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UCAS : Everything you need to know now

UCAS : Everything you need to know now

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UCAS : Everything you need to know now

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  1. UCAS: Everything you need to know now Amy Smith Senior Policy Executive Security marking: PUBLIC

  2. Five things you (probably) didn’t know about UCAS UCAS was formed 26 years ago when UCCA and PCAS merged. UCCA was established in 1961 and PCAS in 1986, making us 58 years old this year! We moved into our Rosehill location 20 years ago. Rosehill is licenced to hold marriages. The building has the same aerial footprint as the White House. Security marking: PUBLIC

  3. What is UCAS? Security marking: PUBLIC

  4. UCAS: a journey back in time … Dec 2007 June 2000 Dec 1998 Security marking: PUBLIC

  5. UCAS: where we are now Security marking: PUBLIC

  6. New adviser and agent portal March 2019 Check the newsletter for training opportunities and support, including the twilight sessions, user guides and online guidance Security marking: PUBLIC

  7. AMS: a new look and feel

  8. Widening access and participation The changing landscape Careers strategy TE(SO)F Teacher recruitment issues Tuition fees and funding Qualification reform Transparency agenda Brexit Vocational qualifications/T Levels Apprenticeships Security marking: PUBLIC

  9. UCASEnd of Cycle 2018 data Security marking: PUBLIC/INTERNAL USE ONLY/CONFIDENTIAL

  10. Admissions themes for the 2018 cycle Entry rate for UK 18 year olds rises, but fewer acceptances. Record numbers through Clearing. 533k Return to growth for EU demand. placed No progress in widening participation and access since 2014. Rise in unconditional offer-making. Security marking: PUBLIC

  11. End of cycle data – Welsh domiciled applicants UK domiciled acceptances fell by 0.8% to 459,285. Welsh domiciled acceptances saw a 3.1% drop (-635) on 2017 – the largest decline seen in all UK countries. Welsh applicants are the most likely to study outside their home country – 40.4% were accepted to providers elsewhere in the UK. Security marking: PUBLIC

  12. End of cycle data – UK entry rates Entry rates by UK country (2016 – 2018) • Overall figures have been affected by the declining 18 year old population. • Entry rates rose in all four countries of the UK. • Wales saw an entry rate of 29.6%, similar to 2016 levels. Security marking: PUBLIC

  13. End of cycle data – Welsh providers Acceptances to providers in Wales by domicile (2006 – 2018) • 71,455 people applied to at least one Welsh provider – a fall of 6.3%, and the second consecutive year of declining numbers. • Wales is also the only UK country with a drop in total acceptances from 2017 to 2018, with a fall of 5.7% to 25,000. • Welsh domiciled acceptances fell 3.5%, RUK 6%, EU 20.8%, and non-EU 6.5%. • Welsh applicants account for 47.8% of acceptances. Security marking: PUBLIC

  14. End of cycle data – acceptances (gender) • In Wales, the gender gap remained constant on 2017 figures. • All UK domiciles show a trend of a widening gender gap across the twelve year period from 2006 to 2018. Security marking: PUBLIC

  15. End of cycle data – acceptances (POLAR4) UK domiciled 18 year old entry rate by POLAR4 quintile • The 18 year old entry rate increased across all POLAR4 quintiles, except Q3. • Greatest increases seen in the most disadvantaged areas – the entry rate for Q1 increased by 1.8% proportionally, and 2.3% proportionally in Q2. • The entry rate for Q5 saw the smallest increase, rising by just 0.8% proportionally. • Wales was the only UK country where the entry rate gap increased, due to a combination of an increase in the Q5 entry rate, and a fall in the Q1 entry rate. Security marking: PUBLIC

  16. Who is applying direct to Clearing? UK-based 2.5% of all UK acceptances used this route 70% aged 20 and over 91% English domiciled acceptances Business and admin Most popular subjects Nursing Made up almost half of Group B DTC acceptances Close to home 60% at providers under 45 mins away from home Lower tariff 4% of all acceptances to these providers were DTC London Almost ¼ from London Security marking: PUBLIC

  17. Unconditional offer-making: definitions Security marking: PUBLIC

  18. Unconditional offer-making Use of unconditional offers is becoming increasingly popular – a third of applicants received an offer with an unconditional component in 2018. Trends have been towards a diversification of grade profiles – applicants predicted 11 A level points (BBC) proportionately receive the most unconditional offers. Students are more likely to miss their predicted grades than their peers with conditional offers. Sentiment towards conditional unconditional offers is generally positive among applicants. Security marking: PUBLIC

  19. 15 October deadline data Security marking: PUBLIC

  20. 2019 cycle so far: October deadline +7% Increase in medical school places a driver? increase in applicants to 15 October courses – up to 61,440, the highest on record 7,770 +6% Number of 18 year old English applicants to medicine courses (+16%) increase in the number of EU applicants Security marking: PUBLIC

  21. Applications at the 15 October deadline (UK) • Applications to courses with a 15 October deadline increased: • 1,510Welsh domiciled applicants to UK courses (up 5% on the same point last year) • 580 of these applications were to Welsh providers Security marking: PUBLIC

  22. Four key messages • ͏Disadvantaged groups increasingly likely to enter HE, but the gap remains between advantaged and disadvantaged students. • UK HE remains attractive to EU and internationalmarkets. • ͏No material change in numbers placed through UCAS compared to last year – buoyancy this year driven by direct entry routes. • Entry into HE for UK 18 year olds continues to increase, but growth has slowed in Wales. Security marking: PUBLIC

  23. Supporting emerging cohorts Security marking: PUBLIC

  24. AMS: new questions Questions already live in postgraduate AMS Security marking: PUBLIC

  25. Student mental health and wellbeing We are working closely with Student Minds to support students with concerns or queries about mental health and wellbeing. If you would like to provide feedback, please let us know. • We are also gathering feedback from providers about: • what additional services they and the HE sector could provide to support student mental health and wellbeing; • Whether UCAS should review how and how we offer applicants the chance to declare a mental health condition. Security marking: PUBLIC

  26. How UCAS is supporting students with identified support needs New and improved questions in the UCAS application to flag support needs Collaboration with stakeholders: charities, expert organisations and sector bodies Development of good practice resources to support providers Liaising with providers, including admissions and student support Updating our information and advice – moving towards greater personalisation Social media and comms (#BelongatUni Twitter campaign) Blogs, case studies, stories Security marking: PUBLIC

  27. Any questions? Security marking: PUBLIC