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Mediterranean and Middle Eastern Security

Mediterranean and Middle Eastern Security. From the Arab Spring to the Spring of Jihad?. Dimitris Keridis Associate Professor of International Politics Panteion University. The Problem. After Mosul: the collapse of Syria and Iraq ISIS and the emergence of a Sunni Caliphate. The Problem.

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Mediterranean and Middle Eastern Security

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  1. Mediterranean and Middle Eastern Security From the Arab Spring to the Spring of Jihad? Dimitris Keridis Associate Professor of International Politics Panteion University

  2. The Problem • After Mosul: the collapse of Syria and Iraq • ISIS and the emergence of a Sunni Caliphate

  3. The Problem

  4. The Framework • External forces: • The US intervention in Iraq in 2003 • Regional forces: • The democratic awakening of the Arab people • The Shia-Sunni Divide • The Iran-Saudi Arabia rivalry • +Turkey, +Russia, +USA

  5. The Framework Internal forces: Nouri al-Maliki Bashar Assad The Kurds

  6. Other Factors • Obama’s aloofness after withdrawing from Iraq in 2011 • The regional/international constellation

  7. Consequences and prospects • Collapse, re-drawing of borders, protracted civil war

  8. Consequences and prospects • A basis for global jihad

  9. Consequences and prospects • Mass migration

  10. Consequences and prospects • Rapprochement between Iran and the US

  11. Consequences and prospects • The US political polarization: the neo-cons and the rest

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