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SARS: An Emerging Infectious Disease. June 11, 2003 Edward L. Goodman, MD. Emerging Infectious Diseases: Institute of Medicine Definition. New, reemerging or drug-resistant infections whose incidence in humans has increased within the past two decades…. Major Factors Contributing to EID.
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SARS: An Emerging Infectious Disease June 11, 2003 Edward L. Goodman, MD
Emerging Infectious Diseases:Institute of Medicine Definition New, reemerging or drug-resistant infections whose incidence in humans has increased within the past two decades….
Major Factors Contributing to EID • Human demographics and behavior • Technology and industry • Economic development and land use • International travel and commerce • Microbial adaptation and change • Breakdown of public health measures
Emerging Infectious Diseases USA 1996 - 2003 • Ebola in non human primates, Texas • Racoon rabies, Ohio • Cyclospora gastroenteritis, multiple states • Non imported Malaria, Georgia and Florida • E coli 0157:H7 in apple juice, multiple states • West Nile Virus 1999, NY and now nationwide • Anthrax 2001; Fla., NYC, DC, NJ • Monkeypox: Prairie Dogs to Humans 2003; Wisc
Goals of today’s presentation • Show the power of epidemiology • Case definition/revisions • Descriptive epidemiology • Geographic Variation • Clinical findings • Infection Control Recommendations • Even before knowing an etiology • Show the extent of modern microbiology • Virology • Gene detection technology • Serology
Epidemiology • The science of studying diseases in populations • Examples • Cholesterol and CAD • Smoking and lung cancer • Tampons and TSS before Staph identified • Defined risk groups for AIDS before HIV identified • Draws conclusions on transmission and control even when etiology not known
Epidemiologic Investigation of an Apparent Outbreak • Preliminary Case Definition • Compare Features of Cases to Non-cases • Refine Case Definition • Case-control studies • Refine Case Definition multiple times • Investigate Etiology in refined definition group • Define Clinical Features • comparing proven to unproven cases
Initial signs of a worldwide outbreak • February 11, 2003 • Respiratory illness in Guangdong province, China • 305 cases, 5 deaths since November 16, 2002 • February 26—March 12, 2003 • Disease spreads to large number of health care workers in Hong Kong and Vietnam • March 12, 2003 • Global alert for Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) • CDC offers assistance to the WHO
Epidemics Within Epidemics • HIV • Predominantly MSM/IVDU in US and Europe • Predominantly heterosexual in Africa • Lyme Borreliosis • Predominantly joint disease in US • Disproportionately CNS disease in Europe
Epidemics within Epidemics • SARS • Asia and Canada • Healthcare Workers and families • USA • Mostly imported from Asia • Little transmission
The Hong Kong connection:Hotel M February March A B C D E F G H I J K L M Onset of symptoms Stayed at Hotel M
The Hong Kong connection:Hotel M February March A B C D E F G H I J K L M Onset of symptoms Stayed at Hotel M
The Hong Kong connection:Hotel M February March A B C D E F G H I J K L M Onset of symptoms Stayed at Hotel M
Canada 18 HCW F,G F,G 11 close contacts Ireland 0 HCW K K A Hong Kong SAR 95 HCW H,J I, L,M H,J B C,D,E I,L,M >100 close contacts C,D,E B United States 1 HCW Vietnam 37 HCW Singapore 34 HCW 21 close contacts 37 close contacts Spread from Hotel M Reported as of March 28, 2003 Guangdong Province, China A A Hotel MHong Kong
CDC Update June 4, 2003 • WHO reports 8402 cases from 29 countries • November 1, 2002 – June 4, 2003 • 772 deaths (9.2% CFR) • US and PR Cases 373, no deaths • 67 probable, 306 suspect • 65/67 attributed to international travel • One each HCW and household contact
Finding the Pathogen • Pathology • Virology • Gene detection • Classification • Diagnostics
What are Coronaviruses? • Taxonomy • Order Nidovirales • Family Coronaviridiae • Genus Coronavirus • Structure: large, enveloped, positive-stranded RNA • Genome: 30,000 nucleotides, the largest of any RNA virus
More than you want to know! • Group 1 and 2 are mammalian • Group 3 are avian • Major veterinarian pathogens • Infectious bronchitis virus • Feline infectious peritonitis virus • Transmissible gastroenteritis virus
Enough already! • Human coronavirus infections • Group 1 and 2 • 30% of common cold viruses • SARS human coronavirus (SARS-CoV) • Urbani strain, named after Italian physician who succumbed to this virus • Distinct from other CoV
Clinical Aspects of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) • Incubation period 2-10 days • Onset of fever, chills/rigors, headache, myalgias, malaise • Respiratory symptoms often begin 3-7 days after symptom onset
Symptoms Commonly Reported By Patients with SARS1-5 Symptom Range (%) Fever 100 Cough 57-100 Dyspnea 20-100 Chills/Rigor 73-90 Myalgias 20-83 Headache 20-70 Diarrhea 10-67 1. Unpublished data, CDC. 2. Poutanen SM, et al. NEJM 3/31/03. 3. Tsang KW, et al. NEJM. 3/31/03 4. Peiris JSM, et al. Lancet 4/8/03 5. Lee N. et al NEJM 4/7/03
Symptoms Reported by Patients With Diagnostic SARS-CoV Laboratory Testing, United States, 2003 *p=.07
Common Clinical Findings in Patients with SARS1-5 1. Unpublished data, CDC. 2. Booth CM, et al. JAMA 5/6/03. 3. Tsang KW, et al. NEJM. 3/31/03 4. Peiris JSM, et al. Lancet 4/8/03 5. Lee N. et al NEJM 4/7/03
Clinical Findings in Patients With Diagnostic SARS-CoV Laboratory Testing, United States, 2003 *p<.05
Radiographic Features of SARS • Infiltrates present on chest radiographs in > 80% of cases • Infiltrates • initially focal in 50-75% • interstitial • Most progress to involve multiple lobes, bilateral involvement
Clinical Outcome of Patients with SARS, 2003 1. Unpublished data, CDC. 2. Booth CM SM, et al. JAMA 5/6/03. 3. Tsang KW, et al. NEJM. 3/31/03 4. Peiris JSM, et al. Lancet 4/8/03 5. Lee N. et al NEJM 4/7/03
Clinical Outcome of Probable SARS Cases*, 2003 * http://www.who.int/csr/sarscountry/2003_05_07/en/
Clinical Features Associated with Severe Disease • Older Age • Underlying illness • ? Lactate dehydrogenase levels • ? Severe lymphopenia
Transmission • Probable major modes of transmission • Large droplet aerosolization • Contact • Direct • Fomite • Airborne transmission cannot be ruled out • ? Role of aerosol-generating procedures • ? Fecal-oral • Transmission efficiency may vary among individuals