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China Demography. History http://www.iiasa.ac.at/Research/LUC/ChinaFood/argu/trends/trend_10.htm accessed on 5/12/2008. Note that without the Industrial Revolution China started growing around 1700 This was the beginning of its Demographic Boom or Transition. Post PRC Trends.
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China Demography China Demographics (IIASA )
Historyhttp://www.iiasa.ac.at/Research/LUC/ChinaFood/argu/trends/trend_10.htm accessed on 5/12/2008 Note that without the Industrial Revolution China started growing around 1700 This was the beginning of its Demographic Boom or Transition. China Demographics (IIASA 2008)
Post PRC Trends • Population Momentum Starts 1950s – 1970s • High Density Hot Spots = High Environmental Impacts • Questionable social engineering – think disaster of Great Leap Forward (30 million die) China Demographics (IIASA 2008)
Current Growth from Demographic Momentum • China has the largest population in the world, with more than 1,337,798,957 people, one fifth of the world's total. Every year the country adds another about 12 million China Demographics (IIASA 2008)
Projections Show Ever Slowing Momentum UN Projection: 1994 Revision UN Projection: 1998 Revision China Demographics (IIASA 2008)
Decline Still a Generation Away • 1.23 billion people in 1995 • 1.49 “ “ in 2025 • 1.48 “ “ in 2050 • Current estimates assume China will stop growing maybe as early as 2025 but certainly before 2050 China Demographics (IIASA 2008)
However, Aging Already Here • Those in Reproductive years is at/near peak • Aged have been climbing • Infants/Kids Declining China Demographics (IIASA 2008)
Current Fertility Rate China Demographics (IIASA 2008)
Driving Factor to Change • Surveys have documented a lifestyle change among those sections of the urban population that have benefited most from China’s economic development. They prefer later marriages, later first births, and increased birth spacing, not only because these decisions are promoted by the family planning program, but also because they make it easier to improve one’s education or pursue a career. China Demographics (IIASA 2008)
Highest Concentrations Density > 500 persons per sqkm Result is most stress on Environment and Resource Base Density > 150 persons per sqkm China Demographics (IIASA 2008)
Man-Made Disasters • Mao’s Great Leap Forward 1990 Pyramid China Demographics (IIASA 2008)
Animation of Demographic Change • Click below or on demographic pyramid to see animation of changes(1950-2050) • http://www.iiasa.ac.at/Research/LUC/ChinaFood/data/anim/pop_ani.htm China Demographics (IIASA 2008)
CURRENT SITUATION http://www.indexmundi.com/china/total_fertility_rate.html China - Total fertility rate Home > China > People > Total fertility rate China Demographics (IIASA 2008)
Change over time Note that current estimates have caused a drop to 1.54 in 2011 China Demographics (IIASA 2008)
Japan Comparison China Demographics (IIASA 2008)
It’s Raining Men http://vimeo.com/421461 China Demographics (IIASA 2008)
CLICK China Demographics (IIASA 2008)
Loud and goofy but bascic outline click here China Demographics (IIASA 2008)
Shortage of marriageable women in China China Demographics (IIASA 2008)
One Child Policy ??? http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ala_GkUE8lk&feature=related China Demographics (IIASA 2008)