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Figure 1 Model of IOUs’ Current Forward RA Procurement

What’s Needed for Rational Discussion of Resource Adequacy: A Framework and Some Facts * presented by Kevin Woodruff, Principal, Woodruff Expert Services, to Power Agency of Northern California 2014 Annual Seminar session on Resource Adequacy Issues for California - Cost & Risk May 20, 2014.

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Figure 1 Model of IOUs’ Current Forward RA Procurement

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  1. What’s Needed for Rational Discussionof Resource Adequacy:A Framework and Some Facts *presented by Kevin Woodruff, Principal, Woodruff Expert Services,to Power Agency of Northern California 2014 Annual Seminarsession on Resource Adequacy Issues for California - Cost & RiskMay 20, 2014 * Adapted from Case for More Forward Procurement is Murky,but Need for Transparency is Clear, presented at Workshop in CPUC Joint Reliability Plan (R.14-02-001), May 2, 2014.

  2. Figure 1Model of IOUs’ Current Forward RA Procurement N.B. Current Mid-Term Procurement, Uncontracted Capacity / Surplus, and Future Mid-Term Procurements are home for existing gas generation and imports. Woodruff Slides for Power Agency of Northern California 2014 Annual Seminar, May 20, 2014

  3. Figure 2IOUs’ Bundled Procurement Plans, as of 2012 • Sources: • 2012-2013: CPUC Resource Adequacy policy. • 2017-2020: IOUs’ final Bundled Procurement Plan filings. • SONGS Capacity (2,246 MW): CAISO 2013 Net Qualifying Capacity List. • AES Contract Capacity (3,818 MW): SCE Advice Letter 2853-E. • Notes: • Expected Demand Response, Energy Efficiency and some customer generation deducted from load. • Capacity of PG&E Qualifying Facility contracts not included due to confidentiality limits. Woodruff Slides for Power Agency of Northern California 2014 Annual Seminar, May 20, 2014

  4. Figure 3IOUs’ Recent Mid-Term Capacity RFOs Woodruff Slides for Power Agency of Northern California 2014 Annual Seminar, May 20, 2014

  5. Figure 4IOUs’ Forward Procurement of Flexible Capacity * * Data last updated July 2013. Woodruff Slides for Power Agency of Northern California 2014 Annual Seminar, May 20, 2014

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