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MINISTRY FINANCE OF UKRAINE. KEY MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS OF UKRAINE. Analytic information. Ukraine. Macroeconomic indicators, 2010-2014. * Forecast ( pessimistic scenario ). Real sector of economy.
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MINISTRY FINANCE OF UKRAINE KEY MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS OF UKRAINE Analytic information
Macroeconomic indicators, 2010-2014 * Forecast (pessimistic scenario)
Real sector of economy The economy grew in 2011 by 5.2%, industry – 7.6%, agriculture - 17.5%, construction – 11%, freight services – 7.4%
Prices Since 2010 inflation has fallenby 4,6% (end of period)in 2011. From the beginning of 2012 CPI increased by 0.4%, producer prices by 5%.
External trade Billions U.S. dollars
Trade balance Billions U.S. dollars In 2011 Ukrainian export of goods and services increased by 28.3% to $88.8 billions, import – by 33.5% to $97.8 billions. The deficit of trade balance was $9 billions (2010: $3 billions). Main groups of import: mineral products (gas, oil) and investment import (machinery and equipment). Main groups of export: metals, chemical an agriculture goods. Export-import coverage ratio 0.91 in 2011 (0.95 in 2010). Foreign trade transactions in goods Ukraine carried out with partners from 222 countries.
International reserves (end of period) • Proceeds of foreign currency from non-residents in 2011 exceeded transfers by $16.9 billion. • Central Bank managed to minimize the reduction in international reserves (except funds of IMF): $31.8 billion (equivalent). • During 2011 the Central Bank supported the charges Naftogaz of Ukraine for its external obligations.
Foreign direct investment in Ukraine Amount entered in the beginning of investment in the economy of Ukraine in foreign direct investment (equity) on 1 April 2012 amounted to 50.8 billion $, in per capita – $ 1115.7.
The structure of foreign direct investment in Ukraine In 2011, Ukraine receive the investments from 128 countries. The top investor countries (accounting for more than 83% of total direct investments) include: Cyprus - $ 12.7 billion, Germany - $ 7.4 billion., Netherlands - $ 4.8 billion, the Russian Federation - $ 3.6 billion, Austria - $ 3.4 billion, United Kingdom - $ 2.5 billion, France - $ 2.2 billion, Sweden - $ 1.74 billion, Virgin Islands (GB ) - $ 1.6 billion and U.S. - $ 1.0 billion. 01.01.2012
General government balance 6,3% GDP 7,3% GDP 2,7% GDP 1,8% GDP
Financingthe State Budget of Ukraine, 2012 Billions hryvnias Lending (repayment of credits) 12,3 12,3 Lending (giving credits) 391,8 366,8 Public debt servicing (payment of interest ) 29,6 Revenue Expenditure Financing: The line of budget balance 25,1 (1,7% ВВП) Privatization Deficit 10,0 98,5 -17,5 Loans Active operations 65,9 Principal repayment
Revenue and Expenditure of the State Budget of Ukraine Billions hryvnias 100,6 % of the plan Revenue with official transfers 98,1 % of the plan Expenditure
Comparative assessment of the State debt of Ukraine and other countries Italy Canada Ukraine Netherlands Ukraine Poland за даними IMF та Мінфіну
The public debt structure (repayment currencies) on 31.05.2012
The public debt structure (the types of interest rates) on 31.05.2012