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April 19, 2004

International Energy Outlook 2004. Guy Caruso Administrator Energy Information Administration Thirty-First Annual International Energy Conference Boulder, Colorado. April 19, 2004. International Energy Outlook 2004 indicates that over the next 24 years ….

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April 19, 2004

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  1. International Energy Outlook 2004 Guy Caruso Administrator Energy Information Administration Thirty-First Annual International Energy Conference Boulder, Colorado April 19, 2004

  2. International Energy Outlook 2004 indicates that over the next 24 years … • Energy use will grow strongly, especially among the developing countries (2.7% per year in the developing world) • There will be continued reliance on fossil fuels through 2025; oil remains the dominant fuel type (39 % of total world energy use) • Natural gas is the fastest growing source of primary energy (2.2% per year) • Coal will continue to be the predominant source for electricity generation, but natural gas will be an important supply source for power generation in many parts of the world, given its efficiency and environmental benefits. • Carbon dioxide emissions resulting from the combustion of fossil fuels will continue to grow (1.9% per year)

  3. World Gross Domestic Product in Three Economic Growth Cases, 1970-2025 Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 2004

  4. World Marketed Energy Consumption in Three Economic Growth Cases, 1970-2025 710 623 542 Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 2004

  5. Forecast Comparisons in 2025: IEO2004 vs. IEO2003 Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 2004

  6. World Marketed Energy Consumption by Region, 1970-2025 Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 2004

  7. Energy Intensity by Region, 1970-2025 Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 2004

  8. World Primary Energy Consumption by Fuel Type, 1970-2025 Share of World Total Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 2004

  9. World Oil Consumption and Production, 2001, 2010, and 2025 Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 2004

  10. Persian Gulf Oil Productive Capacity by Country, 2001 and 2025 Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 2004

  11. World Oil Reserves by Country, as of January 1, 2004 Source: "Worldwide Look at Reserves and Production."Oil & Gas Journal, Vol. 100, No. 49 (December 22, 2003), pp. 46-47.

  12. World Oil Prices in Three Cases, 1970-2025 Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 2004

  13. Nonconventional Oil Production in Three Price Cases, 2001-2025 Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 2004

  14. Natural Gas Consumption by Region,IEO2004 vs. IEO2003 Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 2004 and International Energy Outlook 2003

  15. World Natural Gas Reserves by Region, as of January 1, 2004 Source: "Worldwide Look at Reserves and Production," Oil & Gas Journal, Vol. 100, No. 49, December 22, 2003, pp. 46-47

  16. World Coal Consumption by Region, 1980, 2001, and 2025 Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 2004

  17. World Recoverable Coal Reserves as of January 1, 2001 Source: EIA, International Energy Annual 2001

  18. World Net Electricity Consumption by Region, 2001-2025 Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 2004

  19. Shares of Energy Use for Electricity Generation, 2001-2025 Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 2004

  20. Installed Nuclear Capacity, IEO2004 vs. IEO2003 Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 2004 and International Energy Outlook 2003

  21. World Energy-Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions by Region, 1990-2025 Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 2004

  22. World Energy-Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions by Fossil Fuel Type, 1970-2025 Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 2004

  23. Carbon Dioxide Intensity for Selected Countries and Regions, 2001 and 2025 Source: EIA, International Energy Outlook 2004

  24. International Energy Outlook 2004 indicates that over the next 24 years … • Energy use will grow fastest in the developing world • Oil remains the dominant fuel type • Natural gas will be the fastest-growing primary energy source • Resources will be sufficient to meet demand through 2025 • Carbon dioxide emissions will continue to grow • Electricity will increase rapidly in the developing world • Coal will remain the predominant fuel for electric power generation, but gas’ importance will grow • Developing Asia will expand its use of nuclear power

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