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A Changing World: Helping Students Prepare for Life in a Scary World that We Know Little About

A Changing World: Helping Students Prepare for Life in a Scary World that We Know Little About. Chris Droessler College Tech Prep Consultant NC Department of Public Instruction Chris.Droessler@dpi.nc.gov. QR-Code. www.ctpnc.org/presentations. Surprises Future Demand Changing World.

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A Changing World: Helping Students Prepare for Life in a Scary World that We Know Little About

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  1. A Changing World: Helping Students Prepare forLife in a Scary World thatWe Know Little About Chris Droessler College Tech Prep Consultant NC Department of Public Instruction Chris.Droessler@dpi.nc.gov

  2. QR-Code www.ctpnc.org/presentations

  3. SurprisesFuture DemandChanging World www.ctpnc.org/presentations

  4. Degree Level MattersPeople with more education make more money than those with less education

  5. Average Starting Salaries for2009 College Graduates in FL $47,708 Associate in Science (community college) $44,558 Bachelor degree (private college) $39,108 Certificate (community college) $36,552 Bachelor degree (state college) Miami Herald - Jan 1, 2011

  6. 2006-2016 Projected NC Employment:Education Required work exp. Bachelor’s degree long OJT Bachelor + work exp. Master’s degree Doctorate degree Professional 1,2 year college mod. OJT Associate degree short OJT NC Employment Security Commission

  7. 2008 NC High School Graduate Intentions Other Employment Military Trade and Business Schools Private Junior Colleges Public Senior Institutions Community and Technical Colleges Private Senior Institutions NC Public Schools Statistical Profile 2008

  8. Postsecondary Intentions vs. Reality Graduate Intentions Education Required OJT 4 year 11.6% 20.1% 9% 4 year 1-2 year 47% 1-2 year OJT 38% 59.6%

  9. On the Job Training Required(2008 NC Starting Salaries - 2016 High Demand) $33,110 long OJT Elevator Installers and Repairers $28,920 mod. OJT Refractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons $27,880 long OJT Reinforcing Iron and Rebar Workers $27,730 long OJT Boilermakers $27,180 long OJT Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers $26,930 mod. OJT Sales Representatives, Services, all other $26,920 mod. OJT Tank Car, Truck, and Ship Loaders $26,700 long OJT Millwrights $26,590 long OJT Electricians $26,280 long OJT Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters $25,840 long OJT Stonemasons $24,730 long OJT Terrazzo Workers and Finishers $23,950 long OJT Plasterers and Stucco Masons $23,720 long OJT Opticians, Dispensing $23,710 long OJT Recreational Vehicle Service Technicians $23,510 mod. OJT Dental Assistants $23,180 mod. OJT Models 23150 mod. OJT Mechanical Door Repairers 23040 short OJT Helpers--Extraction Workers 23000 short OJT Riggers 22650 long OJT Carpenters 22220 mod. OJT Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators 22060 long OJT Video Equipment Technicians 21960 mod. OJT Surveying and Mapping Technicians 21780 short OJT Building Cleaning Workers, all other 21670 mod. OJT Multiple Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic 21610 mod. OJT Sheet Metal Workers 21600 mod. OJT Advertising Sales Agents 21560 mod. OJT Pipelayers 21230 mod. OJT Painters, Construction and Maintenance 21200 mod. OJT Medical Assistants 21130 mod. OJT Roofers 21100 long OJT Interpreters and Translators 21060 mod. OJT Insulation Workers, Mechanical 21040 short OJT Bill and Account Collectors 20760 short OJT Medical Equipment Preparers

  10. Associate Degree Required(2008 NC Starting Salaries - 2016 High Demand) $47,920 Radiation Therapists $45,600 Diagnostic Medical Sonographers $45,280 Dental Hygienists $42,630 Registered Nurses $38,470 Respiratory Therapists $35,910 Radiologic Technologists and Technicians $35,870 Physical Therapist Assistants $35,810 Cardiovascular Technologists and Technicians $29,700 Medical Equipment Repairers $27,410 Forensic Science Technicians $26,870 Paralegals and Legal Assistants $26,660 Biological Technicians $25,240 Life, Physical, and Social Science Technicians, all other $25,190 Medical and Clinical Laboratory Technicians $24,520 Agricultural and Food Science Technicians $23,280 Occupational Therapist Assistants $22,190 Social Science Research Assistants 19,740 Medical Records and Health Information Technicians 18,340 Veterinary Technologists and Technicians

  11. Bachelor Degree Required(2008 NC Starting Salaries - 2016 High Demand) $65,690 Physician Assistants $58,180 Computer Software Engineers, Systems Software $55,220 Construction Managers $55,050 Aerospace Engineers $53,970 Computer Software Engineers, Applications $47,340 Financial Analysts $46,980 Biological Scientists, all other $46,710 Computer Systems Analysts $46,380 Life Scientists, all other $45,650 Occupational Therapists $45,590 Environmental Engineers $44,400 Industrial Engineers $42,900 Database Administrators $42,310 Logisticians $40,430 Biomedical Engineers $40,260 Network and Computer Systems Administrators $38,690 Technical Writers 37,890 Network Systems and Data Communications Analysts 37,010 Personal Financial Advisors 35,020 Social and Community Service Managers 34,120 Compensation, Benefits, and Job Analysis Specialists 33,410 Surveyors 32,250 Business Operations Specialists, all other 31,510 Medical and Public Health Social Workers 31070 Training and Development Specialists 30700 Multi-Media Artists and Animators 30100 Special Education Teachers, Preschool, Kindergarten, and Elementary School 29860 Child, Family, and School Social Workers 29480 Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education 29260 Special Education Teachers, Middle School 28170 Kindergarten Teachers, Except Special Education 27850 Athletic Trainers 27520 Adult Literacy, Remedial Education, and GED Teachers and Instructors 27510 Meeting and Convention Planners 27310 Directors, Religious Activities and Education

  12. Doctorate/Professional Degree Required(2008 NC Starting Salaries - 2016 High Demand) $166,400 Surgeons $136,450 Internists, General $125,320 Anesthesiologists $116,900 Obstetricians and Gynecologists $113,440 Family and General Practitioners $109,350 Pediatricians, General $106,380 Psychiatrists $87,020 Pharmacists $86,250 Podiatrists $60,950 Optometrists $54,990 Chiropractors $51,790 Computer and Information Scientists, Research $30,850 - $49,650 Postsecondary Teachers $48,280 Lawyers $48,010 Veterinarians $46,720 Physicians and Surgeons, all other $45,950 Physicists 45,100 Physics Teachers, Postsecondary 43,150 Atmospheric, Earth, Marine, and Space Sciences Teachers, Postsecondary 43090 Nursing Instructors and Teachers, Postsecondary 42990 Biological Science Teachers, Postsecondary 41420 Biochemists and Biophysicists 41300 Agricultural Sciences Teachers, Postsecondary 40960 Medical Scientists, Except Epidemiologists 40900 Geography Teachers, Postsecondary 40730 Chemistry Teachers, Postsecondary 40250 Economics Teachers, Postsecondary 39060 Clinical, Counseling, and School Psychologists 38980 Law Teachers, Postsecondary 38790 Computer Science Teachers, Postsecondary 38580 Forestry and Conservation Science Teachers, Postsecondary 38420 Psychology Teachers, Postsecondary 37810 Architecture Teachers, Postsecondary 36930 Philosophy and Religion Teachers, Postsecondary 36890 Anthropology and Archeology Teachers, Postsecondary 36840 Postsecondary Teachers, all other 36190 Criminal Justice and Law Enforcement Teachers, Postsecondary 36120 Social Sciences Teachers, Postsecondary, all other 36030 Political Science Teachers, Postsecondary 35930 History Teachers, Postsecondary 35530 Education Teachers, Postsecondary 35310 Sociology Teachers, Postsecondary 34280 Communications Teachers, Postsecondary 31880 Environmental Science Teachers, Postsecondary 31430 Social Work Teachers, Postsecondary 30850 Area, Ethnic, and Cultural Studies Teachers, Postsecondary 30350 Clergy

  13. 57% of bachelor’s-seeking studentsearn degree in 6 years National Center for Education Statistics, U.S. Department of Education (nces.ed.gov)

  14. North Carolina6-year Graduation Rate – 2008 57.6% average

  15. It makes you think? What happens to our 4-year program dropouts? 25% of all studentsin Community College have a 4-year degree. Did we send them to the wrong school?

  16. NC Board of Education Mission Every public school student will graduate from high school, globally competitive for workand postsecondary education and prepared for life in the 21st Century.

  17. SurprisesFuture DemandChanging World www.ctpnc.org/presentations

  18. If we really want to prepare our students for successful careers, we need to know all we can about the rapidly changing job market. C. Droessler

  19. Fastest Growing Occup. in NCRequiring Postsecondary Education(Total Change in Positions Projected from 2008 - 2018) 22,800 Registered Nurses 6,710 Accountants and Auditors 5,370 Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education 5,160 Postsecondary Teachers 5,020 Preschool Teachers, Except Special Education 4,430 Physicians and surgeons 3,790 Network Systems and Data Communications Analysts 3,370 Business Operation Specialists, All Other 3,320 Construction Managers 3,290 Computer Software Engineers, Applications 3,160 Clergy 2,840 Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses 2,630 Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Vocational Education 2,500 Real Estate Sales Agents 2,480 Paralegals and Legal Assistants 2,350 Fitness Trainers and Aerobics Instructors Bureau of Labor Statistics

  20. Fastest Growing Occup. in NC(Total Change in Positions Projected from 2008 - 2018) 32,910 Home Health Aides 22,800 Registered Nurses 18,940 Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast Food 15,720 Retail Salespersons 14,230 Customer Service Representatives 8,260 Cashiers 7,750 Waiters and Waitresses 7,150 Personal and Home Care Aides 6,930 Landscaping and Groundskeeping Workers 6,710 Accountants and Auditors 6,680 Construction Laborers 6,190 Truck Drivers, Heavy and Tractor-Trailer 5,610 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Retail Sales Workers 5,540 Executive Secretaries and Administrative Assistants 5,390 Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks 5,370 Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education 5,260 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Office and Administrative Support Workers 5230 Office Clerks, General 5160 Postsecondary Teachers 5020 Preschool Teachers, Except Special Education 5000 Receptionists and Information Clerks 4640 Stock Clerks and Order Fillers 4430 Physicians and surgeons 4420 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers 3980 Security Guards 3950 Social and Human Service Assistants 3790 Medical Assistants 3790 Network Systems and Data Communications Analysts 3760 Nursing Aides, Orderlies, and Attendants 3580 Cooks, Restaurant 3510 Pharmacy Technicians 3430 Teacher Assistants 3370 Business Operation Specialists, All Other 3320 Construction Managers 3290 Carpenters 3290 Computer Software Engineers, Applications Bureau of Labor Statistics

  21. Fastest Growing Occup. in USA(Total Change in Positions Projected from 2010 - 2020) 711,900 Registered Nurses 706,800 Retail Salespersons 706,300 Home Health Aides 607,000 Personal Care Aides 497,700 Driver/Sales Workers and Truck Drivers 489,500 Office Clerks, General 437,300 Laborers and Material Movers, Hand 425,400 Fast Food and Counter Workers 398,000 Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast Food 359,000 Building Cleaning Workers 358,400 Elementary and Middle School Teachers 338,400 Customer Service Representatives 330,100 Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers 328,500 Miscellaneous Healthcare Support Occupations 319,100 Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand 314,600 Software Developers and Programmers 305,700 Postsecondary Teachers 302,000 Nursing Aides, Orderlies, and Attendants 262,000 Childcare Workers 259,000 Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks 250,200 Cashiers 248,800 Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education 248,500 Receptionists and Information Clerks 247,800 Cashiers 246,400 Janitors and Cleaners, Except Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners 240,800 Landscaping and Groundskeeping Workers 223,400 Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products 212,400 Construction Laborers 210,200 Medical Secretaries 203,400 First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers 196,000 Carpenters 195,900 Waiters and Waitresses 195,600 Security Guards and Gaming Surveillance Officers 195,000 Security Guards 191,100 Teacher Assistants 190,700 Accountants and Auditors 190,400 Therapists 183,700 Health Practitioner Support Technologists and Technicians 178,600 Counselors 172,700 Miscellaneous Community and Social Service Specialists 168,500 Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses 168,300 Physicians and Surgeons 162,900 Medical Assistants Bureau of Labor Statistics

  22. Fastest Growing Occup. in NC(Percent Change in Positions Projected from 2008 - 2018) 79 Biomedical Engineers 45 Medical Scientists, Except Epidemiologists 45 Network Systems and Data Communications Analysts 44 Personal and Home Care Aides 42 Dental Hygienists 41 Veterinary Technologists and Technicians 41 Physician Assistants 41 Dental Assistants 40 Home Health Aides 38 Survey Researchers 38 Veterinarians 37 Medical Assistants 36 Financial Examiners 34 Medical Equipment Repairers 34 Pharmacy Technicians 33 Surgical Technologists 33 Personal Financial Advisors 32 Industrial-Organizational Psychologists 31 Athletic Trainers 31 Biochemists and Biophysicists 29 Skin Care Specialists 29 Cardiovascular Technologists and Technicians 29 Tree Trimmers and Pruners 28 Microbiologists 27 Radiation Therapists 27 Physical Therapist Aides 27 Physical Therapist Assistants 27 Paralegals and Legal Assistants 27 Registered Nurses 26 Funeral Attendants 26 Respiratory Therapists 26 Compensation, Benefits, and Job Analysis Specialists 25 Sociologists 25 Bicycle Repairers 25 Septic Tank Servicers and Sewer Pipe Cleaners 25 Personal Care and Service Workers, All Other 24 Orthodontists 450 x 79% = 360 81,790 x 40% = 32,910

  23. Fastest Declining Occup. in NC(Total Change in Positions Projected from 2008 - 2018) -4210 Sewing Machine Operators -3730 Textile Winding, Twisting, and Drawing Out Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders -3490 Textile Knitting and Weaving Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders -2610 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Production and Operating Workers -2140 Inspectors, Testers, Sorters, Samplers, and Weighers -1690 Machine Feeders and Offbearers -1630 Shipping, Receiving, and Traffic Clerks -1610 Textile Bleaching and Dyeing Machine Operators and Tenders -1550 Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand -1490 Computer Programmers -1460 Packers and Packagers, Hand -1460 Order Clerks -870 Helpers--Production Workers -820 Computer Operators -780 Industrial Production Managers -720 File Clerks -710 Data Entry Keyers -700 General and Operations Managers -690 Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners -690 Postal Service Mail Carriers -620 Lathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic -590 Electrical and Electronic Equipment Assemblers -590 Chemical Equipment Operators and Tenders -560 Upholsterers -550 Cutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic -550 Paper Goods Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders -530 Extruding and Forming Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Synthetic and Glass Fibers -500 Textile Cutting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders -490 Payroll and Timekeeping Clerks -480 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Transportation and Material-Moving Machine and Vehicle Operators -470 Cabinetmakers and Bench Carpenters -470 Weighers, Measurers, Checkers, and Samplers, Recordkeeping -470 Chemical Plant and System Operators -460 Switchboard Operators, Including Answering Service -450 Printing Machine Operators -440 Extruding and Drawing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic -430 Pressers, Textile, Garment, and Related Materials -400 Grinding, Lapping, Polishing, and Buffing Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

  24. Fastest Declining Occup. in USA(Total Change in Positions Projected from 2010 - 2020) -96,100 Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers -68,900 Postal Service Mail Sorters, Processors, and Processing Machine Operators -42,100 Sewing Machine Operators -38,100 Postal Service Mail Carriers -33,200 Switchboard Operators, Including Answering Service -31,600 Postal Service Clerks -19,100 Cooks, Fast Food -15,900 Data Entry Keyers -13,200 Word Processors and Typists -13,000 Textile Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders -12,400 Electrical, Electronics, and Electromechanical Assemblers -12,400 Miscellaneous Plant and System Operators -11,500 Door-to-Door Sales Workers, News and Street Vendors, and Related Workers -10,600 Food Service Managers -10,400 Electrical and Electronic Equipment Assemblers -8,800 File Clerks -8,100 Prepress Technicians and Workers -7,400 Computer Operators -6,800 Office Machine Operators, Except Computer -6,800 Pressers, Textile, Garment, and Related Materials -6,800 Postmasters and Mail Superintendents -6,200 Floral Designers -6,200 Petroleum Pump System Operators, Refinery Operators, and Gaugers -5,700 Loan Interviewers and Clerks -5,500 Paper Goods Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders -5,300 Chemical Plant and System Operators -4,500 Photographic Process Workers and Processing Machine Operators Bureau of Labor Statistics

  25. Begin with the end in mind. Does education prepare for a career, or the next level of education?

  26. Who’s Writing the Curriculum? Educators? (state, county, school) Business Persons? Politicians? What are we preparing students for? • More Education? • Entry-level Career? • Life?

  27. Vs • CompTIA • ServSafe • ProStart • CNA • ASE • NCCER • NIMS • PrintEd • AWS • HS Diploma • 2-year Certificate • Associate Degree • Bachelor Degree • Master Degree • Doctoral Degree • Professional Degree

  28. Educational Testing Service, 2006

  29. SurprisesFuture DemandChanging World www.ctpnc.org/presentations

  30. Upsetting the Projection Data • Recession • Natural Disasters • Immigration • Automation / Technology • Job relocation • Elections

  31. North Carolina’s Workforce Challenges 4. Dislocated or young workers in economically hard-hit micropolitan and rural areas have very limited alternatives for employment. 5. Seeking good-paying jobs, more workers must increase their skills by accessing and completing education beyond high school or by earning industry-recognized credentials. 6. The recession slowed baby boomer retirements, but the impact is likely to be felt first and greatest in micropolitan and rural areas where more workers are near-retirement age.

  32. North Carolina Must Consider …ensuring that students enroll in educational programs that teach the right skills… …linking the curriculum offered and industry needs… …and integrating work-relevant learning into the academic experience. …guiding students more effectively in their career planning… …good job opportunities go unfilled for lack of available workers.

  33. The New Economy New manufacturing jobs require workers with more advanced levels of training and education. In many of these instances, however, workers entering these industries will be asked to perform different tasks and possess different skills than the workers who are leaving those industries.

  34. Science, technology, engineering and math (STEM) occupations A common theme among high growth occupations is that they increasingly require mastery of STEM skills. Jobs that extensively require these skills are often considered “mission critical” – meaning that companies build their competitive advantage on the talents of people in these occupations and that companies risk losing customers or market share if they do not have this talent readily available or if the workers who occupy these positions have obsolete skills.

  35. Postsecondary Completion Community colleges represent a critical, more financially-accessible resource for preparing and training the next generation of the workforce, both initially – through assisting displaced or at-risk workers obtain a high school diploma or pass the general educational development (GED) exam – and through lifelong learning.

  36. Programs of Study The key concern among many policymakers is whether the programs of study offered at the state’s colleges and universities were relevant to business. Educational institutions must continue to expand the supply of workers with in-demand skills, particularly STEM-related skills. Furthermore, continuous change in industry demand suggests that the curriculum in postsecondary institutions at the universities as well as the community colleges should prepare workers to learn and adapt in a dynamic economic environment, emphasizing STEM.

  37. We Must Consider Policies Aimed At: Engaging education at all levels more actively in the state's future prosperity by ensuring that students enroll in educational programs that teach the right skills, linking the curriculum offered and industry needs, and integrating work-relevant learning into the academic experience. Ensuring greater employment stability through earned post-secondary education or learned adaptable skills by guiding students more effectively in their career planning and addressing the substantial education or training gap that must be met for low-skilled jobseekers or workers to compete for good-paying jobs.

  38. Final Thoughts A high school diploma alone will no longer offer even a remote pathway for future success. For most, the pre-requisites to achieve middle class status is the “new middle” job’s post-secondary credential – often a two-year associate degree at minimum –sometimes combined with an industry credential and/or a four year degree.

  39. Economic Development TargetsPiedmont Triad Partnership Aviation & Aerospace Automotive Plastics Data Centers Healthcare (incl. Biotech) Logistics & Distribution Finance & Insurance Arts & Tourism Food processing Furnishings

  40. Economic Development TargetsResearch Triangle Regional Partnership Pharmaceuticals Informatics Agricultural Biotechnology Pervasive Computing Advanced Medical Care Analytical Instrumentation Nanoscale Technologies Clean/Green Technology Defense Technologies Interactive gaming and E-learning Biological Agents / Infectious Diseases

  41. Economic Development TargetsNorth Carolina’s Northeast Commission Agricultural Biotechnology Automotive Aviation/Aerospace Marine Renewable Energy Basic Health Services

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