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Traffic Flow Management Weather Requirements Working Group (TRWG) Program Review

Traffic Flow Management Weather Requirements Working Group (TRWG) Program Review Presented to Jason Tuell, NWS Meteorological Services Division and Ellen King, FAA System Operations April 1, 2011. Agenda. Background Organization of TRWG Key Deliverables Status Update Concerns/Challenges

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Traffic Flow Management Weather Requirements Working Group (TRWG) Program Review

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  1. Traffic Flow Management Weather Requirements Working Group (TRWG) Program Review Presented to Jason Tuell, NWS Meteorological Services Division and Ellen King, FAA System Operations April 1, 2011

  2. Agenda Background Organization of TRWG Key Deliverables Status Update Concerns/Challenges Update on other issues Summary 9/13/2014DRAFT 2

  3. Background on TRWG Established in August 2010 to meet four objectives: • Baseline current NWS weather support capability • Develop firm requirements for near-term services to Next Generation Air Transportation System (NextGen) Middle Operating Capability (MOC) • Provide a plan to implement solutions to meet requirements beginning in October 2011 • Deliver a Project Plan Roadmap by November 2010 Other short-term tasks identified in original FAA/NWS correspondence • TRACON Forecast standard look and feel • CWSU off-hour support

  4. Baseline Aviation Weather Support

  5. TRWG Role in NextGen Program Development

  6. TRWG Organization

  7. Project Plan RoadmapCompleted 11/24/2010 • Stems from TRWG’s charge to create work plan by end of November 2010 • Defines the activities and deliverables needed between now and October 2011 • Baseline current suite and cost of products and services • Develop requirements of weather information in support of TFM • Perform gap analysis to determine capabilities of current products and those needed at NextGen MOC • Develop implementation plan to meet requirements

  8. Lead Service Task Participants Organization Due Date Identify current NWS - produced TFM products TRWG ATO - R COMPLETE NWS Personnel Complete a high - level plan for NWS - provided TFM TRWG ATO - R 11/30/10 information support, including categorical identification of performance measures to be tracked Complete mid - term (2015 - 2018) performance FAA Sub - ATO - P 3/31/11 requirements for NextGen TFM Wx Information TRWG Support Complete assessment of baseline performance of NWS Sub - 4/30/11 current NWS TFM products TRWG Complete gap analysis (between baseline TRWG ATO - P 5/15/11 performance and 2015 - 2018 performance requirements) Complete near - term (2012 - 2015) performance TRWG ATO - P 6/15/11 requirements for NextGe n TFM Wx Information Support Allocate near - term performance requirements for TRWG ATO - P 7/15/11 TFM information support to FAA, NWS AWC, NWS WFOs, and CWSUs Complete implementation plan for TFM information TRWG ATO - R 9/1/11 support provided by NWS Key Deliverables COMPLETE

  9. Requirements Team • Requirements Approach • Iterative process involving Traffic Flow Managers and NextGen Requirements Team • Two separate surveys completed: one focused on 11 FAA facilities within Golden Triangle and the other on Collaborative Decision Making groups • Near-term requirements – Due 4/30/2011 • DRAFT NextGen functional requirements for MOCreceived – 3/23

  10. Requirements Sub-Team Workplan with Key Dates

  11. Workplan with Key Dates (con’t)

  12. Baseline Team • Baseline Approach and Progress • Four-phase approach • Phase 1 – assessment of quality of current NWS products and services - Complete • Phase 2 – comparison of current suite of NWS products and services against the TFM weather requirements – Due 4/30/2011 • Future work to support NextGen TFM • Phase 3 – assessment of performance measures for TFM decision making • Phase 4 – analysis of end-to-end TFM decision-making, from the provision of weather information through the decision-making process and the impact on the NAS

  13. New Performance Measures for Baseline Weather performance metrics linked to Traffic Management Initiatives provided to NWS • En Route Performance Metric: • Airspace Flow Programs/En-route area (AFP 5 and 8) • Lead-time for onset and cessation of thunderstorms with probability greater than 50% of occurrence • Terminal Performance Metrics: • Ground delay/Ground stops in Terminal areas for the 30 core airports • Lead-time for onset and cessation of: (and timing error) • Marginal VFR and IFR conditions • Wind direction change of 30 degrees or more with speed GTE 12 knots • TRACON Performance Metrics: • Lead-time for the onset and the cessation of a thunderstorm with a probability equal to or greater than 50% that are within 150nm (Diameter) of the 30 core terminals 9/13/2014 13

  14. Key Progress to Date NWS provided Phase 1 baseline information • Contained in Project Plan Roadmap New performance requirements • NWS Performance Branch and NOAA Global Systems Division • Existing Lead time to IFR software can be expanded to meet terminal performance measure requirements • If fully funded, 6-9 months development and implementation • En Route and TRACON metrics will be based upon National Digital Forecast Database • Verification of convection expected in Fall 2011 • Additional software development will be necessary to determine accuracy of convection forecasts for outline the area associated with FCA 8 and 5 9/13/2014 14

  15. Quality Management Team • Quality Management Approach • Baselined to user requirements • Quality Management Plan will provide framework for assessing and measuring overall quality of products and services • Plan incorporates all aspects of Quality Assurance • ISO 9000 and WMO standards • Component of Implementation

  16. Implementation Team • Approach • Notional schedule developed for FY12 through NextGen MOC that includes: • Identifying FAA activities driven by TFM weather requirements • Establishing the final technical solution to meet requirements • Developing performance metrics • NEED NOTIONAL SCHEDULE Wayne and Pat

  17. Key Progress to Date Drafts of key Implementation Plan Components • Risk • Communications • Quality • Training Notational Schedule

  18. Baseline Aviation Weather Cost Capture the current cost of NWS aviation weather support to TFM Quantify the cost of providing 11 identified products and services to include:

  19. Aviation Weather Costs Costs will include labor and non-labor items: Labor • To produce the product or service • Labor to maintain the system Infrastructure • Facility cost • Equipment for users and underlying system equipment (tech refresh and maintenance included) • Software (updates, maintenance) • Communications Costs to Pull from Source Data • Observation data, usage information

  20. Cost Project Progress Finished with CWSU analysis Working on AWC contributions to TFM • CCFP is main product • CIP • FIP • Impact Guidance; Volcanic Ash, GTG, LAMP NWS WFO TAFs for core 30 airports • Survey out--over 50% response so far 9/13/2014DRAFT 20

  21. Concerns/Challenges Equipping CWSUs (WARP evolves to NWP) TRWG agrees AWIPS II is good approach Agencies corporate position? Funding? Customer based, operationally relevant metrics Who pays? NWS understanding and involvement with NWP and NNEW programs Leveraging research to operations projects 21

  22. Update on Other Tasks TRACON • Convective TDA standardized look and feel • 6 TRACONS Currently following ATL/ZTL Model • ORD/ZAU and MSP/ZMP Digital Solution CWSU Off-hour Support • NWS Directives prescribe parent WFO • NWS working to determine an improved way of providing off-hour support • Investigating providing a single telephone number at Aviation Weather Center 9/13/2014 22

  23. Summary NWS/FAA Team • Develop implementation plan to meet weather support requirements • Focuses on Traffic Flow Management (TFM) Develop baseline (including cost) Propose Solutions that meet requirements • Begin Implementation October 2011 Team is on track with original plan 9/13/2014DRAFT 23

  24. Backup Slides 9/13/2014DRAFT 24

  25. Path to Overcoming Challenges Continue advancing digital information Leverage OSIP and CDM/AWT Projects • NDFD Enhanced grids for TAFs/TRACON • CoSPA or SREF • Operational Bridging/MITL Complete gap analysis Develop performance measures Finalize Implementation Plan Execute 9/13/2014DRAFT 26

  26. Baseline Cost Approach Our cost approach will include: • Tapping into a wealth of existing cost data • Reviewing activity usage information and system usage data • Pulling from other reports and data • Accounting for percentage which supports TFM Bridging information gaps through interviews with NCEP and a sampling of MICs at both WFOs and CWSUs

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