1. Industry skills leadershipThe demand for skills presentation to ITF conference 2013 Dr Ganesh Nana Chief Economist Business and Economic Research Ltd 12 June 2013

3. NZ population 2003 cf 2013

4. Change in populationover past ten years (2003 to 2013)

5. Change in populationover next ten years (2013 to 2023)

6. Change in populationand over ten years hence (2023 to 2033)

7. Summary population changesover ten year intervals

8. Change in labour forceover next ten years (2013 to 2023)

9. Labour force changes2013 to 2023 (000s)

10. Across the industries –issues, prospects and potential

12. Agriculture prospects/potential  issues/skill requirements • age of existing workforce • image • remote / location • business expertise • succession

14. Forestry prospects/potential  issues/skill requirements • age of existing workforce • turnover of existing workforce • safety • remoteness

15. Mining and oil & gas prospects/potential  issues/skill requirements • mitigation environment effects • safety • remoteness

16. Manufacturing prospects/potential  issues/skill requirements • wages and competitiveness • business expertise • primary processing • new markets

19. Building and construction prospects/potential  the future of NZ economy for next decade is in your hands issues/skill requirements • competition for workforce from abroad • safety • building regulations

20. Foreign visitor nights dive

21. Yes, visitor numbers are climbing

22. But, market is changing

23. Resulting in falling yields

24. Tourism prospects/potential  issues/skill requirements • customer service focus • the market (is changing fast) • business expertise • SMEs cf larger corporates • wages

25. Other servicesdomestic economy prospects/potential  issues/skill requirements • wages / staff turnover • seen as short-term option, not career • competition for workforce • from other industries • from abroad

26. Population serviceseg. education and health prospects/potential  issues/skill requirements • wages • age of existing staff • competition for workforce from abroad

27. More generally • proactive sector leadership • even in absence of growth, training required to replace existing workforce • response to ageing, mentoring, succession • response to standards and related aspects • use/attraction of recent migrants • skill requirements • familiarise with NZ context • ethnicity dimension

28. Summary population changes2013 to 2023

29. Economic dependency ratioratio of total popn to labour force

30. NZ 2023 population