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In May 2010, George Osborne announced budget cuts that resulted in significant job losses for local councils, including that of Gloria, a council worker. This analysis illustrates how her redundancy leads to increased government spending on benefits, contradicting initial savings from budget cuts. Gloria's case reveals the domino effect on public sector employment and private sector demand, emphasizing that cutting public sector jobs can exacerbate economic challenges. Understanding these dynamics is crucial for policy-making.
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24 May 2010 • George Osborne announced £6bn of budget cuts to this years’ budget. • Overnight local councils lost over £1bn in grants from central government. • Sadly, some people have already lost their jobs. • In the Spending Review on 20 October 2010 George Osborne announced a real terms cut of 28 per cent in the Formula Grant to local councils in England by 2014/15.
Consider Gloria • She worked for the council and was paid £20,000 pa gross • Gloria is one of the workers who has now lost her job because George Osborne cut council grants on 24 May 2010. • Gloria’s council lost the grant that funds her job. • The government benefits because she is working. • Let’s look at the cost to the government of making her redundant. • She is a single parent with one child • She pays £4,160 a year in rent (£80 a week) • Her Council Tax is £700 a year
Gloria pays £4,276 in Income Tax and National Insurance to the government
Gloria’s employer also pays £1,828 in Employers National Insurance so the government gets £6,104 from Gloria and her employer
Consider Gloria • Gloria gets Child Benefit – £1,056 a year • And she gets Child Tax Credit – another £2,161 • After paying her rent (£4,160) and Council Tax (£700) she has £14,081 left to spend • Assume that she pays 15% of that in VAT, petrol duty, alcohol duty, car tax etc – that is another £2,112 that is paid to the government
£4,276 Income Tax and NI Council Tax £700 VAT etc £2,112 £3,216 Child Benefit and Child Tax Credit Gross Pay £20,000 £4,160 in rent Employers NI £1,828 Town Hall HM Treasury
Therefore net income to central government • Income tax £2,705 • Nat Ins £1,571 • Spending taxes (VAT, petrol duty etc) £2,112 • Employer’s Nat Insurance contribution £1,828 • Less money paid in tax credits -£2,161 • Less money paid in child benefit -£1,056 • Net income to central government £4,999
What happens when Gloria is made redundant? We are in recession and she can’t find a job so the government has to pay her various benefits. Let’s take a look at the costs……..
Gloria is out of work • She gets Job Seekers Allowance (£64.30/week) - £3,344/year • She gets housing benefit to pay her rent £4,160/year • She gets council tax benefit £700/year • She still gets child benefit £20.30/week - £1,055.60/year • She gets a Child Tax Credit of £2,851
But the government still gets some money from Gloria…….. • Her housing benefit is paid to the landlord and her council tax benefit is paid to the council so she has £7,250 left for herself and her child to live on • Assume that she pays 15 per cent of that in VAT, petrol duty, alcohol duty, car tax etc – so £1,087 is paid to the Government)
Check therefore net cost to government • Job seeker’s allowance £3,344 • Child tax credits £2,851 • Child benefit £1,056 • Housing benefit £4,160 • Council tax benefit £ 700 • Less income from VAT etc -£1,087 • Net cost to government £11,022
The government has cut the grant to the council • The council cuts its budget and makes Gloria redundant • The government no longer gets £4,999 from Gloria • Instead it pays £11,022 to support Gloria and her child • The government might save £20,000 by cutting £20,000 in grant to the council but the government loses £16,021 in the process • But it does not stop there….
£1,087 in VAT and other taxes £7,250 in JSA, Child benefit + child tax credit £4,160 in Housing Benefit £700 in Council tax benefit Town Hall HM Treasury
The impact of sacking Gloria • Now Gloria is unemployed she does not spend as much as she used to • That means less demand in the private sector • Less demand means private sector job cuts too • The government then loses taxes from the private sector workers made redundant and has to pay them benefits too • Economists say that every 100 jobs lost in the public sector leads to another 41 jobs lost in the private sector • Making Gloria redundant makes no economic sense, does it?
For more info on Richard’s work go to his website: taxresearch.org.uk/ Presentation informed by blog written by tax accountant Richard Murphy.
What can I do? Picture of Gloria taken by Laura Brechtbert used under a Creative Commons license. The use of picture does not imply Laura Brechtbert endorses this presentation • If you work in the public sector, join UNISON: unison.org.uk/join • Sign up to our Million Voices for Public Services campaign: unison.org.uk/million • Write to your MP – find your MP at: theyworkforyou.com
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