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UKWIN AGM

UKWIN AGM. The Changing Face of Waste and Resources in the UK 21 st March 2009 Peter Jones, OBE ecolateraljones@btinternet.com. Why are we Here?. Regulatory and climate drivers Landfill uneconomic New technologies Market expectations Energy policy = Opportunities. ATTITUDE.

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UKWIN AGM

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  1. UKWIN AGM The Changing Face of Waste and Resources in the UK 21st March 2009 Peter Jones, OBE ecolateraljones@btinternet.com

  2. Why are we Here? • Regulatory and climate drivers • Landfill uneconomic • New technologies • Market expectations • Energy policy = Opportunities

  3. ATTITUDE TECHNOLOGY ECONOMICS The Three Musketeers of Policy Implementation

  4. Waste in the UK Source: DEFRA

  5. Drivers in the Waste Resource Sector (=Composition/Mix Impacts) Waste Minimisation Process Change MarketChange IPP Energy Integration Composition Shifts Composting TechnologyChange Recycling

  6. Great Britain - Waste Sectors Total Value £8bn (including taxes)

  7. UK – Arisings by Sector 2008 Total arisings, 430 million tonnes Total = 428 million tonnes Estimated Total Annual Waste Arisings, By Sector Source: DEFRA, Environment Agency, Water UK

  8. Convergence in the Waste Industry Market size £3bn Market size £5bn/€8bn Shanks 5% Leigh 3% Biffa 3% Cleanaway 3% UK Waste 2% Biffa 14% Sita 12% Veolia 17% WRG 11% Pennon 8% 2007 1992 Source: Biffa

  9. Arctic Ice Melts at Record Levels This satellite image shows the Arctic sea ice spread on September 21, 2005, when it dropped to the lowest extent yet recorded. The yellow outline indicates where the concentration of ice was as of September 21, 1979. Source: AFP

  10. Stern Messages • We are close to a tipping point • New opportunities and growth • Opportunities for UK • Improved policies in • Carbon pricing and technology efficiency • Carbon measurement and Dataflow • Removing blockages • The global dimension • Attitudes to discounting

  11. Business Links RDAs WRAP Resource KTN Carbon Trust NISP Environment Agency Envirowise REMADES Envirobusiness RTABs The Support Maze

  12. Climate Change Programme Route Map Kyoto Agreement UK Climate Change Programme Flexible Mechanisms Renewables Climate Change Voluntary Emission Joint Emissions Trading Carbon Offsets Obligation Levy Cap Agreements Implementation Tax on Energy Enhanced Tradeable supplied to Energy Efficiency Capital Negotiated Domestic International Green Certificates Industry Fund Allowances Agreements Scheme Scheme (ROC's) (0.43p / kWh) (£100m) Emission Cap 80% Discount Carbon Trust Renewable Agriculture on CCL (£27m) Energy Energy Crops Steelworks (£13m) (£4m) Brickworks etc % of £ 30m fund

  13. Why is Landfill so “Cheap”? Landfill Costs Per Tonne New Technology Labour & Operations Labour Maintenance Acquisition & Aftercare Gross Margin £12/Tonne Margin & Cost Of Capital £50/Tonne

  14. Categorising Instruments Hi Licensing Discharge Consents Best Value PFI Recycling Credits Virgin Input Taxes Incineration Directive Landfill Permits Landfill Directive Planning Consents CCL IPPC Renewables Obligation Abstraction Charges Price/Quantitative Drivers on Supply of Product or Service Producer Responsibility VAT Landfill Tax Contract Conditions WRAP Fuel Duty Regulatory Fees Quantity/Price Impacts on Demand for Product or Service Lo

  15. Tonnes to Landfill (millions) £ Gate Fee 100 100 Tonnage Inputs 90 90 80 80 70 70 60 60 50 50 40 40 Gate Fee per tonne 30 30 Operator Fee per tonne 20 20 10 10 1997 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 Timing the Landfill Transition 2007 ?

  16. The Yellow Brick Road

  17. Recycler The Carbon Competitors Energy Boy Landfiller Composter Form Long term - Handicaps- Planning Consents - Taxes- Better odds elsewhere - Traded Permits- Renewable targets - Import dependency on rivals- Rising logistics costs- High value prizes- Improving technology • Low value prizes- Staying power • Plenty of local runners • Cheap setup • Soils directive • Low distribution costs • EU targets • Energy trends • High value prizes • Traded Permits • Producer reuse Early Faller Expensive Thoroughbred Regular Winner Stayer Good ValueAll Rounder

  18. The Resource Balancing Act Technology Logistics Destroy or Preserve Scotland North Wales North West South West South East Midlands

  19. From Waste to Product … Plastics Metals Waste Fibres

  20. US Energy from Agricultural Digestion Source: US EPA

  21. Tonnage/Cost Ratios Aerobic Digesters 94 100 76 75 OPTG & Profit Separated 54 £ Per Tonne 46 50 44 Mixed Waste 40 OPTG OPTG MW 25 Source Capital SS Capital Capital Tonnes 0 10,000 TPA 50,000 TPA 100,000 TPA Sales Value Digestate £0.6 – 0.3/tonne Methane £4.2 – 3.2/tonne Source: Whyte & Perry, Enviros Canada, Biocycle

  22. Bedfordia Biogen Plant, Milton Ernest Source: BIOGEN

  23. Biffa-Leicester MHW Treatment New cascade ball mill-Bursom

  24. Willesden: A Typical Shredder 350,000 tpa vehicles and white goods & other light iron Licensed, paved and full drainage Rail sidings and loading equipment Weighbridges, offices and communications Experienced management and data handling Source: EMR

  25. Source: Teg Environmental

  26. Wanlip – Bio Filters

  27. MBT in Action: Waste is Shredded at Ecodeco’s Montanaso Plant in Italy

  28. UK - Arisings by Sector 2003 Total arisings, 430 million tonnes Estimated Total Annual Waste Arisings, By Sector Total = 428 million tonnes Source: DEFRA, Environment Agency, Water UK

  29. Central BottlingOverview of tank system where digestion occurs

  30. Biogas Biofertiliser Biogas Plant Pre- treatment Biowaste Electricity Anaerobic Digestion CHP Flue Gases Heat Post- treatment Source: Greenfinch

  31. Mixed Biowaste AD Plant in Sweden Source: Greenfinch

  32. Source: Greenfinch (October 2005)

  33. Japanese Gasification Technologies Aomori, Japan, Ebara, 2001, 135,000 tpa (ASR) Kazusa, Japan, Nippon Steel, 2002, 60,000 tpa Kawaguchi, Japan, Ebara TIFG, 2002, 125,000 tpa Toyohashi, Japan, Mitsui R21, 2002, 120,000 tpa Source: Juniper

  34. Gasification Plant – Isle of Wight

  35. Marchwood EFW 165,000 tpa Source: Veolia

  36. Cement Plant Source: Buxton Lime Industries (UK)

  37. The Lights Go Out??? Source: DTI

  38. ———————————— R O designed —— The RO – Effect on DiversityPlanning Applications Source: REA

  39. 200 5000 x 500kW CHP units +18% fuel economy for all cars 4 x 800 MW nuclear reactors 100 2500 x 500kW biomass CHP 5000 x 2MW wind turbines 200 million X 1m2 PV panels 1 Severn Barrage 10% transport biofuels Meeting the Energy Challenge TWhr 0 2006 2020 Each wedge = 17 TWh

  40. Energy and Carbon Efficiency Linkages MOTIVATOR AUDIENCES = trigger point

  41. The Regional Route Map • Define the energy sink • That defines the energy need • That defines the technology • That defines the ‘fuel’ mix • That defines the logistics • That defines the collection discipline

  42. Carbon Recycling • Soils • Materials • Heat and steam • Electricity • Gas-methane-town gas-hydrogen

  43. +/-Collection fee • Transport • Landfill • +Renewable energy • +LATS • +Product fee • +Tradeable Permits on products • +Producer Responsibility recharges • -Shipping and handling ? Changed Added Value in Waste Today +Collection fee -Transport -Landfill A Living 2010

  44. Electrical &Heat Users Energy Suppliers • Technology Skills • Grid Backup • Grid Inputs • Regulatory Risk • Infrastructure • Contracts • Locations • Economic Rolein Communities • Carbon CSRAgenda • Forward Price Uncertainty TechnologySuppliers Waste & ResourceLogistics • Rising Gate Fees • Process Technology • Conditioning Technology • Supply Chain • Strong Balance Sheets New Alliances in Carbon Efficiency Solutions&ESCOs

  45. www.massbalance.org

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