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Mediterranean and Middle Eastern Security

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Mediterranean and Middle Eastern Security. From the Arab Spring to the Spring of Jihad?. Dimitris Keridis Associate Professor of International Politics Panteion University. The Problem. After Mosul: the collapse of Syria and Iraq ISIS and the emergence of a Sunni Caliphate. The Problem.

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Mediterranean and Middle Eastern Security

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  1. Mediterranean and Middle Eastern Security From the Arab Spring to the Spring of Jihad? Dimitris Keridis Associate Professor of International Politics Panteion University

  2. The Problem • After Mosul: the collapse of Syria and Iraq • ISIS and the emergence of a Sunni Caliphate

  3. The Problem

  4. The Framework • External forces: • The US intervention in Iraq in 2003 • Regional forces: • The democratic awakening of the Arab people • The Shia-Sunni Divide • The Iran-Saudi Arabia rivalry • +Turkey, +Russia, +USA

  5. The Framework Internal forces: Nouri al-Maliki Bashar Assad The Kurds

  6. Other Factors • Obama’s aloofness after withdrawing from Iraq in 2011 • The regional/international constellation

  7. Consequences and prospects • Collapse, re-drawing of borders, protracted civil war

  8. Consequences and prospects • A basis for global jihad

  9. Consequences and prospects • Mass migration

  10. Consequences and prospects • Rapprochement between Iran and the US

  11. Consequences and prospects • The US political polarization: the neo-cons and the rest

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