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MAHASRI

MAHASRI ( M onsoon A sian H ydro- A tmosphere S cientific R esearch and Prediction I nitiative) Jun Matsumoto Dept. of Earth & Planetary Sci., Univ. Tokyo, JAMSTEC/ IORGC Chairman of the Post-GAME Planning Working Group 第1回 国内実行委員会  050620. <プログラム> 13:30-13:40 :開会挨拶・参加者自己紹介

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MAHASRI

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  1. MAHASRI (Monsoon Asian Hydro-Atmosphere Scientific Research and Prediction Initiative) Jun Matsumoto Dept. of Earth & Planetary Sci., Univ. Tokyo, JAMSTEC/ IORGC Chairman of the Post-GAME Planning Working Group 第1回 国内実行委員会 050620

  2. <プログラム> 13:30-13:40:開会挨拶・参加者自己紹介 13:40-14:00:MAHASRI立案の経過報告について(資料1・2・3) 14:00-14:20:Science Planについて(資料4・5) 14:20-15:30:国内的・国際的な協調戦略・観測計画について(関 係する国内プロジェクトCLIVAR/THORPEX/CliC/PUB/MAIRS その他国内・国際プログラムとの連携方策など) 15:30-15:45:休憩 15:45-15:55:国内体制について(資料6) 15:55-16:05:国際体制について(資料6) 16:05-16:20:Funding戦略について 16:20-16:50:当面の行事予定について(資料7・8・9) (7/14,15第2回国内研究集会,8月18-20日ベトナム,9月29- 30日台湾,10月16-18日APHW,1月アジア水循環シンポ他) 16:50-17:00:その他・閉会挨拶

  3. CEOP IAEA CSEs Data Management Water and Energy Budget Studies MAHASRI Worldwide Integrated Study of Extremes Stable Water Isotope Intercomparison Group Transferability Water Resource Applications Project

  4. Four Regional Components of MAHASRI

  5. MAHASRI Objective "To establish hydro-meteorological prediction system, particularly up to seasonal time-scale, through better scientific understanding of Asian monsoon variability".

  6. Key Science Issues (1) • Atmosphere-ocean-land interactions in the Asian monsoon system • Role of orography on monsoon rainfall • Scale-interactions among diurnal, synoptic, intraseasonal and seasonal variability of Asian monsoon • Interactions of surface and boundary layer processes with convective cloud system • Comparisons of hydro-meteorological characteristics among regional monsoon sub-systems

  7. Key Science Issues (2) • Effect of human influences (i.e., aerosols, land-use change, and greenhouse-gas increase) on hydro-meteorological variations in Asian monsoon regions • Down-scaling and up-scaling for/with regional hydro-meteorological modeling and forecast • Transferability of land-surface hydrological models and parameters for prediction of ungauged basins • Incorporation of new technologies for observation and computation

  8. International cooperation strategies • Facilitate and/or improve hydro-meteorological observations in Asian monsoon countries in conjunction with GEOSS • Cooperate with CEOP-II by observations, data and hydrometeorelogical studies in Asian monsoon • Contribute IPY by conducting intensive observations in Asian monsoon region • Capacity building for observation, analysis, data-integration and modeling • Data exchange to establish an integrated database

  9. Differences from GAME? • More concrete collaboration with Asian hydrometeorological agencies and research institutes  → Present proto-type model for the hydrometeorological prediction system • Expansion the target field not only air-land interaction but also air-land-sea interaction, thus closer collaboration with CLIVAR community • Expansion of the target area over the Maritime Continent, Western Pacific, and India, while retreat from Siberia • Targeting also winter monsoon • Main time-scale: weekly to seasonal for prediction, year-to-year variability for research including long-term data rescue

  10. NationalCommittee for MAHASRI NationalCommittee for MAHASRI NationalCommittee for MAHASRI NationalCommittee for MAHASRI NationalCommittee for MAHASRI NationalCommittee for MAHASRI NationalCommittee for MAHASRI NationalCommittee for MAHASRI Project Project Project Project Project Project Project Project Project Project Project Project Project Project Project Project Project Project Project Project Project Project Project Project Project Project Project Project Project Project Framework WCRP C E O P THORPEX CLIVAR SPARC GEWEX CliC START MAHASRI PUB GWSP MAHASRI International Science Committee (MISC)

  11. Japan EOS Promotion Program

  12. Time Schedule Research phases: • September, 2005-September, 2006: Planning and preparation phase • September, 2006-March, 2010: Research phase I (2006-07: Build-up new observation systems) • 2008-09: IOP-year in conjunction with IPY (?) • 2011-2015: Research phase II

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