1 / 15

Summary of MAP D-PHASE Strategy and Requirements

MAP D-PHASE / Olympics Project Meeting 6 February 2006 Prepared by: Ron McTaggart-Cowan. Summary of MAP D-PHASE Strategy and Requirements. Outline. Summary of 1 st MAP D-PHASE Science Meeting (November 2006, Vienna, Austria) Deliverables for MAP D-PHASE Test Period (Feb 2007)

penn
Télécharger la présentation

Summary of MAP D-PHASE Strategy and Requirements

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. MAP D-PHASE / Olympics Project Meeting 6 February 2006 Prepared by: Ron McTaggart-Cowan Summary of MAP D-PHASE Strategy and Requirements

  2. Outline • Summary of 1st MAP D-PHASE Science Meeting (November 2006, Vienna, Austria) • Deliverables for MAP D-PHASE • Test Period (Feb 2007) • DOP (1 June - 30 November 2007) • Status of EC contribution to MAP D-PHASE • Relationship to Olympics Project • Status of Olympics Project

  3. MAP D-PHASE Summary of MAP D-PHASE • MAP Demonstration of Probabilistic Hydrological and Atmospheric Simulation of flood Events in the alpine region • A Forecast Demonstration Project of the WWRP • Organized by MeteoSwiss with collaboration from many European centers and universities • Coordinates with COPS IOP • Overlap with E-TReC 2007

  4. MAP D-PHASE Summary of MAP D-PHASE MAP D-PHASE and COPS output domains for 2007 DOP

  5. MAP D-PHASE Summary of MAP D-PHASE • Both deterministic and low/high resolution ensembles will be run by various centers: • Ensembles: MOGREPS (UKMet), INM Multi-model (Spain), COSMO-LEPS (ECMWF), MICRO-PEPS (DWD) • Deteministic: GEM (Canada), MOLOCH (Italy), AROME (France), MM5 (Universities) • Numerous hydrological models will be run either coupled or in offline mode

  6. MAP D-PHASE Summary of MAP D-PHASE • Preliminary verification strategies: • (real time) subjective evaluation by MAP D-PHASE forecasters from MeteoSwiss • (offline) from data archive by researchers in Austria using the Vienna enhanced resolution analysis (VERA) technique • The key predictors will be related to flood forecasting, so the focus in on QPF

  7. MAP D-PHASE Deliverables MAP D-PHASE(Test Period, 26 Feb – 2 March 2007) • High resolution models (mesh size 1-3 km)run between 1 and 4 times daily • Outputs are requested hourly for 41 surface fields, and a total of 134 upper air fields (mix of model level and pressure outputs) • Gridded GRIB data will be interpolated to the D-PHASE domain and uploaded to the University of Hamburg • Generated images will be sent to the Operations Centre

  8. MAP D-PHASE Deliverables MAP D-PHASE(DOP, 1 June – 30 November 2007) • In addition to the D-PHASE domain fields, all 41 surface fields, and a total of 134 upper air fields are requested at 15 minute intervals for the COPS domain from June to August • Gridded GRIB data will be interpolated to the D-PHASE and COPS domains and uploaded to the University of Hamburg • Generated images will be sent to the Operations Centre

  9. MAP D-PHASE Status of EC Contribution • Intention for twice-daily nested (10, 2.5 km) runs over the Test Period and DOP have been presented to the MAP collaborators • Preliminary domains have been constructed • Work has begun on postprocessing: • interpolation to final grids and GRIB generation • GrADS image generation • No automation or operational consideration has been made

  10. MAP D-PHASE Status of EC Contribution Timeline for tasks involved with completing EC contribution to MAP D-PHASE project. Green – started; Yellow – in planning stage; Red – not planned

  11. MAP D-PHASE Status of EC Contribution • Specific items that need to be discussed: • Model domain and configuration • Software requirements (GRIB, GrADS) • Storage requirements (temporary / long term) • User account / special account / operational • Host machine for real-time runs • Verification / model improvement strategy (identify collaborators)

  12. Olympics Project Relationship to Olympics Project • Beijing 2008 is a WWRP Forecast Demonstration Project (B08FDP) • Both the status of the Beijing planning and the Australian support (based on Sydney 2000 experience) were presented in Vienna • Both are end-to-end systems focused on high impact events using deterministic and ensemble approaches • Offers of support were received from several European centres

  13. Olympics Project Status of the Olympics Project ?

  14. Olympics Project Next Steps for Olympics Project • Define the current status of the project • Establish a rough timeline • Meet with involved / interested parties to finalize timeline • Begin development • [Based on the Australian experience, we should have a basic system ready for operational testing sometime in 2008]

  15. Additional Information • MAP D-PHASE Links: • MeteoSwiss MAP homepagehttp://www.map.meteoswiss.ch/map-doc/dphase/dphase_info.htm • EC Contribution Presentationhttp://www.atmos.albany.edu/facstaff/rmctc/rpn_map-dphase_v2.ppt

More Related