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WIB Meeting Reminder: Second Chance Pima County - Feb 9

Reminder for the next WIB meeting on February 9, discussing Second Chance Pima County. The meeting will cover the latest employment statistics and workforce development strategies. Don't miss out!

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WIB Meeting Reminder: Second Chance Pima County - Feb 9

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  1. January 12, 2018

  2. December meeting 198 Attendees

  3. Reminder: Next WIB meeting February 9 Topic is: Second Chance

  4. Pima County (preliminary)--per Az Research Administration from the monthly BLS Household Survey Nov ‘17Nov ‘16 Unemployed19,10021,000 Unemp Rate 4.0% 4.4% Employed 455,600 454,600 Labor Force 474,700 475,600

  5. During the period July 1, 2017 to September 30, 2017 Your ARIZONA@WORK system reported 1,558 people Placed in Jobs

  6. Nov. 2016 to Nov. 2017from the BLS Monthly Establishment Survey Manufacturing -0.9% Aerospace Products +5.1% Construction -0.7% Retail -2.8% Health +1.4% Nat’l Resource/Mining -0.0% Transport, Warehouse and Utilities > +3.9% Business Support Services +0.9% --Az Office of Employment and Population Statistics

  7. Are training credentials aligned with employer needs? The Dept. of Labor Office of Inspector General announced its topics for research for the next year. A new item is credentialing and certification in the workforce system. “We will determine if participants in Workforce Innovation and Opportunity Act programs earn credentials and certificates aligned with employer needs and high-demand occupations,” the plan briefly explains.

  8. Who Are Student Loan Defaulters?Ben Miller, Center for American Progress Analysis: students who first enrolled in postsecondary education in the 2003-04 school year. Followed for 12 years. 87% of defaulters received Pell grants. 60% started school as dependents, an indicator that they were living with parents or other relatives. 29% of defaulters were independent students with children of their own. 38% of defaulters started at for-profits.

  9. WIB Duties under WIOA PROVEN AND PROMISING PRACTICES.— TECHNOLOGY-- strategies to use technology to maximize the accessibility and effectiveness of the local workforce development system for employers and jobseekers --like us at https://www.facebook.com/PimaCountyCSET/ PROGRAM OVERSIGHT.– program scorecard NEGOTIATION OF LOCAL PERFORMANCE ACCOUNTABILITY MEASURES. Done SELECTION OF OPERATORS AND PROVIDERS. • Done--through RFPs COORDINATION WITH EDUCATION PROVIDERS — Done--committee review and recommendation of Adult Education providers BUDGET.— Done--Feb. 2017 meeting And Other Duties as Assigned….One Stop Certification Process

  10. WIB Duties under WIOA LOCAL PLAN – finally approved by State Council June 1, 2017. New Four Year Plan will be prepared in 2018…trends to consider. WORKFORCE RESEARCH AND REGIONAL LABOR MARKET ANALYSIS CONVENING, BROKERING, LEVERAGING --On-going support for SAMP EMPLOYER ENGAGEMENT – --today’s Guest Speaker --13 Recruitment events in Business Team report CAREER PATHWAYS DEVELOPMENT Implementing new paradigm

  11. Some Impact Factors Full Employment Immigration Policy Aging Workforce Other Policy Changes Robots

  12. The Economic Expansion is 100+ months and growing—the record is 120 months!

  13. United States Unemployment Rate from January 2007 until now

  14. Employment decline in last10 years (from 24/7 Wall Street) IndustryDecline Securities and Commodities Exchanges -42.9% Sound Recording Studios -42.9% Newspapers -48.1% Directory and Mailing List Publishers -56.0% Photofinishing -59.2% Videotape and Disc Rental -89.8%

  15. Unemployment Rate since 1948 (from BLS)

  16. John C. Williams, CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, on November 29. “We’re on track to add 2 million jobs to the economy this year and with continued strong momentum in the labor market, I expect the unemployment rate to continue to drift downward, bottoming out at around 3-¾ %next year.”

  17. Jobs that did not exist10 years ago (from CBS) Data Scientist Sustainability Manager Social Media Manager App Developer Uber Driver Drone Operator

  18. Reforming American Immigration for a Strong Economy Act, S 1720 A bill to amend the Immigration and Nationality Act -to eliminate the Diversity Visa Program, -to limit the President’s discretion in setting the number of refugees admitted annually to the United States, -to reduce the number of family-sponsored immigrants, -to create a new nonimmigrant classification for the parents of adult United States citizens, and for other purposes.

  19. The Points Game RAISE would replace the current complex system of employment priorities with a “points system.” Each Immigrant application would be awarded points based on various characteristics up to 100 points. Examples: Ages 26-31 earn 10 points, while over-50s get zero points. A bachelor’s degree earns 5 or 6 points, a STEM masters 7 or 8, a STEM PhD 10 or 13. The top 10% of English-language skills using a standardized test get 12 points. Wage offered gets 5-13 points depending on how far the wage is above median wage. Less than total 30 points — Game Over.

  20. Temporary Protected Status (not really immigrants) from El Salvador, Haiti and Honduras Proposal to return them to their native land Many have been here 20 years 325,000 and their children live in 206,000 households About 30% have mortgages They are authorized to work and 80% are in the workforce Over 50,000 of Salvadorans work in Construction --August 2017 data from the American Immigration Council

  21. Promoting Opportunity Demonstration Some Social Security Disability Insurance recipients in eight states are being asked to volunteer for a reemployment demonstration aimed at testing a simplified work incentive that ramps down their benefits gradually when their earnings grow. The project will run through June 2021. Up to 15,000 people will be invited to participate. About 5,000 will face the usual SSDI benefit policies. The remaining 10,000 will be placed in one of two program groups. Both will receive the $1 for $2 benefit offset as well as benefit counseling. One group of 5,000 will lose their benefits if their earnings reduce benefit levels to zero for 12 consecutive months. The other group of 5,000 will see benefits suspended only for months in which earnings have zeroed out their benefits -- so their cases will remain open.

  22. AHCCCS-Arizona Health Care Cost Containment System Az is requesting a waiver to impose additional requirements for AHCCCS recipients. Those ages 19 and 55 would have to work at least 20 hours a week. Work could include GED prep, college classes, and community service for those leaving prison. Exceptions can include those in high unemployment areas, victims of domestic violence, the homeless, those with serious mental illness as well as those who care for a child under age six or disabled or elderly adults.

  23. Is it? There goes your job orWho can help me because I’m broken?

  24. Ears to the Ground If you hear of a company that is planning to lay off some employees because they lack a new certification requirement please contact our Rapid Response unit. We may be able to provide training that will avert a layoff….

  25. Questions?

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