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Comprehensive Analysis of ASTRA Model Results on Economic, Transport, and Environmental Impacts

This presentation provides an in-depth overview of the ASTRA model, highlighting its comprehensive approach to modeling transport, economy, and environmental impacts. Key findings include detailed analyses of GDP and employment index developments across different EU regions, variations in transport demand, and projections for modal shares in passenger and freight transport by 2030. Additionally, the environmental implications are assessed, focusing on CO2, CO, and NOx emissions. The insights from the ASTRA-POLES runs are critical for informed policy-making in sustainable transport.

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Comprehensive Analysis of ASTRA Model Results on Economic, Transport, and Environmental Impacts

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Presentation Transcript

  1. Framework Programme 6, Call 1A Thematic Priority 1.6.2, Area 3.1.2, Task 1.10 Instrument: Co-ordination Action + Additional Research

  2. The ASTRA results: contents of the presentation • Brief remind of the ASTRA model • Modelling strategy: the ASTRA – POLES runs • The ASTRA results: Economy impacts • The ASTRA results: Transport demand impacts • The ASTRA results: Environment impacts

  3. Main structure of the ASTRA model

  4. Transport cost, Transport demand WP3 Scenario inputs WP3 Scenario inputs POLES ASTRA Fleet evolution, fuel price development Global results, INDICATORS Global results, INDICATORS general The ASTRA results: the ASTRA – POLES runs

  5. The ASTRA results: Economy impacts EU25 GDP index development

  6. The ASTRA results: Economy impacts EU25 Employment index development

  7. The ASTRA results: Economy impacts EU15 GDP index development

  8. The ASTRA results: Economy impacts EU15 GDP index development

  9. The ASTRA results: Economy impacts NewEU10 GDP index development

  10. The ASTRA results: Economy impacts NewEU10 Employment index development

  11. The ASTRA results: Economy impacts EU25: variation of consumption at 2030 with respect to A0

  12. The ASTRA results: Economy impacts EU25: variation of employment at 2030 with respect to A0

  13. The ASTRA results: Transport demand impacts EU25: Pass-km index development

  14. The ASTRA results: Transport demand impacts EU25: Tons-km index development

  15. The ASTRA results: Transport demand impacts Modal shares of passenger modes at 2030

  16. The ASTRA results: Transport demand impacts Modal shares of passenger modes at 2030

  17. The ASTRA results: Transport demand impacts Modal shares of freight modes at 2030

  18. The ASTRA results: Transport demand impacts EU15: Pass-km index development

  19. The ASTRA results: Transport demand impacts EU15: Ton-km index development

  20. The ASTRA results: Transport demand impacts NewEU10: Pass-km index development

  21. The ASTRA results: Transport demand impacts NewEU10: Tons-km index development

  22. The ASTRA results: Environment impacts EU25: Emissions of CO2

  23. The ASTRA results: Environment impacts EU25: Emissions of CO

  24. The ASTRA results: Environment impacts EU25: Emissions of NOx

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