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Volcanic-Ash Detection Avoidance and Preparedness for Transportation

Volcanic-Ash Detection Avoidance and Preparedness for Transportation. Today’s Schedule. 9:00 Background 9:15 V-ADAPT Demo 9:45 Market & Users 10:15 Break 10:30 Research, Funding, SBIR 11:00 Principals & Organization 12:00 Lunch @ Geraldo’s 1:00 Present IP & NTV

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Volcanic-Ash Detection Avoidance and Preparedness for Transportation

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  1. Volcanic-Ash Detection Avoidance and Preparedness for Transportation

  2. Today’s Schedule 9:00 Background 9:15 V-ADAPT Demo 9:45 Market & Users 10:15 Break 10:30 Research, Funding, SBIR 11:00 Principals & Organization 12:00 Lunch @ Geraldo’s 1:00 Present IP & NTV 2:00 Future Markets & IP 3:00 Milestones & Budgets 4:00 Term Sheet

  3. Background • Well over 200 commercial aircraft have encountered volcanic ash in the past 20 years • Eight encounters lost engine power • Ash is capable of serious damage • Damage depends on ash concentration, exposure, and pilot mitigation • Onboard radar cannot detect ash

  4. Ascent Velocity Cloud reaches cruise altitudes in five minutes Time is of the essence 28 mins 13 mins 10 mins 8 mins 6 mins Zero time

  5. Ash in Engines Plugged Cooling Holes Erosion of Leading Edge Coating Build-up of Ash Inside Passages Tom Grindle: DC-8 Volcanic Ash Encounter - Effects on Engines

  6. Encounters After Marianne Guffanti, Thomas Casadevall, and GariMayberry updated August 2013

  7. Monitored? Monitoring capabilities are highly variable around the globe Sequestration has cut monitoring in the US We need better, automated monitoring, advance planning, and post event analysis for air traffic in volcanic regions.

  8. Mitigation Complacency Mitigation of bad outcomes can lead to complacency – as if the hazard has been eliminated. The threat remains. Continued vigilance is necessary and supports mitigation capabilities.

  9. Today’s Schedule 9:00 Background 9:15 V-ADAPT Demo 9:45 Market & Users 10:15 Break 10:30 Research, Funding, SBIR 11:00 Principals & Organization 12:00 Lunch @ Geraldo’s 1:00 Present IP & NTV 2:00 Future Markets & IP 3:00 Milestones & Budget 4:00 Term Sheet

  10. V-ADAPT Demo

  11. Today’s Schedule 9:00 Background 9:15 V-ADAPT Demo 9:45 Market & Users 10:15 Break 10:30 Research, Funding, SBIR 11:00 Principals & Organization 12:00 Lunch @ Geraldo’s 1:00 Present IP & NTV 2:00 Future Markets & IP 3:00 Milestones & Budget 4:00 Term Sheet

  12. Research Partners US Geological Survey National Science Foundation National Aeronautics & Space Administration Air Force Weather Agency National Oceanographic & Atmospheric Administration Geophysical Institute Arctic Region Super Computing Center Alaska Satellite Facility College of Natural Science & Mathematics Google

  13. Research & Fundingin 1,000’s

  14. SBIR Funding A Better Volcanic Ash Transport & Dispersion Model The SBIR is structured with Phase I focused on research & Phase II emphasizing development. Phase III is the responsibility of the small business to commercialize the technology. Intriguing problem • Social, Commercial, Engineering, Logistics • Aviation Safety & Liability • American vs European Views • Commercial vs Military • Cargo, Logistics & Mission Readiness Intriguing model refinement • Stereo Ray Tracing, Calibration, Validation • Life cycle for developing the model • Future versions & In-line models Intriguing business opportunity: Commercial, Governmental, Public/Private Use

  15. SBIR & IP A better 3D thermal signature derived from two views.

  16. SBIR Phase II $750k Base Award & $250k Supplemental • Continue Ash Model Development • In-Situ Ash Sensor Development • Phase III Commercialization Strategy Public-Private Partnership between MMC & UAF Create new PPP business entity: V-ADAPT Here we are today.

  17. Today’s Schedule 9:00 Background 9:15 V-ADAPT Demo 9:45 Market & Users 10:15 Break 10:30 Research, Funding, SBIR 11:00 Principals & Organization 12:00 Lunch @ Geraldo’s 1:00 Present IP & NTV 2:00 Future Markets & IP 3:00 Milestones & Budget 4:00 Term Sheet

  18. Principals& Organization Jon Dehn – President Peter Webley – Vice President Keith Cunningham – Marketing Manger James Dunn – General Manager Adam Krynicki – Board Member and NTV

  19. Jon Dehn, PhD Research Associate Professor – Remote Sensing AVO remote sensing 1997-2013, lead PI (2011-2013) Deputy Secretary General for the International Association of Volcanology and Chemistry of the Earth’s Interior (2003 – 2007) UAF Faculty Senate 2006-present, President from (2009 – 2011) UA Faculty Alliance (2008-2011), Chair from (2009 – 2010) Remote Sensing group leader (2012-2013)

  20. Peter Webley, PhD Research Assistant Professor – Remote Sensing (2009 – now) Postdoc researcher at UAF ARSC (2005-2009) Puff model and volcano monitoring Postdoc associate at Kings College, London (2003-2005) Development of real-time remote sensing monitoring system for Central America PhD – InSAR for Volcano Monitoring (2003) Additional • Co-chair for World Organization of Volcano Observatories (WOVO) (2008 – present) • Advisor to the WOVO rep. to the ICAO IVATF (2010 – 2012) • Provisional patent on a calibration/validation tool for ash models • Developer of Puff website and Puff IP (2009 – present) • Research projects with NSF, NOAA, NASA • UAF Faculty Senate (2010-present)

  21. Keith Cunningham, PhD Research Assistant Professor – Remote Sensing President of Mobile Mapping Corporation (2004-now) Founder & Chief Scientist of Lidar Logic (2006-2009) Founder & President of Spatial Data Research (1993-2004) Business Manager of ETG (1988-1993) National Academies Transportation Research Board: • Real-time Visualization of Geotechnical Data for Disaster Prevention and Response Department of Transportation: • Unmanned Aerial Systems for Transportation Asset Monitoring & Inspection Department of Transportation: • Geotechnical Asset Management of Transportation Infrastructure

  22. James Dunn, JD MBA MBA from Georgetown University Licensed attorney General Manager of TDXNet Executive Director of Connect Alaska Former CEO & president of an Alaskan native corporation Twenty-five years in telecommunications in rural Alaska

  23. Adam Krynicki, JD UAF Business Development Director – OIPC Founding President of Nanook Technology Ventures Licensed Attorney – Pennsylvania Board Member of V-ADAPT

  24. Science Operations • Volcano Scientists • Data • Software • Servers

  25. Information flow inside V-ADAPT Satellite data downlink Processing (commercial & proprietary) Daily output products No Detected event? V-ADAPT modules V-ADAPT archive Yes Response output Federal weather sources Federal geology sources

  26. Information flow outside V-ADAPT Scenario Planning Non-crisis Regular updates to customers Web page Archived databases Puff, Google Earth N Volcanic Event? Y Eruption Crisis Other agency detection NWS, VAAC Decision Support 5 minutes Confirmation Redundancy Web updates 15 min Automated alert Built on decades of experience with customers, though can and should be modified as required

  27. Management Operations • Administrative & Legal • Strategic Planning, Positioning & Competition • Market Research & Sales

  28. Management Operations Administrative & Legal Coordinate Board of Directors Negotiations & Agreements Policies & Procedures Accounting & Auditing Investor & 49th Fund Reporting Defense Contract Audit Agency James Dunn ¼ to ½ time commitment TDX equity for time TDX fees for bookkeeping

  29. Positioning & Sales • Strategic Planning • Brand Positioning • Competition & Partners • Market Research • Sales Process • Keith Cunningham, Director • ½ time on V-ADAPT Salary • ½ time on UAF Salary

  30. C - Corporation • Shareholders • NAICS: 54 – Professional, Science, Technical • Section 1202 Qualified Small Business Stock • Public Private Partnership • UAF & V-ADAPT • UAF Salary Support to V-ADAPT • Alaska Ethics Statutes • University Board of Regents Regulations • UAF Conflicts of Interest Management

  31. Ethics Law & Regents Regulations

  32. Investors • Geophysical Institute – Salary support for Jon & Peter • Nanook Technical Ventures – IP Licensing • Mobile Mapping Corporation – SBIR Phase II • 49th Angel Fund • Matching Investors • Keith Cunningham • UAF General Counsel ruling on Insider Trading • UAF Call to Invest

  33. Morning Wrap Up Summary Q&A

  34. Lunch Geraldo’s - Italian

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