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Innovations in Wind Energy: Achieving 20% Growth and Enhanced Performance by 2018

This document outlines the National Renewable Energy Laboratory's (NREL) strategies for achieving a 20% growth in wind energy installation rates by 2018. Key initiatives include reducing capital costs by 10%, increasing capacity factors by 15%, addressing wind farm underperformance, and improving operational efficiencies. Policies for infrastructure development and a robust transmission system are also highlighted, alongside the role of innovative wind-diesel systems in remote Alaskan communities. Collectively, these efforts aim to support the national goal of expanding renewable energy capacity efficiently and effectively.

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Innovations in Wind Energy: Achieving 20% Growth and Enhanced Performance by 2018

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  1. Wind in Remote Applications NWTC Robi Robichaud 11/3/2010

  2. 20% Requires 300 GW - Land & Offshore Projected Actual National Renewable Energy Laboratory Innovation for Our Energy Future

  3. Critical Elements for 20% Scenario • Improved Performance • 10% reduction in capital cost • 15% increase in capacity factor • Address Wind Farm underperformance • Mitigate Risk • Reduce O&M costs by 35% • Foster the confidence to support continued 20% per year growth in installation rates from now until 2018 • Enhanced Transmission System (AEP) • $60 billion cost estimate over 20 yrs • 19,000 mi of line • Supports 200-400 GW addition • Policy, Communication & Outreach • Infrastructure Development National Renewable Energy Laboratory Innovation for Our Energy Future

  4. Wind Project Installed Costs in 2009 Continued to Rise, on Average Project costs bottomed out in 2001-2004, and have risen by roughly $800/kW, on average, through 2009 Electricity Markets and Policy Group • Energy Analysis Department

  5. Kotzebue, Alaska Application: Village power system 11 MW diesel power plant Operating with 10 turbines since 1999 2MW average load, min load 700kW. Peak wind penetration level ~ 35% Local utility plans expansion to 2-3 MW of wind turbine capacity

  6. Toksook Bay & Kasigluk, AK Bethel serves as a hub for over 50 villages in the Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta region, many of which have a Class 4–6 wind resource. AVEC’s new wind-diesel systems at Toksook Bay and Kasigluk serve as a model power plants for these communities.

  7. Dispatch during the worst week (April) No wind 10% wind 20% wind 30% wind – starting to impact nuclear – likely curtail wind

  8. Dispatch during a tame week (July) No wind 10% wind 20% wind 30% wind

  9. Questions? NREL is a national laboratory of the U.S. Department of Energy Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy operated by the Alliance for Sustainable Energy, LLC

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