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Land Use Planning in the Deh Cho territory

Land Use Planning in the Deh Cho territory. Agenda. INTRODUCTION TO THE COMMITTEE WHAT IS LAND USE PLANNING? LAND USE PLANNING AND THE DEH CHO PROCESS UPDATE ON DCLUPC ACTIVITIES & PROGRESS INPUT DATA FOR LAND USE OPTIONS LAND USE OPTIONS + ECONOMIC MODEL CUMULATIVE EFFECTS RESEARCH

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Land Use Planning in the Deh Cho territory

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  1. Land Use Planning in the Deh Cho territory

  2. Agenda • INTRODUCTION TO THE COMMITTEE • WHAT IS LAND USE PLANNING? • LAND USE PLANNING AND THE DEH CHO PROCESS • UPDATE ON DCLUPC ACTIVITIES & PROGRESS • INPUT DATA FOR LAND USE OPTIONS • LAND USE OPTIONS + ECONOMIC MODEL • CUMULATIVE EFFECTS RESEARCH • QUESTIONS AND DISCUSSION

  3. Committee & Staff • Committee Members • 2 DCFN reps (Tim Lennie and Petr Cizek) • 1 GNWT rep (Bea Lepine) • 1 Federal Government rep (Adrian Boyd) • Chairman selected by the 4 members (Herb Norwegian) • 5 Staff Members • Executive Director (Heidi Wiebe) • Office Manager (Sophie Bonnetrouge) • GIS Analyst (Monika Templin) • Land Use Planner (Paul Wilson) • Land Use Planner Trainee (Priscilla A. Canadien)

  4. What is Land Use Planning? Potential Land Uses Decisions (Planning Partners) (Staff & Committee) ? ? ? ? • DevelopmentConservation • Forestry - Green TLUO – Red • Tourism – Orange Wildlife – Blue • Oil and Gas – Purple Archaeology - Black • Minerals – Brown • Agriculture – Yellow Zones (Planning & Management)

  5. Land Use Planning in the Deh Cho • Land Use Planning means determining what types of land use activities should occur and where they should take place • “The purpose of the plan is to promote the social, cultural and economic well-being of residents and communities in the Deh Cho territory, having regard to the interests of all Canadians.” • Our planning area extends to the whole Deh Cho territory, excluding municipal areas and Nahanni National Park Reserve

  6. Plan Area

  7. Land Use Planning and the Deh Cho Process • Land Use Planning is only one part of the larger Deh Cho Process • Land Use Plan must be completed before the Deh Cho Process to be used by the three parties to negotiate in the Deh Cho Process • Draft Land Use Plan (2005) • Final Land Use Plan (March 2006) • Complete Deh Cho Process (~ 2008) • Land Use Plan will be revised to be consistent with the final agreement and every 5 years after

  8. Planning Partners + + 2nd Priority Businesses, Associations, non- governmental organizations 1st Priority Residents Approve Plan

  9. Planning vs. Management • Our mandate is to plan for future resource development – map potential, identify issues, write final plan to show “what” and “where” • We are not involved in past or current resource applications – current government structures do that (DCFN, GNWT and Gov of Canada) • May change with Deh Cho Process – Future Deh Cho Resource Management Authority

  10. Update on DCLUPC Activities & Progress • Staff Recruitment • Round 1 Consultation Feedback • Q & A Report • Further Research: • Wildlife Workshop, • Dene Nahodhe Workshop • Economic Development Model Completed • Reviewing Various Land Use Options

  11. Land Use Options • Land Use Options represent different visions for the final land use map • Represent 5 different levels of development • Based on information (mostly scientific) gathered to date – little community or planning partner input yet • Will be revised based on feedback and presented at the next round of meetings

  12. Options Development

  13. Wildlife • Traditional Knowledge & Expert Research • Regional Wildlife Workshop - Held: November 2003 • 308 species in the Deh Cho territory (3 amphibians, 36 fish, 213 birds and 56 mammals) • Key species include: • Caribou, Moose, Bison, Fish and Waterfowl for consumption • Trumpeter Swan, Whooping Crane, Peregrine Falcon (Endangered) • Black Bear, Grizzly Bear, Furbearers, Dall’s Sheep, and Mountain Goat (Trapping & Hunting species) • Critical wildlife areas include: • Nahanni National Park Reserve • Mackenzie Bison Sanctuary (denning, staging and calving, etc.) • Edehzhie • Central area between Fort Liard & Wrigley • Important consideration for Cumulative Effects Management

  14. Wildlife Potential

  15. Traditional Use Density • Important to Traditional Dene Lifestyles • Information gathered by DCFN • Consulted 386 harvesters and mapped information • Harvest areas, kill sites, sacred sites, berry patches • DCFN approved publication and use at Kakisa Assembly 2004 • Planning Committee only gets generalized density of use, not raw data

  16. Traditional Use Density

  17. Archeology, Cabins, Historic Sites & Rare features • Evidence of past human use • Important small sites i.e. fire rings, cabins, trails • Buffer required for protection • Development must avoid these areas • Rare Features: • i.e. Hot Springs and Karst Formations Conservation Value is determined by distance from these important sites

  18. Archeology, Rare features, Historic Sites & Cabins

  19. Conservation Value Map

  20. Minerals • Assessed 9 mineral types thought to have the most potential in the region • The highest potential is in the western tip of the territory, moderate in the west-central portions and low in the remaining areas • The most significant minerals types are Copper, Lead-Zinc & Tungsten (existing mines) • The western portion has high to very high potential for Skarn (Lead-Zinc, Gold and Tungsten)

  21. Minerals

  22. Oil & Gas • 20 hydrocarbon plays in the Deh Cho • 9 confirmed • 11 unconfirmed • 419 hydrocarbon wells drilled, most are wildcat wells (exploratory) but 127 (25%) found hydrocarbons • Current producing regions are Fort Liard and Cameron Hills; other significant discoveries found but not yet developed • Greatest potential is in the Liard Plateau and the Great Slave Plain (northern extension of the western sedimentary basin)

  23. Oil and Gas Potential

  24. Tourism • The greatest potential is along the Mackenzie and Liard River valleys and radiates out from communities (the “hub and spoke” effect.) • Exceptionally scenic, offer various types of tourism experiences and have good access • Key tourism destinations include Nahanni National Park Reserve, the Ram Plateau and North Nahanni River, Little Doctor Lake, Cli Lake, Trout Lake and some lodges • Deh Cho tourism is not well developed but has lots of potential - it can still offer tourists pristine wilderness free from commercial interruption

  25. Tourism Potential

  26. Forestry Potential • Productive timber stands around Fort Liard, Nahanni region, Jean Marie River and the Cameron Hills • Current timber harvest well below sustainable harvest levels (20 years harvest) • Low prices $ and difficult access may impact commercial viability • Potential for community use for log houses and cut lumber in fly-in communities

  27. Forestry Potential

  28. Agricultural Potential • Agriculture is small scale generally within community boundaries • Potential not developed – minor land use • Limitations include; climate, soil type, difficulties with access and power requirements • South have competitive advantage • Cost of food - opportunities and potential for community use

  29. Agricultural Potential

  30. Composite of Development Potential

  31. Preliminary Land Use Options • Change Priority of Conservation and Development • Create 5 Land Use Options • Shows a range of possibilities available • Compare to Current Land Withdrawals • Use Economic model to compare effects on economy Low Development High Conservation High Development Low Conservation Options 1 2 3 4 5

  32. Zones • Multiple Use Zones: all development uses permitted subject to general regulations • Conservation Zones: no development permitted • Uncertain Zones: conservation and development hold equal priority, no decision possible • Traditional Use Allowed Everywhere

  33. Land Use Option # 1

  34. Land Use Option # 2

  35. Land Use Option # 3

  36. Land Use Option # 4

  37. Land Use Option # 5

  38. Interim Land Withdrawals Approval Land Use Planning • Land Withdrawals identified critical areas for interim protection • Land Use Plan will revise Land Withdrawals 5 years in parallel Interim Land Withdrawals

  39. Interim Land Withdrawals

  40. Interim Land Withdrawals

  41. Economic Development Assessment Model • Determines costs & benefits for informed land use planning decisions • Model current economy then predict the next 20 years • Driven by level of development in 5 key sectors • Allows us to see the economic impact of developing each resource sector, and some specific projects • Apply Economic Assessment Model to each of five Land Use Options and the existing land withdrawals • Results are regional not community based • Results are preliminary – more refinement required

  42. Economic Development Assessment Model

  43. Economic Assessment Model Outputs Economic Assessment Model: generates direct, indirect and induced estimates reflecting the level of development in 5 key sectors for the following: • Gross Production • GDP or Value Added by Industry • Labour Income – Southern, Northern and Aboriginal • Employment by Industry– Southern, Northern and Aboriginal • Tax revenues to the Federal Government and the GNWT • Population and Labour Force

  44. Agricultural Hectares Developed

  45. Forestry Volume Produced (Millions of M3)

  46. Gas Development (Millions of M3)

  47. Mining Development • Large Developments – major impacts especially during construction • Modeled 3 mines:

  48. Tourism Sites Developed

  49. Timing of Development

  50. Total Direct Employment # 3

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