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Experiments with RAINS-NL

Jan Aben. Experiments with RAINS-NL. Contents. Features and objectives of RAINS-NL Illustration of a feature Exploration of Euro V and Euro VI effects on PM 2.5 emissions and concentrations Conclusions. Features. Increased spatial resolution (NL domain only)

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Experiments with RAINS-NL

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  1. Jan Aben Experiments with RAINS-NL

  2. Contents • Features and objectives of RAINS-NL • Illustration of a feature • Exploration of Euro V and Euro VI effects on PM2.5 emissions and concentrations • Conclusions Jan Aben, Experiments with RAINS-NL, Rome, 17-19 May 2006

  3. Features • Increased spatial resolution (NL domain only) • EMEP based TM’s (50x50 km)  OPS based TMs (5x5 km) • high resolution ecosystem and population data • Sector specific transfer matrices allowing better spatial allocation of control measures • NO2 concentration Jan Aben, Experiments with RAINS-NL, Rome, 17-19 May 2006

  4. Objectives of RAINS-NL • Providing a general framework for IA analysis • Detailing RAINS outcomes for the Netherlands • Studying the effects of alternative national strategies, including the consequences for other countries Jan Aben, Experiments with RAINS-NL, Rome, 17-19 May 2006

  5. Increased resolution in RAINS-NL RAINS underestimates N-problem in hot spots Jan Aben, Experiments with RAINS-NL, Rome, 17-19 May 2006

  6. Effects of EURO V and VI on NO2 and PM2.5 • NO2 and PM are bottlenecks in Dutch cities • Traffic is an important source of NOx and PM emissions • Investigation into the effects of proposed EURO standards on PM2.5 concentrations Jan Aben, Experiments with RAINS-NL, Rome, 17-19 May 2006

  7. Two alternative strategies • MOBv1: Starts from Commission proposal Euro V for cars and vans (starting ± 2008) and European stimulation of cleaner trucks (Euro IV and V) • MOBv2: Starts from Commission proposal EURO V for cars and vans and EURO VI (starting ± 2012) for cars and trucks (Ricardo) Alternative strategies applied to NL, BE, GE, FR, UK Jan Aben, Experiments with RAINS-NL, Rome, 17-19 May 2006

  8. Development of shares of Euro standards Jan Aben, Experiments with RAINS-NL, Rome, 17-19 May 2006

  9. Reduction of NOx emission by road traffic in 2020 Jan Aben, Experiments with RAINS-NL, Rome, 17-19 May 2006

  10. Reduction of PM2.5 emission by road traffic in 2020 Jan Aben, Experiments with RAINS-NL, Rome, 17-19 May 2006

  11. Effect on PM2.5 concentration in 2020 - NL Jan Aben, Experiments with RAINS-NL, Rome, 17-19 May 2006

  12. Spatial allocation of effect on PM2.5 concentration RAINS/EMEP underestimates effect of measures for hot spots Jan Aben, Experiments with RAINS-NL, Rome, 17-19 May 2006

  13. PM2.5 concentrations along city streets in 2020 Jan Aben, Experiments with RAINS-NL, Rome, 17-19 May 2006

  14. Conclusions • Euro V and VI are essential measures to reduce PM2.5 (and NO2) in Dutch urban locations (but possibly not sufficient to meet indicative targets everywhere) • RAINS/EMEP underestimates problems in hot spots • RAINS/EMEP underestimates effects of measures for hot spots Jan Aben, Experiments with RAINS-NL, Rome, 17-19 May 2006

  15. The End Jan Aben, Experiments with RAINS-NL, Rome, 17-19 May 2006

  16. Increased life expectancy Jan Aben, Experiments with RAINS-NL, Rome, 17-19 May 2006

  17. Effect on NO2-concentration Jan Aben, Experiments with RAINS-NL, Rome, 17-19 May 2006

  18. Performance OPS Jan Aben, Experiments with RAINS-NL, Rome, 17-19 May 2006

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