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Daly Milliff Bisagni Bucklin Fiechter Holland Pierson Rykaczewski Turner

Observing Systems for Multiscale Processes: Connectivity across Scales, How to design observing systems, Sampling program. Group Members. Daly Milliff Bisagni Bucklin Fiechter Holland Pierson Rykaczewski Turner. Past.

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Daly Milliff Bisagni Bucklin Fiechter Holland Pierson Rykaczewski Turner

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  1. Observing Systems for Multiscale Processes: Connectivity across Scales, How to design observing systems, Sampling program

  2. Group Members Daly Milliff Bisagni Bucklin Fiechter Holland Pierson Rykaczewski Turner

  3. Past • GLOBEC regions were chosen as areas with existing series of observations (e.g., MARMAP) to give context to the research • Ecological “hot spots” • Commercially important spp • Recognized zoopl as indicators, but not mechanistic understanding • Directed effort towards retrospective analysis of existing obs datasets • Retro, modeling and techno development before field program • Embedded process studies in context of long-term observations • Observations and modeling went forward together, physical and ecological observations on same scale • Recognition that basin-scale climate variability influenced ecosystem processes on local/mesoscale

  4. Present • Current PRS groups have responsibility to consider obs systems and translate research results that will be useful w/in context of observing systems • Recommend sensor systems and sampling programs relevant to coupled physical-ecosystem models • Develop metrics for co-evaluating integrated measurement systems and models • What are sentinel measurements to make, indicators of climate change? • GLOBEC has made contributions to development of emerging IOOS and OOI through research results and PI interaction • Not always recognized as GLOBEC contribution – “branding” need • GLOBEC should continue to refine concepts of adaptive sampling to measure critical events (episodes) • Vs. CalCOFI static, regular grid • Refine error bars on abundance and rates estimates • Refine mechanistic understanding to define lead-lag relationships between ecosystem change and climate variability • Will current hot spots remain persistent in a changing climate? • GLOBEC is an approach, not just a program • Incorporated into new programs (Chilean, FUTURE, BASIN…) • Suggest “culminating” article in EOS (teaser for GLOBEC books)

  5. Future (not FUTURE) • GLOBEC should make recommendations for model development needs for obs systems • Models necessary for dynamic interpolation and prediction • Challenge in spanning scales (bacteria to whales; individual to populations; episodic events to long term climate scales;) • Obs of model domain boundary variability will improve models • Climatology not enough • Can’t compare obs data with single model output • Ensemble approaches • Develop new methods for model-data comparisons (Spatial/temporal basis functions) • Develop model comparison methods • Intercompare observing regions to evaluate connectivity, teleconnections, covariability among regions • Recommend measurements and rate processes to encourage development of sensing systems for fundamental ecological processes • E.g. genomic metabolic processes

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