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Lent Term Seminars 2012 London and the High Speed Rail debate: How do we get

Lent Term Seminars 2012 London and the High Speed Rail debate: How do we get the Right Line? Mark Bostock | 20 February 2012. “ I'm in no doubt that the key challenge is to ensure the transport networks can support the success of one, the growing urban catchments;

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Lent Term Seminars 2012 London and the High Speed Rail debate: How do we get

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  1. Lent Term Seminars 2012London and the High Speed Rail debate: How do we get the Right Line?Mark Bostock | 20 February 2012

  2. “ I'm in no doubt that the key challenge is to ensure the transport networks can support the success of one, the growing urban catchments; two, key inter-urban corridors; and three, key international gateways. These should be the economic priorities for the UK because they are both highly productive and growing. These key transport links are heavily used today and show congestion and reliability problems, which will get worse. These are the places where transport constraints hold back economic growth.” Eddington Transport Study, 1 December 2006

  3. “ This, by any standards is an extraordinary tale:a story of a grand engineering project in a country that distrusts grand projects” The Right Line

  4. BR Proposal vs Arup Route

  5. The Arup Route …it had two unique advantages: it demolished no houses… …and could potentially bring huge regeneration benefits to the blighted areas through which it would run.

  6. The HS1 Route The Arup Alignment… …a deliverable proposition …for public benefit

  7. Public Benefit Case International ObjectiveHigh Speed London to Continental Europe Commuter ObjectiveIncreased capacity, speed and quality Overall Transport ObjectivesModal shift via park and rideNew transport spine for East Thames corridorPotential for further high speed routes to the north Development objectivesOpen up the Thames Gateway for regenerationRegenerate the derelict inner city areas

  8. HS1 Benefits £ billion (2008 prices) Financial 3.4 (Net rail revenues) Transport user benefits 3.8 (Time savings and reduced congestion) Wider economic benefits 3.8(Enabling central London growth, reduced travel costs and improving labour markets) Regeneration 10.0 (15,000 homes, 70,000 jobs) (Supporting Government social and economic development public objectives along Route) Present value (60 years) 17.6 HS1 capital cost and commuter services 7.3 Source Colin Buchen, Economic Impact of HS1 for LCR January 2009

  9. Original London Connections: 1989

  10. Infrastructure Investment “ The UK approach to infrastructure investment has in general been timid, uncoordinated, incremental, wasteful in it’s procurement and insufficiently targeted to supporting balanced and sustainable growth in the economy” Foreword, National Infrastructure Plan, HM Treasury, October 2010

  11. London Airports with basic infrastructure

  12. Airport charges index and distribution charges

  13. Airport charges index and distribution charges

  14. Taking the airport to the railway

  15. Original through Heathrow Proposal

  16. “As a first stage, we have asked the company to develop a proposal for an entirely new line between London and the west midlands; that would enable faster journeys to other destinations in the north of England and Scotland, using both existing lines and a new high-speed rail network.” “I see a strong case for this new line approaching London via a Heathrow international hub station on the Great Western line, to provide a direct four-way interchange between the airport, the new north-south line, existing Great Western rail services and Crossrail, into the heart of London.” 15th January 2009:Secretary of State Hoon’s statement to the House of Commons

  17. “I see a strong case for this new line approaching London via a Heathrow international hub station on the Great Western line, to provide a direct four-way interchange between the airport, the new north-south line, existing Great Western rail services and Crossrail, into the heart of London” 15th January 2009: Secretary of State Hoon’s statement to the House of Commons

  18. The Adonis Alignment: March 2010

  19. High Speed Rail Key Dates 28 June 2007 Ruth Kelly appointed SoS Transport (15 Months) 9 September Conservative Party supports Arup Proposals 3 October 2008 Geoffrey Hoon appointed SoS (8 Months) 15 January 2009 R3 supported by Labour Government HS2 Ltd set up to investigate high speed London/West Midlands February 2009 Conservative Party confirms its support for Arup proposals 5 June 2009 The Lord Adonis appointed SoS (10 months) December 2009 HS2 hands its report to the government 11 March 2010 High Speed 2 report and supporting studies published with the government's command paper on high-speed rail Mawhinney Review Established

  20. Heathrow Hub Proposals

  21. The Heathrow Hub Connections

  22. High Speed Rail Key Dates 6 May 2010 General Election – Conservative/Lib victory R3 cancelled 12May 2010 Philip Hammond appointed SoS (16 months) 21 July 2010 Mawhinney Review Reports 4 October 2010 Government route for consultation announced 20 December 2010 Government published a slightly revised line of route for public consultation 14 October 2011 Justine Greening appointed SoS 1 November 2011 House of Commons Transport Select Committee Report Published 12 December 2011 Labour Party supports Arup proposals 10 January 2012 Government Route announced

  23. The Government Alignment 2010

  24. HS2 Alignment: Jan 2012

  25. The two propositions Government’s proposal Heathrow Hub Indicates tunneled route

  26. The two propositions

  27. Heathrow growing within existing limits “BAA is forecasting that the load factor will increase from 73% to 78.5% by 2020 and the average number of seats per aircraft from 195 in 2007 to 240 in 2020” - Appendix 4.2, Competition Commission Final Report 2009 “61% of passenger travel emissions generated by kiss & fly, taxi and minicab journeys which all generate four trips per return flight” – Heathrow 2009 Carbon Footprint & Surface Access Strategy, BAA

  28. HS2 Alignment: Jan 2012

  29. The benefits to the British economy of aviation at Heathrow 'Frontier Economics. 'Connecting for growth:the role of Britain's hub airport in economic recovery': A Report prepared for Heathrow, September 2011' Note1: Our estimate of employment is of direct employment in the aviation sector as defined by Annual Business Inquiry. There are around 76,00 people employed at the airport and at Waterside across aviation and related sectors, such as hotels, catering, and other transport providers. Note 2: This table does not include the impact of spending in the UK by visitors arriving on short haul flights.

  30. An integrated approach?

  31. Conclusion 1980sBR point to point approach to CTRL 1990sHS1 success in taking wider view of transport and environment 2000sEuropean experience in integrating rail/air and twinning road/rail 2010sEuropean Commission transport policy mandates integrated intermodal approach 2010sHS2 ignores both experience and policy

  32. London competitiveness Support Europe’s leading Hub airport Full integration between aviation, classic rail and High Speed Rail Consensus on long term strategy and funding Democratic legitimacy

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