Perez This session will address the multiple aspects associated to safe operations in Space dealing with Space Debris, including operational observations, orbit determination, catalogue build-up and maintenance, data aggregation from different sources, relevant data exchanges standards and conjunction analyses. A6.8 (joint with Space Security Committee): Political, Legal, Institutional and Economic Aspects of Space Debris Mitigation and Removal Biddington – McKnight – Mathieu This session will deal with the non-technical aspect of space debris mitigation and removal. Political, legal and institutional aspects includes role of IADC and UNCOPUOS and other multilateral bodies. Economic issues including insurance, financial incentives and funding for space debris mitigation and removal. The role of international cooperation in addressing these issues will be considered A6.9: Modelling and Orbit Determination Jah – Flegel – Lewis This session will address aspects of space debris orbit determination related to assessment of raw and derived data accuracy, optical measurements processing and modelling and risk analysis of space debris A6.P: Posters,Bonnal

  20. 1.3. Toronto 2014 A6 Symposium As of Sep.26th A6.1: Measurements: 10 papers – 1 withdrawn – 7 loaded – 8 confirmed – 4 presentation – 1 ? A6.2: Modeling and Risk Analysis: 10 papers – 1 withdrawn – 8 loaded – 9 confirmed – 7 presentations A6.3: Hyper Velocity Impacts and Protection: 12 papers – 3 withdrawn – 8 loaded – 8 confirmed – 5 presentations + ? additional A6.4: Mitigation and Standards: 10 papers – 1 withdrawn – 9 loaded – 8 confirmed – 7 presentations + 2 additional A6.5: Space Debris Removal Issues: 10 papers – 1 withdrawn – 8 loaded – 9 confirmed – 7 presentations – 1 ? A6.6: Space Removal Concepts 11 papers – 2 withdrawn – 9 loaded – 9 confirmed – 4 presentations A6.7: Operations in Space Debris environment, Space Situational Awareness: 10 papers – 1 withdrawn – 8 loaded – 8 confirmed – 6 presentations A6.8 : Political, Legal, Institutional and Economic Aspects of Space Debris Mitigation and Removal: 7 papers – 1 withdrawn – 5 loaded – 5 confirmed – 2 presentations (+ 1 hour moderated debate) A6.9: Modelling and Orbit Determination: 10 papers – 0 withdrawn – 8 loaded – 9 confirmed – 8 presentation – 1 ? A6.P: Space Debris: Posters 84 papers – 23 withdrawn – 38 loaded Total without Posters: 90 papers – 11 withdrawn – 70 loaded – 72 confirmed – 38 presentations – 3 ? 100% 12.2% 77.8% 80% 42.2%

  21. 1.3. Toronto 2014 A6 Symposium Poster competition A6: 84 selected posters, 16 withdrawn, 35 not uploaded in time for competition, 33 competitors, 3 good finalists!

  22. 1.3. Toronto 2014 A6 Symposium Don’t miss the Poster award, room 718B + Poster session and cocktail !...

  23. 1.3. Toronto 2014 A6 Symposium Nice large room 801B for all the sessions: 120 seats

  24. 1.3. Toronto 2014 A6 Symposium • Recall of a few basic rules • No paper, no show: • check that the paper is effectively loaded before the session • No show, no paper: • If the author doesn't present, the paper will be removed from proceedings • Status of the presenters: • Are we sure the authors will show up ? • Do we have their short bios ? • Try to contact them and ask to come 15’ in advance to check that everything is OK, Powerpoint, Videos… • Timing may be critical ! • Please, do not overpass the standard 3 hours, except if there is nothing after • Have clear rules explained to speakers in advance • Keep time for Q&A • Publications: no dedicated IAC issue of Acta Astronautica any more • Selection of 2 or 3 best papers, if any ! • Chairs and Rapporteurs may be asked to act as Peer Reviewers

  25. 1.3. Toronto 2014 A6 Symposium Report on IAA contribution to IAC • The goal is to deliver a global IAA report on results from the IAC, to be released outside through the web, a newsletter, or any other media to be discussed • An e-mail has been sent to the Symposium Coordinators, asking for their inputs, and recommending to use the following process : • Ask session co-chairs and rapporteurs to write one or two pages on the scientific and technical content of their sessions (only the main findings) and to send it to the Coordinators either during the congress or just after (November 3) • Symposium Coordinators shall gather these inputs, check that there is no problem with them, and add some additional comments on the overall Symposium if any • Send the resulting package to the Academy IAC Technical Coordinator (November 21) • If these contributions are sent in due time, the global IAC Summary report shall be ready for SAC for approval on December 8 • This report will be a high added value for the Symposium Coordinators in terms of visibility, for the Academy members and other people visiting our website in terms of awareness of what has been done during the IAC, and for the Academy in terms of recognition of its role in the operations of the IAC

  26. 1.4. Space Debris Symposium Jerusalem 2015 A6: Space Debris Symposium Liou – Bonnal The Symposium will address the complete spectrum of technical issues of space debris: measurements, modelling, risk assessment in space and on the ground, reentry, hypervelocity impacts and protection, mitigation and standards, and Space Surveillance. A6.1: Measurements:DiPentino - Schildknecht – Agapov This session will address advanced ground and space-based measurement techniques, relating processing methods, and results of space debris characterization. A6.2: Modelling and Risk Analysis:Pardini – Sorge – Flegel This session will address the characterization of the current and future debris population and methods for in-orbit and on-ground risk assessments. The in-orbit analysis will cover collision risk estimates based on statistical population models and deterministic catalogues, and active avoidance. A6.3: Hypervelocity Impacts and Protection:Fitz-Coy – Schäfer – Francesconi The session will address passive protection, shielding and damage predictions. Shielding aspects will be supported by experimental and computational results of HVI tests. Use of HVI techniques for debris mitigation. A6.4: Mitigation and Standards:Krag – Cazaux – Kato This session will focus on the definition and implementation of debris prevention and reduction measures and vehicle passive protection. The session will also address space debris mitigation guidelines and standards that exist already or are in preparation at the national or international level.

  27. 1.4. Space Debris Symposium Jerusalem 2015 A6.5: Space Debris Removal Issues:Prasad – Piergentili – Santoni This session will address active removal techniques “ground and space based”, review potential solutions and identify implementation difficulties. A6.6: Space Debris Removal Concepts:Berend – Kawamoto – Liou This session will address active removal techniques “ground and space based”, review potential solutions and identify implementation difficulties. A6.7: Operations in Space Debris Environment, Situational Awareness: Kelso – Dolado-Perez – Finkleman This session will address the multiple aspects associated to safe operations in Space dealing with Space Debris, including operational observations, orbit determination, catalogue build-up and maintenance, data aggregation from different sources, relevant data exchanges standards and conjunction analyses. A6.8 (joint with Space Security Committee): Political, Legal, Institutional and Economic Aspects of Space Debris Mitigation and Removal Biddington – McKnight – Mathieu This session will deal with the non-technical aspect of space debris mitigation and removal. Political, legal and institutional aspects includes role of IADC and UNCOPUOS and other multilateral bodies. Economic issues including insurance, financial incentives and funding for space debris mitigation and removal. The role of international cooperation in addressing these issues will be considered A6.9: Orbit Determination and Propagation Jah – Klinkrad – Lewis This session will address aspects of space debris orbit determination related to assessment of raw and derived data accuracy, optical measurements processing and modelling and risk analysis of space debris A6.P: Posters,Yasaka – McKnight – Bonnal  Consolidated file to be provided soon to IAF secretariat

  28. 1.4. Space Debris Symposium Jerusalem 2015

  29. 1.4. Space Debris Symposium Jerusalem 2015 • Proposal for a Plenary Event or a Highlight Lecture • We should organize ourselves to be capable of proposing a Plenary Event or a Highlight Lecture in Jerusalem • It requires a good preparation • Thematics, title, organization (Who? Moderator? Round table?...) • Proposal to be made before March meeting •  Ideas are due within a couple of monthes • Should we try a joint session? • With Satellite users B1, B2, … or Space Transportation D2 relative on end of life operations? • With Small Satellite B4, mainly on very small satellites operations? • May be complex as we need to have 9 good papers, or 6 + a good round-table… • Decided not to during the meeting

  30. 2.1. Past events • 32nd IADC in Beijing • - 12 to 14 May 2014 • - 110 delegates from 11 agencies (Ukraine was absent, but South Korea was there for the 1st time) • - Numerous new Action Items and Internal Actions • - SG meeting on Wednesday Oct. 1st • - Final Reports on the “public” space of the IADC web sitehttp://www.iadc-online.org/ • 40th COSPAR in Moscow • - See dedicated presentation in Appendix 1 • IISL-ECSL Space Law Symposium 2014 • - See following pages • ESA e.Deorbit Symposium 5 May 2014 • - See following pages • 3rd European Workshop on space debris modeling and remediation • - See dedicated presentation in Appendix 2

  31. 2.1. Past events IISL-ECSL Space Law Symposium 2014

  32. 2.1. Past events IISL-ECSL Space Law Symposium 2014 Presentations on: http://www.oosa.unvienna.org/oosa/COPUOS/lsc/2014/symposium.html

  33. 2.1. Past events ESA e.Deorbit Symposium 5 May 2014 Presentations: please contact ESA-Cleanspace

  34. 2.2. Ongoing • SG 5.10 Orbital Debris Removal: Policy, Legal, Political and Economic considerations • Dedicated meeting on Sunday 28th • See Appendix 4

  35. 2.2. Ongoing • IAA Academy Day presentation • - Presentation Sunday 28 September by Darren McKnight Hall G 16:45 to 17:15 • - Open to all, don’t miss it 

  36. 2.3. On the agenda • 7th IAASS • See following pages • 6th EUCASS in Krakow • See following pages • International Conjunction Assessment Workshop • CNES-HQ, Paris, May 19-20, 2015 • See description in Appendix 5 • Laser Debris Remediation (Polytechnique - under definition) • Tentatively December 2014 – February 2015 • GOCE workshop 25-28 november (UNESCO Paris) • Elements of reentry predictions (altitudes below 100 km) • If interested, please contact Holger Krag. • Details on GOCE workshop: www.goce2014.org

  37. 2.3. On the agenda

  38. 2.3. On the agenda

  39. 2.3. On the agenda

  40. 2.3. On the agenda Sessions chaired by Luciano Anselmo

  41. 2.4. New achievements • Astrodynamics Innovation Committee • See Appendix 6 • COPUOS: Long Term Sustainability of Outer Space Activities (LTSSA) • See Appendix 7

  42. 2.4. New achievements • ISO standards status • Following ISO TC20/SC14 Orbital Debris Working Group (WG7) meeting in Tokyo, May 26-30, 2014

  43. 2.4. New achievements

  44. 2.5. Round table – Open discussion • Orbital lifetime evaluation for GTO objects • The complexity of such computations, requiring a statistical approach, is recalled and debated during the meeting. • As a reference, the paper in Appendix 8 describes the proposed methodology

  45. 3. IAA SG 5.14 Situation Report Goal Reference status of the Space Debris problematic, acting as an update of the IAA Position Papers 1993 and Revision from 2001, taking into account the IAA Position Papers on Space Debris Mitigation (SG5.1) and on Space Debris Remediation (SG5.5). Available elements from on-going SG5.10 devoted to Policy, Legal and Economic Issues in Orbital Debris Removal will also be included. Structure 1. Introduction, recall of scope and past studies: Christophe Bonnal – Darren McKnight 4 pages 2. Present status: Heiner Klinkrad 10 pages 3. Measurements: Thomas Schildknecht & Vladimir Agapov 10 pages 4. Space surveillance & collision: Christian Cazaux, Dave Finkelman, Fernand Alby 10 pages 5. Reentering space objects: Holger Krag? & Marlon Sorge? 10 pages 6. Future environment: Paula Krisko 10 pages 7. Debris mitigation: Manuel Metz, J-C. Liou & MYS Prasad 10 pages 8. Remediation: Darren McKnight & Seishiro Kibe 10 pages 9. Protection: Franck Schäfer 10 pages 10. Legal: Tanja Masson-Zwaan 10 pages 11. References & Standards: Christophe Bonnal 6 pages 12. International aspects: Charlotte Mathieu & MYS Prasad 6 pages Status prior to today: to be revised First Draft in Toronto reviewed within the September meeting of the IAA Space Debris Committee Final draft expected in March 2015 Delivery to IAA for Peer Reviewing and final process Effective publication expected before IAC 2015 Today: 63 pages, 9 para out of 12 Dedicated meeting: Tuesday 12:30 room 801B

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