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Presidential Nominations

Presidential Nominations. Who selects the nominee?. Historically… Members of Congress State party leaders Primary voters (Or just those in Iowa and New Hampshire?). Rules of the 2008 race. Frontloading. Rules of the 2008 race. Frontloading Effect on “Momentum”?

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Presidential Nominations

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  1. Presidential Nominations

  2. Who selects the nominee? • Historically… • Members of Congress • State party leaders • Primary voters • (Or just those in Iowa and New Hampshire?)

  3. Rules of the 2008 race • Frontloading

  4. Rules of the 2008 race • Frontloading • Effect on “Momentum”? • Importance of the Invisible Primary? • Demise of public finance?

  5. The demise of public finance • FECA Creates a voluntary subsidy for candidates who enter primary elections • All funds candidates raise in amounts of $250 or less (if they raise $5000 in 20 different states) are matched by the federal government on Jan 1 of election year • If you take the federal money, you abide by overall and state by state spending restrictions (about $44 million in 2004) • Public financing ($74 million in 2004) for general election campaigns (with limits on campaign spending)

  6. Rules of the 2008 race • Frontloading • Effect on “Momentum”? • Importance of the Invisible Primary? • Demise of public finance? • PR vs. the Unit Rule (Democratic party)

  7. California • Open primary • 370 delegates selected today • 241 allocated proportionally based on primary results in each of 53 congressional districts • 129 allocated based on statewide vote • Polls close 8:00 pm 3 delegates: CDs 20, 47 4 delegates: CDs 2, 3, 11, 16, 18, 19, 21, 22, 25, 26, 31, 32, 34, 38, 39, 40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45, 46, 48, 49, 51, 52 5 delegates: CDs 1, 4, 5, 7, 10, 13, 15, 17, 23, 24, 27, 28, 29, 33, 35, 36, 37, 50, 53 6 delegates: CDs 6, 8, 9, 12, 14, 30

  8. California • Closed Primary • 170 delegates • 159 allocated to the winner in each of 53 congressional districts (3 per district) • 11 allocated to winner of statewide vote • Polls close 8pm

  9. Delegate count so far…

  10. Who is advantaged by these rules?

  11. So who selects the nominee? • State party leaders? • Primary voters? • Large contributors? • The Press? • A combination?

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