Expert Hazardous Weather Forecasting and Climate Change Report

Jul 02, 2025

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Learn from Harold E. Brooks about hazardous weather forecasts, severe weather impacts, and climate change insights. Discover the importance of NSSL's expertise in developing accurate forecasts through innovative approaches. Explore how to identify key ingredients for forecasting severe storms and understand the challenges in observing all vital elements. Gain knowledge on estimating severe storm locations and the impact of climate models on future storm initiation.

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Expert Hazardous Weather Forecasting and Climate Change Report

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Harold E. Brooks Hazardous Weather Forecasts & Warnings Severe Weather and Climate Change
Currently, ~$10B damage in US annually
Can’t say anything about observed changes Can’t say much about future changes
Reports
Why NSSL? • Expertise developing… • report-based climatologies • ingredients-based approaches to forecasting • Honest broker
Apply Forecasting Approach • Look for ingredients in environments • Difficult to observe all ingredients Mid-to-high level flow Low-level flow
Ingredients Severe Storms Estimate
Observed Severe Storms Locations
Ingredients Severe Storms Estimate