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Fuel Choice Model

Fuel Choice Model. 9/8/2011. The Total Resource Cost (TRC) Perspective Michael Schilmoeller. Summary-TRC Perspective. Over 20 years 560 MWa decline in power use 13.1 x 10 12 BTUs per year increase in gas use 2,593,900 existing households Annually (just divide by 20)

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Fuel Choice Model

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  1. Fuel Choice Model 9/8/2011 The Total Resource Cost (TRC) Perspective Michael Schilmoeller

  2. Summary-TRC Perspective • Over 20 years • 560 MWa decline in power use • 13.1 x 1012 BTUs per year increase in gas use • 2,593,900 existing households • Annually (just divide by 20) • 28 MWa decline in power use • 657 x 109 BTUs per year increase in gas use • 129,695 existing households

  3. Water Heating • 15,010 households/yr-101 change, BTUs 10^9/yr1.25 change, MWa/yr • 83,480 households/yr464 change, BTUs 10^9/yr-12.58 change, Mwa/yr The convention in this decision tree is • Every factor, indicated by a square box, is followed by two branches, indicating whether the condition is true or false • The top branch leads to the outcome if the factor is TRUE; the bottom one corresponds to the situation where the condition is FALSE. • Each branch ends with a appliance choice, indicated by an oval and emphasized with an alternative font color • 31,202 households/yr0 change, BTUs 10^9/yr-5.68 change, MWa/yr Source: M Schilmoeller, Q:\MS\Plan 6\Studies\Model Development\Direct Use of Gas\101004 Study\Selection tree 110904.docx

  4. 15,343 households/yr 0 change, BTUs 10^9/yr -0.02 change, MWa/yr 4,111 households/yr 0 change, BTUs 10^9/yr -1.41 change, MWa/yr 19,773 households/yr 16 change, BTUs 10^9/yr -0.43 change, MWa/y 79,587 households/yr279 change, BTUs 10^9/yr-7.45 changeWa/yr 6,086 households/yr 0 change, BTUs 10^9/yr -0.98 change, MWa/yr 4,793 households/yr 0 change, BTUs 10^9/yr -0.68 change, MWa/yr

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