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Factors Influencing Voting on School Bond Measure

Explore predictors and interaction results on voting behavior for a school bond measure. Analyze data through regression and graphs to understand the impact of age, marriage, and ethnic identity on voting choices.

arthur-casey
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Factors Influencing Voting on School Bond Measure

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  1. POLS 503: Interaction Terms and Graphing the Results May 16, 2013

  2. Guidelines for presentation • Start with the puzzle • Tell us your argument • Why is this important/relevant? • Review your data in detail • What method are you using and why • Results: tables, graphs • Why are your findings imporant

  3. Regression Results Predictors of Voting Yes on School Bond Measure (OLS Regression) * Dependent variable = % yes vote within a precinct on School Bond Measure 531, ranges from .11 to .87 (June 2006, Seattle USD)

  4. Regression Results Predictors of Voting Yes on School Bond Measure (OLS Regression) * Dependent variable = % yes vote within a precinct on School Bond Measure 531, ranges from .11 to .87 (June 2006, Seattle USD)

  5. Interaction Results: Marriage and Age

  6. Interaction Results: Marriage and Age For young, marriage = +42 For older, marriage = +08

  7. 95% Conf Bands Strong ethnic identity Weak ethnic identity

  8. Party ID and Vote Choice .91 .83 1.03 .36

  9. CI’s on bar charts + .75 - .34

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