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Thoughts about Population Projections

Thoughts about Population Projections. Applied Demography Conference January 9, 2014. Qian Cai, University of Virginia Rebecca Tippett, University of North Carolina. Projection Methodologies. “Looking Into the Past: Thomas Circle, Washington, DC” by Jason E. Powell.

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Thoughts about Population Projections

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  1. Thoughts about Population Projections Applied Demography Conference January 9, 2014 Qian Cai, University of Virginia Rebecca Tippett, University of North Carolina

  2. Projection Methodologies “Looking Into the Past: Thomas Circle, Washington, DC” by Jason E. Powell

  3. Purposes & Use of Projections

  4. Accuracy & Plausibility http://xkcd.com/605

  5. { Priority #1 Total Population Population Projections { Sex * Age * Race Hispanic Origin Priority #3 Priority #2 Priority #4

  6. Our Approach is guided by statistical and demographic theories is straightforward, practical, and easy to implement produces reasonable results

  7. Contact • Qian Cai • Director, Demographics Research Group • Weldon Cooper Center, University of Virginia • qian.cai@virginia.edu | (434) 982-5581 • Rebecca Tippett • Director, Carolina Demography • Carolina Population Center, UNC-Chapel Hill • rtippett@unc.edu | (919) 966-2829 • http://www.coopercenter.org/demographics/national-population-projections

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