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Impact of Economic Downturn on European Railway Systems: Insights from Railway Days 2013

The presentation at Railway Days 2013 in Bucharest, delivered by Friedrich Macher, explores the profound effects of the economic downturn on the European railway system. Key topics include the decline in industrialization across Europe, threats facing the rail cargo system, and the megatrends influencing cargo transport. Macher discusses opportunities for the rail sector, including the need for continued liberalization, infrastructure investment, and enhancing interoperability. The session emphasizes a collaborative approach and strategic adaptation to sustain and revitalize the European rail freight industry.

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Impact of Economic Downturn on European Railway Systems: Insights from Railway Days 2013

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  1. Railway Days 2013 Bucharest EconomicDownturn – Impact on Railway System

  2. Railway Days 2013 BucharestEconomicDownturn – Impact on Railway System • Table of Content • Metatrends • World trade vs. European cargotransports • De-industrialisationof Europe • Megatrendsfor European cargosystem • Threatsfor European railcargosystem • Opportunitiesfor European railcargosystem Friedrich Macher, 9th October 2013

  3. Railway Days 2013 BucharestEconomicDownturn – Impact on Railway System Continuance a European Problem? International Trade Tendencies – Source WTO Year 2007 = 100% Forecast for 2013: 135-138% Friedrich Macher, 9th October 2013

  4. Railway Days 2013 BucharestEconomicDownturn – Impact on Railway System European Rail Freight Traffic (btkm) Level before Crisis not yet Reached (forecast 2016) – Source EuroStat Year 2007 = 100% Friedrich Macher, 9th October 2013

  5. Railway Days 2013 BucharestEconomicDownturn – Impact on Railway System Austrian Rail Freight Traffic (btkm) – Source ÖBB Year 2007 = 100% DB-Schenker only marginally better – Source Competitive Reports Database 2012, 2013 Friedrich Macher, 9th October 2013

  6. Railway Days 2013 BucharestEconomicDownturn – Impact on Railway System • De-industrializationof Europe: Only 3 Countries Increasedthe Share ofIndustrialization in GNP • Austria • Germany • The Netherlands Friedrich Macher, 9th October 2013

  7. Railway Days 2013 BucharestEconomicDownturn – Impact on Railway System Mega Trends for European Rail Cargo System • Investment-tailback in infrastructure • Investment-tailback in rolling stock • Modal splitrailcargo • Profits of state owned railcargo companies • Capabilities of RCOs’ to support global supply chains ? • Liberalisation • Share of private RCOs’ Friedrich Macher, 9th October 2013

  8. Railway Days 2013 BucharestEconomicDownturn – Impact on Railway System Threats for European railcargo system • Progressing de-industrialisation of Europe (also issue of transport costs) • Failing of European transport policy • Weakening of European rail network • Gigaliner etc. • Interoperability not reached • Overbueraucracy (era etc.) • „Renaissance“ ofstatesmonoplists • Integrated corporation • De-liberalisation Friedrich Macher, 9th October 2013

  9. Railway Days 2013 BucharestEconomicDownturn – Impact on Railway System Opportunities for European railcargo system • „Renaissance“ of European industries • Strong European transport policy • Continous liberalisation and privatisation • Increased investments in infrastructure and interoperability • Reducing of bureaucracy • Rail logistics has to become an understood partner for global supply chains • Single waggon system to be reorganised as network of independent decentralised partners (similar to freight-forwarder networks, joint system plus local heroes) • Horizontal and vertical collaboration between raillogistics companies (public and private owned) Friedrich Macher, 9th October 2013

  10. Railway Days 2013 BucharestEconomicDownturn – Impact on Railway System Thank You for Your Attention ! Friedrich Macher, 9th October 2013

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