2013 Economic Outlook. Professor Martin Shields CSU Regional Economics Institute. The “Recovery” . The Important Economic Issues. The recovery will slowly continue picking up steam Unemployment will remain relatively high
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2013 Economic Outlook
Professor Martin Shields CSU Regional Economics Institute
The “Recovery”
The Important Economic Issues The recovery will slowly continue picking up steam Unemployment will remain relatively high Falling real household income has had large negative effects on the region
GDP Growth Tepid, but Sustained 12 Month Change Source: US Department of Commerce
The Output Gap is Large Source: St. Louis Fed
Inflation Remains in Check Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
Consumer Sentiment Still Low Source: University of Michigan
New Housing Starts: WTF? Source: US Census Bureau
US Employment Below 2007 Peak 1990-93 1980 2001-05 1981-83 2007-present Source: Current Employment Survey
Unemployment Improving Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
Stagnant Incomesmedian family income inflation adjusted Source: US Census Bureau
The Local Situation With 228,000 jobs Northern Colorado has 7,000 more jobs than it did 5 years ago Over the past 12 months it has added 5,000 Stagnant wages and income remains a challenge
3 Years of Job Growth Source: Current Employment Survey/Colorado Department of Labor and Employment and Colorado State University
Northern Colorado Job Levels Exceed Pre-Recessionary Totals Great Recession US about 98.5 percent Source: Current Employment Survey
Weld Has Seen Manufacturing and Mining Increase +2,300 jobs Job Change: 2007Q3 - 2012Q3 Source: QCEW/Colorado Department of Labor and Employment and Colorado State University
Health Care Main Larimer Driver +1,600 Jobs Job Change: 2007Q3 - 2012Q3 Source: QCEW/Colorado Department of Labor and Employment and Colorado State University
Local Industry Watch Poised to grow Energy Health care Professional & business services Wholesale trade Continued struggles Government Financial activities Information