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The President IV

The President IV. 10/3/2011. Clearly Communicated Learning Objectives in Written Form. Upon completion of this course, students will be able to: understand and interpret the United States Constitution and apply it to the present

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The President IV

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  1. The President IV 10/3/2011

  2. Clearly Communicated Learning Objectives in Written Form • Upon completion of this course, students will be able to: • understand and interpret the United States Constitution and apply it to the present • assess the 2008 & 2012 Presidential Elections without resorting to partisan bickering. • identify and explain the role of formal (bureaucratic) institutions and their effect on policy. • students will have a better understanding of why our national government works and why the American system of government is unique.

  3. Office Hours and Readings • Readings- Chapter 9 on the President, pp. 211-218 • Chapter 10 on the Bureaucracy • Office Hours • Tomorrow 8-12 • Wednesday 8-10:30

  4. Frontloading • The Republicans wanted a longer season- it is not going to happen • Florida is moving its primary to Jan 31 • Iowa (Feb 6), NH, Nevada and SC are all going to move up before that

  5. Why the move? • Florida may lose ½ of its delegates? • But..... • It increases its importance in selecting the nominee

  6. Presidential Success Using other powers

  7. The President • Constitutional powers are • Vague • Limited • The Demands of the Office are Great • Presidents must then use all the tools at their disposal

  8. The Vice President • Picked for different purposes • Limited Constitutional Power • At the discretion of the President • Can be a liability • http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3hZtW_q_6Ug&feature=related

  9. Why did McCain Choose Palin? • Get space between himself and Bush • Get someone who was not an old man • Get someone to appeal to the conservative base • McCain loses no matter who he picks

  10. Executive Stuff Executive Orders Executive Agreements Bilateral agreements with other nations Carry the weight of a treaty Not that great of a power The Senate hates these • Carry the weight of law • Must be on a single issue • Cannot require new revenues • Die when the president leaves

  11. The Veto • The “Smart Bomb” in the legislative process • Most vetoes are sustained • Can be overused • Threats work better

  12. Politics by other Means Informal powers

  13. The Power to Persuade • Richard Neustadt • Presidential Power is the Power To Persuade

  14. Persuasion • What is Persuasion • You have to convince them by what ever means necessary • Getting Decision makers to do what you want • The Johnson Treatment

  15. Getting things Done: Trading Favors • Prestige of the office • Granting New Favors • Calling in Past Favors

  16. Getting Things Done: Reprisals • Monetary Threats • Campaign Threats • Policy Threats

  17. Why Persuasion Fails • Threats are Not Credible • Favors are not worth it • Electoral Security and temporal forces

  18. Why President Obama is Currently having difficulty persuading • Republicans do not want to compromise • Democrats are already on board • The Election is getting close

  19. Everything is inside

  20. Samuel Kernell Going Public

  21. Going Public • Using presidential popularity to by-pass Congress and  take the message to the people. • A Two Step Model

  22. Requirements • High reliance on the media • Use the same tools as the campaign

  23. Who is good at “Going Public” • Political Outsiders • Popular Presidents • Presidents who are good communicators • Presidents facing divided government

  24. How it Can fail: No Coverage

  25. How it Can Fail: Missteps • http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2HOBTUCv4o0

  26. How it can Fail: Disinterest

  27. How it Can Fail: Getting off Message

  28. How it can fail: A guy throws a shoe at you • http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OM3Z_Kskl_U

  29. Going Public is Risky • You must have public support on the issue • You cannot do it too much • Unpopular presidents will not be able to do it

  30. Why does everyone hate the president?

  31. The Media hate the President • They punish failure • They do not reward success • Bad news is better for ratings

  32. Congress hates the president • Different Goals • Different Time frames • Divided Government

  33. The People Turn on the President • Term Limits • We Grow tired of the president • The realities of the office

  34. Keeping your head above water Is the president doomed to fail?

  35. Presidential Approval

  36. The Key’s To Presidential Popularity • Strong Economy • Staying away from Scandal • Rally around the Flag events • http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t7TTBL6WXAY

  37. How to Lose it

  38. President Obama: On the Ledge

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