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Exploring Centuries of Growth: A Window to the Past and Future

Delve into the history of growth since the Renaissance with an average 3.5% increase per year, examining productivity spikes, natural system phases, and potential futures. Explore the interplay between growth, complexity, and limits, questioning the sustainability of perpetual growth. Consider the signs of climax and collapse in evolving systems, from self-organization to decay. Discover diverse growth scenarios, from a collapse for profit to a balanced, sustainable future. Can we navigate towards a harmonious, evolving climax in our economic systems?

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Exploring Centuries of Growth: A Window to the Past and Future

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  1. Large scale change through a small window…. Philip F. Henshaw id@synapse9.com UDATE 10 JAN 06

  2. The whole history of growth Probably 3 ½% per year average since the early Renaissance 640 years Only 8 80yr lifetimes Productivity increase by factor of ~4 Billion 1347-51 From every age the future was just off the page! Can we continue?

  3. The whole history of growth 3 ½% per year since the early Renaissance Click to start shutter scan

  4. A century of growth

  5. A century of growth Click to start shutter scan

  6. A lifetime of growth

  7. A lifetime of growth Click to start shutter scan

  8. A decade of growth

  9. The decade of growth Click to start shutter scan

  10. The last 100 years Issues of limits, over-burden of complexity, divergence To judge the approach of climax, you look for the symptoms

  11. Fast & Slow Recorded growth phases of natural systems Gamma ray burst 1/20 sec Plankton evolution 2 Myr

  12. Phases of natural system evolution Complex system change builds up & tapers off, using proportional change feedback mechanisms 2 steps of Self organization 2 steps of breakup and decay

  13. Possible growth futures When physical climax occurs, choosing whether to keep trying to provide perpetual growth for the financial one. Continually evolving climax free market growth to collapse for $$$ after using up the easy stuff just scrape bye

  14. Possible growth futures growth to collapse for $$$ A well oiled machine serving all Click to start shutter scan

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