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2014 Manning Barometer Setbacks and Opportunities

2014 Manning Barometer Setbacks and Opportunities. Methodology

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2014 Manning Barometer Setbacks and Opportunities

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  1. 2014 Manning Barometer Setbacks and Opportunities

  2. Methodology • A total of 1,ooo on-line interviews were conducted with adult Canadians along with an oversample of 500 self-defined Conservatives. The interviews were conducted between December 16th to 18th, 2013. The margin of error for a representative sample of this size is 3.1 percentage points within a 95% confidence interval. • The margin of error is greater when looking at sub-segments of the population Results reported in this presentation have a maximum margin of error of 4.9 percentage points within a 95% confidence interval. • Detailed findings can be found on the Manning Centre website.

  3. Setbacks

  4. Political Ideology

  5. Political Ideology

  6. Political Ideology Atlantic:2012: 4.2 2013: 4.0 2013: 3.9 BC: 2012: 4.2 2013: 4.0 2014: 3.8 Prairies:2012: 4.3 2013: 4.2 2014: 4.1 Ontario:2012: 4.1 2013: 4.0 2014: 3.9 Quebec:2012: 3.9 2013: 3.9 2013: 3.9

  7. Party Identification

  8. Regional Conservative ID Atlantic:2012: 26% 2013: 18% 2014: 25% BC: 2012: 33% 2013: 25% 2014: 20% Prairies:2012: 40% 2013: 43% 2014: 48% Ontario:2012: 35% 2013: 24% 2014: 25% Quebec:2012: 12% 2013: 13% 2014: 16%

  9. Economy as Dominant Concern

  10. Perceived Ability to Deal With Most Important Issue (Economy) On a 0-10 scale where 0 is poor and 10 is excellent

  11. Perceived Ability to Deal With Most Important Issue (Health Care) On a 0-10 scale where 0 is poor and 10 is excellent

  12. Perceived Ability to Deal With Most Important Issue (Unemployment) On a 0-10 scale where 0 is poor and 10 is excellent

  13. Perceived Ability to Deal With Emerging Issue (Poverty and Environment) On a 0-10 scale where 0 is poor and 10 is excellent

  14. Canada’s Preparedness to Deal with Upcoming challenges in...

  15. Opportunities: Clear Conservative Policy Directions

  16. Direction of the country Current CPC support : 29%

  17. Right/Wrong Direction Regional Differences Atlantic:Right : 44% Wrong: 35% BC: Right : 32% Wrong: 68% Quebec:Right : 49% Wrong: 49% Prairies:Right : 60% Wrong: 40% Ontario:Right : 49% Wrong: 51%

  18. Direction of the country (All Canada)

  19. Direction of the country (Conservatives)

  20. In their own words Next steps for democracy

  21. In their own words Next steps for the economy

  22. In their own words Next steps for social policy

  23. In their own words Next steps for society

  24. Canadian Consensus 93% of Canadians support enhancing the powers of elections Canada to investigate electoral wrongdoings 93% support full disclosure of how public funds are spent 92% want to make Party Leaders more accountable to their respective caucus

  25. Canadian Consensus 91% want to develop renewable energy 89% support reforming campaign financing laws to prohibit unions and companies from providing loans to parties and candidates 89% want to strengthen the role of caucus in the House of Commons 84% of Canadians support expanding trade with other countries

  26. Conservative Agenda and Public Agenda General public agenda Conservative Supporters Agenda

  27. Concluding Remarks

  28. Winning Back “The 16%” Men Between the age of 46 and 64 In Ontario University Education

  29. Winning Back “The 16%” Health Care Lower Taxes Aging Population Accountability Full Disclosure of Spending of Public Funds

  30. NEXT STEPS: Policy priorities

  31. Conservative Intellectual Capital

  32. Party Identification Tracking: A Cautionary Tale LIB CONS NDP

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