180 likes | 321 Vues
Korea & the World (12) New E. Asia with J-C-K. 2011. 6. 7. 김 병 구 bkkim9@gmail.com. This week in brief. 반기문 UN 사무총장 재선 출사표 2006-2011 초임 임무 수행 탁월 지구 온난화 , 핵무기 없는 세상 , 아랍의 봄 등 겸손과 정직으로 국제사회의 신뢰 미 , 중 , 프 등 공식 재선지지 표명 2011. 9. UN 총회에서 연임 여부 확정 발표.
E N D
Korea & the World (12)New E. Asia with J-C-K 2011. 6. 7. 김 병 구 bkkim9@gmail.com
This week in brief • 반기문 UN 사무총장 재선 출사표 • 2006-2011 초임 임무 수행 탁월 • 지구 온난화, 핵무기 없는 세상, 아랍의 봄 등 • 겸손과 정직으로 국제사회의 신뢰 • 미, 중, 프 등 공식 재선지지 표명 • 2011. 9. UN 총회에서 연임 여부 확정 발표
Westward: center of the world(西行) • History lessons: Japan/Korea • History lessons: China/Korea • Lessons learned from EU • Coming of the Asian era • New J-C-K, BESETOrelationship
Westward: Center of the World • Persian empire : 6 c. BC – 4 c. BC • Roman empire : 1 c. BC – 6 c. AD • Mongolian emp. : 13 c. AD – 15 c. • Ottoman emp. : 16 c. AD – 18 c. • Napoleon : 18 c. • Pax Britanica : 19 c. AD • Pax Americana : 20 c. AD • ??? : 21 c.
History Lessons: Japan/Korea • Nearest neighbor • Linguistic, racial(‘Mongolian blue spot’) • 2000years of friendly cooperation • Kudara to Aska, cultural transfer • 朝鮮通信使 (17-18 c. 17 times) • Adversarial periods • 倭寇, 임진/정유왜란, colonial period • History distortions continue • 任那지배설, 獨島/竹島, 東海/日本海 명칭 등 • Most advanced nation in Asia
History Lessons: China/Korea • Small but independent NE nation(‘東夷’) • Imported Chinese character, Confucius • History distortion • ‘東北工征’, ‘中華思想’ • Korean War participant, Truce signatory • Diplomacy with both Koreas • Host country of 6-Party Talks • Number one trade partner
Lessons Learned from EU • Prosperity through common market • Security: NATO, OSCE • Economy: EUFTA, no visa, single currencyeuro • UK/FRA/GER historic enemy resolved • “Wisdom learned from sufferings” • Move from competition to cooperation • Common standards among EU 27
Coming of the Asian Era • Chinese culture, common sufferings • E. Asia-3 economy surpasses US, EU • Neighbors biggest global trading partner • World expects pan-Asian market • Better future with cooperation • Korea’s ‘balancing’ role with J-C • Prerequisite to regional security • North Korean issue to be resolved
TowardsAsian Common Market (BESETO) • J-C-K number one trade partners • Free Trade Agreements (FTA) • No visa agreements • Exchange students • Single currency (like Euro)? • Electrical grid connection? • Road, rail, sea transportations • Undersea tunnel (Busan to Shimonoseki)? • Asian Highway 1: J-K-C-I-T
North Korean Nuclear History • 1957 Joined IAEA • 1992 Joint Declaration of Denuclearization, ratified NPT • 1st nuclear crisis after the ‘inconsistancy’ • 1995 Agreed Framework, KEDO • 2002 2nd nuclear crisis • Withdrawal from NPT • 2006 1st nuclear test, 6-Party Talks • 2009 2nd nuclear test, missiles
UAE 원전 수출 계약 • 4X1400 3세대 원전, 건설비 186억$ • 사상 최대 규모, 건설단가 ~$3,300/kW • 추가 60년 운전보수 계약 기대 • 3사 국제경쟁입찰 프랑스/미국/한국 • 1987년 미국 원천기술 도입 대상국 • UAE 한국 선정 사유 • “Proven safety and economy” • 한국형 APR-1400 로형처녀 수출 • 한/UAE 핵확산민감 지역 • No reprocessing, no enrichment
New role for Korea • G20 Summit in Seoul (Nov. 2010) • First to host out of G8 • Roadmap for the global financial crisis • Nuclear Security Summit in 2012 • Focus on nuclear nonproliferation • Nuclear black market, terrorism • Belligerent NK • Cheonan-ham, Yeonpyeong-do • 3 generations of violence DNA
Future model for Korea • European style small but strong nation • Austria, Belgium, Netherland, etc. • GDP $20,000,low carbon green growth • Open to all nations, free trades • Assisting developing nations(OECD-DAC) • Law abiding, human touch country • Conserve culture, environment “빨리빨리, 세계최고” 보다 “느긋만만 强小國”