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Understanding the 2012 US Drought: Meteorological Factors and Impacts

Explore the 2012 US drought, its causes including La Nina effects, impact on corn yields, and implications for future weather patterns. Learn about El Nino, global weather outlook, and strategies to address drought conditions. Contact Allen Motew at QT Weather Information Systems for more insights.

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Understanding the 2012 US Drought: Meteorological Factors and Impacts

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  1. U. S. Drought 2012+World Allen Motew Director QT Weather QT Information Systems, Inc. Chicago Board of Trade 312-896-2072 amotew@qtinfo.com Weather

  2. From the ground, it looks like this…

  3. From Space It Looks Like This

  4. To A Meteorologist It Looks Like This H

  5. Too Little Rain, Too Much Early Heat June 6-July 6

  6. For history it will register as this

  7. Last Year it looked like this…

  8. Corn Yields ended at this… 147.2 -3.6%

  9. How did we end up with droughts over the past two years? (w/o mentioning global warming?)

  10. Blame It On La Nina?

  11. What Is “La Nina” ?

  12. La Nina “effects” past 2 years

  13. Water Temps Cool During La Nina(now warming!)

  14. Presto…The Weather Changes(not!)

  15. A COSTLY FOOLER…early planting of big acreage (USDA said 164 bu./acre…now ?)May 5, 2012

  16. Past Year EL NINO LA NINA

  17. ENSO Conditions past 60 years

  18. El Nino Normally Brings This!(summer tropical moisture into mix)

  19. Monsoonal Moisture Enters West

  20. Moisture “Movement” Improves

  21. Lingering La Nina Brought This

  22. Both neutral ENSO Summers came off La Nina winters. Both ended with summer drought, but shifted location

  23. Vegetation Year Over Year

  24. When “Realized”It’s was Up, Up and Away with futures!

  25. How Do We Mend Things…need a lot of rain

  26. VEG HEALTH-O.K For Some

  27. North America-Veg Health

  28. “The Outlook”

  29. El Nino Effects Finally “Kick In” ?

  30. Changes Are Slow

  31. “HELLO, EL NINO, HELLO ENHANCED MONSOON?” (GOOD U.S./BAD INDIA)

  32. August Precipitation (DRY)

  33. August Temperatures (HOT)

  34. Sept Soil Moisture (mm)

  35. Next 16 days

  36. EL NINO FALL/WINTER

  37. Nov and Dec Temp Forecast

  38. NOV- DEC PRECIP

  39. JAN-FEB-MAR PRECIP

  40. JAN-FEB-MAR (TEMP)

  41. International Outlook

  42. El Nino Effects Globally

  43. GLOBAL VEGETATION(Week Ago)

  44. Eyes On South America

  45. SEPT-OCT-NOV PRECIP

  46. OCT-NOV-DEC PRECIP TEMPS

  47. NOV-DEC-JAN PRECIP PRECIP TEMPS

  48. AustraliaAUG-SEPT-OCT PRECIP

  49. OCT-NOV-DEC PRECIP

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