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Presidential Nominations

Presidential Nominations

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Presidential Nominations

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  1. Presidential Nominations

  2. Who selects the nominee? • Historically… • Members of Congress • State party leaders • Primary voters • (Or just those in Iowa and New Hampshire?)

  3. Rules of the 2008 race • Frontloading

  4. Rules of the 2008 race • Frontloading • Effect on “Momentum”? • Importance of the Invisible Primary? • Demise of public finance?

  5. The demise of public finance • FECA Creates a voluntary subsidy for candidates who enter primary elections • All funds candidates raise in amounts of $250 or less (if they raise $5000 in 20 different states) are matched by the federal government on Jan 1 of election year • If you take the federal money, you abide by overall and state by state spending restrictions (about $44 million in 2004) • Public financing ($74 million in 2004) for general election campaigns (with limits on campaign spending)

  6. Rules of the 2008 race • Frontloading • Effect on “Momentum”? • Importance of the Invisible Primary? • Demise of public finance? • PR vs. the Unit Rule (Democratic party)

  7. California • Open primary • 370 delegates selected today • 241 allocated proportionally based on primary results in each of 53 congressional districts • 129 allocated based on statewide vote • Polls close 8:00 pm 3 delegates: CDs 20, 47 4 delegates: CDs 2, 3, 11, 16, 18, 19, 21, 22, 25, 26, 31, 32, 34, 38, 39, 40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45, 46, 48, 49, 51, 52 5 delegates: CDs 1, 4, 5, 7, 10, 13, 15, 17, 23, 24, 27, 28, 29, 33, 35, 36, 37, 50, 53 6 delegates: CDs 6, 8, 9, 12, 14, 30

  8. California • Closed Primary • 170 delegates • 159 allocated to the winner in each of 53 congressional districts (3 per district) • 11 allocated to winner of statewide vote • Polls close 8pm

  9. Delegate count so far…

  10. Who is advantaged by these rules?

  11. So who selects the nominee? • State party leaders? • Primary voters? • Large contributors? • The Press? • A combination?